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Spain vs Croatia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations League · League A - 2 · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

UEFA Nations League

Spain

18:45

29 Sept

Croatia

PredictionOddsConfidence
Home Win1.2095%

Spain are the market favourites at 1.20.

Also rated:Home or Away (12) @ 1.10Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50

Spain: Matches Played 10

WWWWW

W9 Wins

in last 10 games

L0 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

Croatia: Matches Played 10

LWWLW

W6 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D0 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

1.22

45%

6.50

10%

11.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 15 June 2024 • Euro Championship

    WSpain3  0Croatia
  • 18 June 2023 • UEFA Nations League

    DCroatia0  0Spain
  • 28 June 2021 • Euro Championship

    WCroatia3  5Spain
  • 15 November 2018 • UEFA Nations League

    LCroatia3  2Spain
  • 11 September 2018 • UEFA Nations League

    WSpain6  0Croatia
  • 21 June 2016 • Euro Championship

    LCroatia2  1Spain
  • 18 June 2012 • Euro Championship

    WCroatia0  1Spain
Last Matches (Spain)
  • 26 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League

    WEngland2  3Spain
  • 19 July 2026 • World Cup

    WSpain1  0Argentina
  • 14 July 2026 • World Cup

    WFrance0  2Spain
  • 10 July 2026 • World Cup

    WSpain2  1Belgium
  • 6 July 2026 • World Cup

    WPortugal0  1Spain
  • 2 July 2026 • World Cup

    WSpain3  0Austria
  • 27 June 2026 • World Cup

    WUruguay0  1Spain
  • 21 June 2026 • World Cup

    WSpain4  0Saudi Arabia
  • 15 June 2026 • World Cup

    DSpain0  0Cape Verde Islands
  • 9 June 2026 • Friendlies

    WPeru1  3Spain
Last Matches (Croatia)
  • 26 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League

    WCzechia1  2Croatia
  • 2 July 2026 • World Cup

    LPortugal2  1Croatia
  • 27 June 2026 • World Cup

    WCroatia2  1Ghana
  • 23 June 2026 • World Cup

    WPanama0  1Croatia
  • 17 June 2026 • World Cup

    LEngland4  2Croatia
  • 7 June 2026 • Friendlies

    WCroatia2  1Slovenia
  • 2 June 2026 • Friendlies

    LCroatia0  2Belgium
  • 1 April 2026 • Friendlies

    LBrazil3  1Croatia
  • 26 March 2026 • Friendlies

    WColombia1  2Croatia
  • 17 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe

    WMontenegro2  3Croatia

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Spain22007-346WW
2England21014-313WL
3Croatia21013-5-23LW
4Czechia20021-4-30LL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
E. HaalandNorway23
J. PohjanpaloFinland13
L. WaltaFinland12
Z. AmdouniSwitzerland12
V. GyökeresSweden22
João FélixPortugal22
N. KrstovićMontenegro22
M. MeerdinkNetherlands22
A. SvanbäckFinland11
M. OliseFrance21

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 4

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals98.2%1.8%
1.5 goals90.8%9.2%
2.5 goals76.2%23.8%
3.5 goals56.7%43.3%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

74.8%

No

25.2%

1X

60.4%

12

79.3%

X2

60.4%

1-1

7.3%

1-2

7.3%

2-1

7.3%

2-2

7.3%

1-3

4.9%

2-3

4.9%

3-1

4.9%

3-2

4.9%

1 / 1

24.5%

1 / X

5.6%

1 / 2

3.5%

X / 1

11.7%

X / X

9.6%

X / 2

11.7%

2 / 1

3.5%

2 / X

5.6%

2 / 2

24.5%

Home -2

47%

odds 2.05

Away +2

53%

odds 1.80

Home -1.75

53%

odds 1.78

Away +1.75

47%

odds 2.02

Home -1.5

58%

odds 1.62

Away +1.5

42%

odds 2.25

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 8.5

56%

odds 1.67

Under 8.5

44%

odds 2.10

Over 9

49%

odds 1.95

Under 9

51%

odds 1.85

Over 9.5

44%

odds 2.10

Under 9.5

56%

odds 1.67

Total corners over/under.

Over 3.5

44%

odds 2.10

Under 3.5

56%

odds 1.67

Total cards over/under.

  • Roberto Fernandez1.9152%
  • Mikel Oyarzabal1.9152%
  • Lamine Yamal2.2045%
  • Ferran Torres2.3842%
  • Nico Williams2.6238%

Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Spain

Our pick: Home Win at 1.20

Expected goals: 4

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form50% / 50%
Attack60% / 40%
Defence33% / 67%
Goals model0% / 0%
Head-to-head80% / 20%
Overall59% / 41%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Spain4/6
Croatia5/6

Over 2.5

Spain3/6
Croatia5/6

Over 3.5

Spain1/6
Croatia1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Spain2/6
Croatia5/6

Goals By Time Period

Spain

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Croatia

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Spain

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Croatia

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Spain

First goal scored: 48′First goal conceded: 39′First card: 57′

Croatia

First goal scored: 45′First goal conceded: 58′First card: 71′

Season Statistics

SpainCroatia
FormWW
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)32
Goals against (avg)21
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Spain

Total shots16.7
Blocked4.3
42% off target58% on target
55% inside box45% outside box
Total passes614.7
Accurate passes547 (89%)
Possession60%

Croatia

Total shots12.5
Blocked3
51% off target49% on target
59% inside box41% outside box
Total passes505
Accurate passes440.2 (87%)
Possession54%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Spain

H · 29 Sept

Croatia

3/5

H · 3 Oct

Czechia

2/5

A · 6 Oct

Croatia

3/5

A · 12 Nov

Czechia

2/5

H · 15 Nov

England

4/5

Croatia

A · 29 Sept

Spain

5/5

H · 3 Oct

England

4/5

H · 6 Oct

Spain

5/5

A · 12 Nov

England

4/5

H · 15 Nov

Czechia

2/5

Spain vs Croatia Prediction & Tips

Spain host Croatia in World UEFA Nations League at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. In the table, Spain sit 1st on 6 points and Croatia are 3rd on 3.

Form: Spain have taken 5W 0D 0L from their last 5, Croatia 3W 0D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Spain average 2.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded; Croatia average 1.6 and 1.7.

In their last 7 meetings Spain have won 4, Croatia 2 and 1 were drawn, averaging 3.7 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.

The feed's model puts Spain at 45%, the draw at 45% and Croatia at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : Spain or draw and +1.5 goals.

Our call for this match is Home Win at 1.20. Spain are the market favourites at 1.20.

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Spain vs Croatia FAQs

When is the match between Spain and Croatia?

Spain v Croatia is scheduled on Tue, 29 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

World UEFA Nations League, League A - 2.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Spain are 1st in the table, while Croatia are 3rd.

What is the prediction for Spain vs Croatia?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.20.

Who is most likely to win Spain vs Croatia?

Spain and The draw are level at the top: Spain 45%, draw 45%, Croatia 10%.

Will both teams score in Spain vs Croatia?

Both teams scored in 30% of Spain's last 10 matches and 80% of Croatia's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Spain vs Croatia Prediction & Match Preview

League:
World : UEFA Nations League
Date:
Tue, 29 Sept 2026
Venue:
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville

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