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ST Mirren vs Motherwell Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · Premiership · Regular Season - 4 · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Premiership

ST Mirren

3 - 3

Full time · 30 Aug

Motherwell

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 GoalsLOST1.3060%

A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.

Also rated:Both Teams to Score @ 1.75Draw @ 3.40

ST Mirren: Matches Played 10

WLWWL

W7 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

Motherwell: Matches Played 10

DWLLL

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 21 February 2026 • Premiership

    LST Mirren0  5Motherwell
  • 3 January 2026 • Premiership

    LMotherwell2  0ST Mirren
  • 1 November 2025 • League Cup

    WMotherwell1  4ST Mirren
  • 9 August 2025 • Premiership

    DST Mirren0  0Motherwell
  • 15 March 2025 • Premiership

    DMotherwell2  2ST Mirren
  • 7 December 2024 • Premiership

    LST Mirren0  1Motherwell
  • 28 September 2024 • Premiership

    LMotherwell2  1ST Mirren
Last Matches (ST Mirren)
  • 16 August 2026 • League Cup

    LRangers5  1ST Mirren
  • 8 August 2026 • Premiership

    WST Mirren1  0ST Johnstone
  • 1 August 2026 • Premiership

    WFalkirk0  2ST Mirren
  • 26 July 2026 • League Cup

    LST Mirren0  1Dunfermline
  • 21 July 2026 • League Cup

    WST Mirren4  3East Kilbride
  • 18 July 2026 • League Cup

    WCove Rangers0  4ST Mirren
  • 11 July 2026 • League Cup

    WDumbarton0  4ST Mirren
  • 27 June 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WArbroath2  4ST Mirren
  • 25 May 2026 • Premiership

    WST Mirren1  0Partick
  • 21 May 2026 • Premiership

    DPartick1  1ST Mirren
Last Matches (Motherwell)
  • 27 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    LSC Freiburg4  1Motherwell
  • 20 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    LMotherwell1  3SC Freiburg
  • 16 August 2026 • League Cup

    LStenhousemuir1  0Motherwell
  • 13 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    WMotherwell2  0HJK Helsinki
  • 9 August 2026 • Premiership

    DMotherwell0  0Falkirk
  • 6 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    DHJK Helsinki1  1Motherwell
  • 2 August 2026 • Premiership

    WHibernian1  2Motherwell
  • 30 July 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    WHB Torshavn0  3Motherwell
  • 23 July 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    WMotherwell2  0HB Torshavn
  • 17 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LMotherwell3  4Genk

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Celtic760114-41018LWWWW
2Rangers75118-4416WWWWW
3Heart Of Midlothian741214-8613DLWWW
4Dundee73139-7210WLDLW
5ST Mirren73138-9-110LLLWD
6ST Johnstone72239-10-18DLWDL
7Aberdeen72237-8-18DWDLL
8Dundee Utd72239-11-28WDLWL
9Motherwell72239-11-28LLLWD
10Hibernian72148-11-37DLLLW
11Falkirk71336-9-36DWDLL
12Kilmarnock71246-15-95DWDLL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
J. FowlerST Johnstone74
C. DuránCeltic73
B. NygrenCeltic73
J. WilsonHeart Of Midlothian63
K. HøghCeltic43
K. NisbetAberdeen73
J. WestleyDundee73
L. ShanklandRangers53
K. PhillipsST Mirren33
M. BoyleHibernian63

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.7

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.9%7.1%
1.5 goals74.2%25.8%
2.5 goals49.4%50.6%
3.5 goals27.5%72.5%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

53.9%

No

46.1%

1X

64.2%

12

73.9%

X2

61.9%

1-1

12.4%

1-0

9.5%

0-1

9.2%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

8.1%

0-0

7.1%

2-0

6.4%

0-2

6%

1 / 1

22.4%

1 / X

5.2%

1 / 2

2.1%

X / 1

13.5%

X / X

15.7%

X / 2

12.8%

2 / 1

2.2%

2 / X

5.2%

2 / 2

20.8%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: ST Mirren

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30

Expected goals: 2.7

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form60% / 40%
Attack60% / 40%
Defence100% / 0%
Goals model100% / 0%
Head-to-head38% / 62%
Overall49% / 51%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

ST Mirren4/6
Motherwell4/6

Over 2.5

ST Mirren3/6
Motherwell2/6

Over 3.5

ST Mirren3/6
Motherwell2/6

BTTS (Yes)

ST Mirren2/6
Motherwell3/6

Goals By Time Period

ST Mirren

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Motherwell

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

ST Mirren

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Motherwell

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

ST Mirren

First goal scored: 41′First goal conceded: 43′First card: 47′

Motherwell

First goal scored: 34′First goal conceded: 55′First card: 35′

Season Statistics

ST MirrenMotherwell
FormWDWLLLDDWLLL
Played77
Wins32
Draws12
Losses33
Goals for (avg)1.11.3
Goals against (avg)1.31.6
Clean sheets32
Failed to score23
Biggest win streak21

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

ST Mirren

Total shots14
Blocked2.3
53% off target47% on target
61% inside box39% outside box
Total passes391.5
Accurate passes302.5 (77%)
Possession48%

Motherwell

Total shots5.7
Blocked1.2
73% off target27% on target
65% inside box35% outside box
Total passes413
Accurate passes337.3 (82%)
Possession45%

Trends

5 match streak · Premiership

ST Mirren have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Premiership.

5 match streak · Premiership

ST Mirren are unbeaten in their last 5 matches in Premiership.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

ST Mirren

A · 10 Oct

Heart Of Midlothian

5/5

A · 17 Oct

Aberdeen

3/5

H · 24 Oct

Dundee

4/5

H · 28 Oct

Hibernian

2/5

A · 31 Oct

Motherwell

2/5

H · 7 Nov

Rangers

5/5

A · 21 Nov

Celtic

5/5

H · 28 Nov

Kilmarnock

1/5

Motherwell

H · 11 Oct

Celtic

5/5

A · 17 Oct

Kilmarnock

1/5

H · 25 Oct

Heart Of Midlothian

5/5

A · 28 Oct

ST Johnstone

3/5

H · 31 Oct

ST Mirren

4/5

A · 7 Nov

Dundee Utd

3/5

H · 21 Nov

Rangers

5/5

H · 28 Nov

Hibernian

2/5

Team News

ST Mirren 4-2-3-1

Coach: Craig McLeish

  1. J. Chapman
  2. C. Ramsay
  3. A. Gogic
  4. H. Fieldson
  5. D. John
  6. R. Carr
  7. P. Nsio
  8. S. Ramos
  9. C. R. Mochrie
  10. I. Kabia
  11. N. Agrafiotis

Motherwell 4-2-3-1

Coach: Alfred Johansson

  1. A. Paulsen
  2. T. Sparrow
  3. J. Knight-Lebel
  4. M. Moormann
  5. E. Longelo
  6. J. Hodge
  7. L. Fadinger
  8. T. Maswanhise
  9. A. Lowry
  10. I. Said
  11. R. Charles-Cook

ST Mirren vs Motherwell Prediction & Tips

ST Mirren host Motherwell in Scotland Premiership at The SMISA Stadium. In the current table, ST Mirren sit 5th on 10 points and Motherwell are 9th on 8.

Form: ST Mirren have taken 3W 0D 2L from their last 5, Motherwell 1W 1D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches ST Mirren average 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded; Motherwell average 1.5 and 1.4.

In their last 7 meetings ST Mirren have won 1, Motherwell 4 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.9 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.

The feed's model puts ST Mirren at 45%, the draw at 45% and Motherwell at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : ST Mirren or draw and -3.5 goals.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, which did not land.

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ST Mirren vs Motherwell FAQs

When is the match between ST Mirren and Motherwell?

ST Mirren v Motherwell was played on Sun, 30 August 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Scotland Premiership, Regular Season - 4.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

ST Mirren are 5th in the table, while Motherwell are 9th.

What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.30.

Who is most likely to win ST Mirren vs Motherwell?

ST Mirren and The draw are level at the top: ST Mirren 45%, draw 45%, Motherwell 10%.

Will both teams score in ST Mirren vs Motherwell?

Both teams scored in 40% of ST Mirren's last 10 matches and 50% of Motherwell's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

ST Mirren vs Motherwell Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Scotland : Premiership
Date:
Sun, 30 Aug 2026
Venue:
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

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