USA vs Canada Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
World · Friendlies · Friendly International · Wed, 7 Oct 2026
Friendlies
USA
1 - 0
Full time · 7 Oct
Canada
The market prices at least two goals at 1.20.
Also rated:Both Teams to Score @ 1.62Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70
USA: Matches Played 10
W7 Wins
in last 10 games
L3 Losses
in last 10 games
D0 Draws
in last 10 games
Canada: Matches Played 10
W5 Wins
in last 10 games
L2 Losses
in last 10 games
D3 Draws
in last 10 games
10%
45%
45%
Teams Head to Head Matches
22 March 2025 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
Canada2 1USA
7 September 2024 • Friendlies
L
USA1 2Canada
9 July 2023 • CONCACAF Gold Cup
D
USA2 2Canada
19 June 2023 • CONCACAF Nations League
W
Canada0 2USA
30 January 2022 • World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
L
Canada2 0USA
6 September 2021 • World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
D
USA1 1Canada
18 July 2021 • CONCACAF Gold Cup
W
USA1 0Canada
4 October 2026 • Friendlies
W
USA3 0Mexico
30 September 2026 • Friendlies
W
USA4 2Chile
26 September 2026 • Friendlies
W
USA4 1Peru
7 July 2026 • World Cup
L
USA1 4Belgium
2 July 2026 • World Cup
W
USA2 0Bosnia & Herzegovina
26 June 2026 • World Cup
L
Türkiye3 2USA
19 June 2026 • World Cup
W
USA2 0Australia
13 June 2026 • World Cup
W
USA4 1Paraguay
6 June 2026 • Friendlies
L
USA1 2Germany
31 May 2026 • Friendlies
W
USA3 2Senegal
3 October 2026 • Friendlies
W
Canada2 0Peru
26 September 2026 • Friendlies
W
Canada1 0Chile
4 July 2026 • World Cup
L
Canada0 3Morocco
28 June 2026 • World Cup
W
South Africa0 1Canada
24 June 2026 • World Cup
L
Switzerland2 1Canada
18 June 2026 • World Cup
W
Canada6 0Qatar
12 June 2026 • World Cup
D
Canada1 1Bosnia & Herzegovina
5 June 2026 • Friendlies
D
Canada1 1Rep. Of Ireland
2 June 2026 • Friendlies
W
Canada2 0Uzbekistan
31 March 2026 • Friendlies
D
Canada0 0Tunisia
League Table
A league table is not available for this competition.
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.9
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
1X
61.4%
12
75%
X2
63.6%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6%
0-0
5.8%
1 / 1
21.4%
1 / X
5.3%
1 / 2
2.4%
X / 1
12.6%
X / X
14.4%
X / 2
13.3%
2 / 1
2.3%
2 / X
5.3%
2 / 2
22.9%
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Draw
Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20
Expected goals: 2.9
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
USA
Canada
USA
Canada
Average Event Minute
USA
First goal scored: 25′First goal conceded: 20′First card: 50′
Canada
First goal scored: 43′First goal conceded: 57′First card: 45′
Season Statistics
| USA | Canada | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WLWWWW | DWDWWL |
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 2 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
USA
Canada
Trends
10 match streak · Friendlies
Canada are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in Friendlies.
5 match streak · Friendlies
USA have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Friendlies.
5 match streak · Friendlies
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of USA's last 5 matches in Friendlies.
4 match streak · Friendlies
Canada have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Friendlies.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
USA
A · 14 Nov
Haiti
UnratedH · 18 Nov
Haiti
UnratedCanada
A · 13 Nov
Guatemala
UnratedH · 17 Nov
Guatemala
UnratedTeam News
USA
Coach: Mauricio Pochettino
- Brian Schwake
- Alexander Freeman
- George Campbell
- Chris Richards
- Auston Trusty
- Giovanni Reyna
- Brooklyn Raines
- Yunus Musah
- Malik Tillman
- Mathis Albert
- Justin Ellis
Canada
Coach: Jesse Marsch
- Dayne St. Clair
- Niko Sigur
- Luc De Fougerolles
- Ralph Priso
- Richie Laryea
- Liam Millar
- Nathan-Dylan Saliba
- Stephen Eustaquio
- Jacob Shaffelburg
- Jonathan David
- Tani Oluwaseyi
USA vs Canada Prediction & Tips
USA host Canada in World Friendlies at Allianz Field.
Form: USA have taken 4W 0D 1L from their last 5, Canada 3W 0D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches USA average 2.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Canada average 1.5 and 0.7.
In their last 7 meetings USA have won 2, Canada 3 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.
The feed's model puts USA at 10%, the draw at 45% and Canada at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Canada.
Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, which did not land.
USA vs Canada FAQs
When is the match between USA and Canada?
USA v Canada was played on Wed, 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
World Friendlies, Friendly International.
What is the prediction for USA vs Canada?
Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.20.
Who is most likely to win USA vs Canada?
The draw and Canada are level at the top: USA 10%, draw 45%, Canada 45%.
Will both teams score in USA vs Canada?
Both teams scored in 70% of USA's last 10 matches and 30% of Canada's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
USA vs Canada Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- World : Friendlies
- Date:
- Wed, 7 Oct 2026
- Venue:
- Allianz Field, St. Paul
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