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USA vs Canada Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies · Friendly International · Wed, 7 Oct 2026

Friendlies

USA

1 - 0

Full time · 7 Oct

Canada

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 GoalsLOST1.2095%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.20.

Also rated:Both Teams to Score @ 1.62Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70

USA: Matches Played 10

WLWWW

W7 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D0 Draws

in last 10 games

Canada: Matches Played 10

LWLWW

W5 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 22 March 2025 • CONCACAF Nations League

    LCanada2  1USA
  • 7 September 2024 • Friendlies

    LUSA1  2Canada
  • 9 July 2023 • CONCACAF Gold Cup

    DUSA2  2Canada
  • 19 June 2023 • CONCACAF Nations League

    WCanada0  2USA
  • 30 January 2022 • World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF

    LCanada2  0USA
  • 6 September 2021 • World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF

    DUSA1  1Canada
  • 18 July 2021 • CONCACAF Gold Cup

    WUSA1  0Canada
Last Matches (USA)
  • 4 October 2026 • Friendlies

    WUSA3  0Mexico
  • 30 September 2026 • Friendlies

    WUSA4  2Chile
  • 26 September 2026 • Friendlies

    WUSA4  1Peru
  • 7 July 2026 • World Cup

    LUSA1  4Belgium
  • 2 July 2026 • World Cup

    WUSA2  0Bosnia & Herzegovina
  • 26 June 2026 • World Cup

    LTürkiye3  2USA
  • 19 June 2026 • World Cup

    WUSA2  0Australia
  • 13 June 2026 • World Cup

    WUSA4  1Paraguay
  • 6 June 2026 • Friendlies

    LUSA1  2Germany
  • 31 May 2026 • Friendlies

    WUSA3  2Senegal
Last Matches (Canada)
  • 3 October 2026 • Friendlies

    WCanada2  0Peru
  • 26 September 2026 • Friendlies

    WCanada1  0Chile
  • 4 July 2026 • World Cup

    LCanada0  3Morocco
  • 28 June 2026 • World Cup

    WSouth Africa0  1Canada
  • 24 June 2026 • World Cup

    LSwitzerland2  1Canada
  • 18 June 2026 • World Cup

    WCanada6  0Qatar
  • 12 June 2026 • World Cup

    DCanada1  1Bosnia & Herzegovina
  • 5 June 2026 • Friendlies

    DCanada1  1Rep. Of Ireland
  • 2 June 2026 • Friendlies

    WCanada2  0Uzbekistan
  • 31 March 2026 • Friendlies

    DCanada0  0Tunisia

League Table

A league table is not available for this competition.

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
M. OsmajićMontenegro45
Son Heung-MinSouth Korea85
L. SadulaevRussia74
J. VélezPeru84
D. LukebakioBelgium34
F. WirtzGermany43
N. PazArgentina63
M. AraújoUruguay53
J. HallUSA43
M. OliseFrance43

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals94.2%5.8%
1.5 goals77.7%22.3%
2.5 goals54.2%45.8%
3.5 goals31.9%68.1%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

57.7%

No

42.3%

1X

61.4%

12

75%

X2

63.6%

1-1

11.7%

1-2

8.5%

0-1

8.4%

2-1

8.2%

1-0

8.1%

0-2

6.1%

2-2

6%

0-0

5.8%

1 / 1

21.4%

1 / X

5.3%

1 / 2

2.4%

X / 1

12.6%

X / X

14.4%

X / 2

13.3%

2 / 1

2.3%

2 / X

5.3%

2 / 2

22.9%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20

Expected goals: 2.9

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form52% / 48%
Attack71% / 29%
Defence13% / 88%
Goals model0% / 0%
Head-to-head29% / 71%
Overall42% / 59%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

USA6/6
Canada4/6

Over 2.5

USA5/6
Canada3/6

Over 3.5

USA4/6
Canada1/6

BTTS (Yes)

USA4/6
Canada1/6

Goals By Time Period

USA

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Canada

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

USA

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Canada

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

USA

First goal scored: 25′First goal conceded: 20′First card: 50′

Canada

First goal scored: 43′First goal conceded: 57′First card: 45′

Season Statistics

USACanada
FormWLWWWWDWDWWL
Played88
Wins54
Draws03
Losses31
Goals for (avg)2.31.1
Goals against (avg)1.80.5
Clean sheets25
Failed to score12
Biggest win streak12

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

USA

Total shots12.5
Blocked3.7
43% off target57% on target
71% inside box29% outside box
Total passes500.5
Accurate passes433.7 (87%)
Possession56%

Canada

Total shots14.8
Blocked4.3
48% off target52% on target
73% inside box27% outside box
Total passes390.3
Accurate passes326.7 (84%)
Possession54%

Trends

10 match streak · Friendlies

Canada are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in Friendlies.

5 match streak · Friendlies

USA have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Friendlies.

5 match streak · Friendlies

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of USA's last 5 matches in Friendlies.

4 match streak · Friendlies

Canada have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Friendlies.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

USA

A · 14 Nov

Haiti

Unrated

H · 18 Nov

Haiti

Unrated

Canada

A · 13 Nov

Guatemala

Unrated

H · 17 Nov

Guatemala

Unrated

Team News

USA

Coach: Mauricio Pochettino

  1. Brian Schwake
  2. Alexander Freeman
  3. George Campbell
  4. Chris Richards
  5. Auston Trusty
  6. Giovanni Reyna
  7. Brooklyn Raines
  8. Yunus Musah
  9. Malik Tillman
  10. Mathis Albert
  11. Justin Ellis

Canada

Coach: Jesse Marsch

  1. Dayne St. Clair
  2. Niko Sigur
  3. Luc De Fougerolles
  4. Ralph Priso
  5. Richie Laryea
  6. Liam Millar
  7. Nathan-Dylan Saliba
  8. Stephen Eustaquio
  9. Jacob Shaffelburg
  10. Jonathan David
  11. Tani Oluwaseyi

USA vs Canada Prediction & Tips

USA host Canada in World Friendlies at Allianz Field.

Form: USA have taken 4W 0D 1L from their last 5, Canada 3W 0D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches USA average 2.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Canada average 1.5 and 0.7.

In their last 7 meetings USA have won 2, Canada 3 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts USA at 10%, the draw at 45% and Canada at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Canada.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, which did not land.

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USA vs Canada FAQs

When is the match between USA and Canada?

USA v Canada was played on Wed, 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

World Friendlies, Friendly International.

What is the prediction for USA vs Canada?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.20.

Who is most likely to win USA vs Canada?

The draw and Canada are level at the top: USA 10%, draw 45%, Canada 45%.

Will both teams score in USA vs Canada?

Both teams scored in 70% of USA's last 10 matches and 30% of Canada's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

USA vs Canada Prediction & Match Preview

League:
World : Friendlies
Date:
Wed, 7 Oct 2026
Venue:
Allianz Field, St. Paul

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