Skip to content

Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 21 · Fri, 2 Oct 2026

Serie A

Sao Paulo

23:00

2 Oct

Santos

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 Goals1.3395%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.33.

Sao Paulo: Matches Played 10

WLLDW

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

Santos: Matches Played 10

WWWLW

W5 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

2.05

45%

3.40

45%

3.75

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 4 February 2026 • Serie A

    DSantos1  1Sao Paulo
  • 31 January 2026 • Paulista - A1

    WSao Paulo2  0Santos
  • 21 September 2025 • Serie A

    LSantos1  0Sao Paulo
  • 20 April 2025 • Serie A

    WSao Paulo2  1Santos
  • 1 February 2025 • Paulista - A1

    LSantos3  1Sao Paulo
  • 14 February 2024 • Paulista - A1

    LSao Paulo0  1Santos
  • 12 November 2023 • Serie A

    DSantos0  0Sao Paulo
  • 16 July 2023 • Serie A

    WSao Paulo4  1Santos
Last Matches (Sao Paulo)
  • 20 September 2026 • Serie A

    WSao Paulo1  0Internacional
  • 16 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    DSao Paulo1  1Boca Juniors
  • 12 September 2026 • Serie A

    LPalmeiras2  0Sao Paulo
  • 9 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    LBoca Juniors1  0Sao Paulo
  • 5 September 2026 • Serie A

    WSao Paulo2  0Atletico-MG
  • 29 August 2026 • Serie A

    WSao Paulo2  1RB Bragantino
  • 23 August 2026 • Serie A

    LChapecoense-sc1  0Sao Paulo
  • 19 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    WSao Paulo3  1Bolívar
  • 16 August 2026 • Serie A

    DSao Paulo1  1Coritiba
  • 12 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    DBolívar1  1Sao Paulo
Last Matches (Santos)
  • 19 September 2026 • Serie A

    WRemo1  2Santos
  • 16 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    LAtletico-MG4  2Santos
  • 13 September 2026 • Serie A

    WSantos2  1Cruzeiro
  • 9 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    WSantos2  0Atletico-MG
  • 6 September 2026 • Serie A

    WInternacional2  3Santos
  • 3 September 2026 • Copa Do Brasil

    DSantos0  0Palmeiras
  • 30 August 2026 • Serie A

    WCorinthians0  1Santos
  • 27 August 2026 • Copa Do Brasil

    LPalmeiras3  0Santos
  • 23 August 2026 • Serie A

    DSantos1  1Mirassol
  • 20 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    DMacara0  0Santos

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Flamengo28186455-233260WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347-212657DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743-321149WDLDW
4Fluminense28139644-36848WLWDW
5Bahia281210643-35846LWWWW
6Cruzeiro28136942-40245WLWLW
7Atletico-MG27117936-32440DWLWD
8Santos27108941-40138WWWWD
9Coritiba281081037-43-638LDLWW
10RB Bragantino271061133-31236LDLLW
11Sao Paulo271061132-30236WLWWL
12Botafogo28981141-45-435LWDDL
13Vitoria28961328-42-1433LDWLL
14Corinthians28881229-32-332LLLLL
15Mirassol28881233-42-932WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama27871234-41-731WWLWL
17Gremio28781330-38-829DLLLW
18Internacional286101230-36-628LWLLD
19Remo28581532-47-1523LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc27391529-53-2418DLWLW

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense2618
PedroFlamengo2816
Gabriel BarbosaSantos1911
Carlos ViníciusGremio2710
Samuel LinoFlamengo279
Matheus PereiraCruzeiro259
Danilo SantosBotafogo219
ReneVitoria219
John KennedyFluminense189
Luciano JubaBahia249

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.7

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.9%7.1%
1.5 goals74.2%25.8%
2.5 goals49.4%50.6%
3.5 goals27.5%72.5%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

53.9%

No

46.1%

1X

64.2%

12

73.9%

X2

61.9%

1-1

12.4%

1-0

9.5%

0-1

9.2%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

8.1%

0-0

7.1%

2-0

6.4%

0-2

6%

1 / 1

22.4%

1 / X

5.2%

1 / 2

2.1%

X / 1

13.5%

X / X

15.7%

X / 2

12.8%

2 / 1

2.2%

2 / X

5.2%

2 / 2

20.8%

Home -0.75

40%

odds 2.35

Away +0.75

60%

odds 1.58

Home -0.5

47%

odds 2.05

Away +0.5

53%

odds 1.80

Home -0.25

54%

odds 1.75

Away +0.25

46%

odds 2.05

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 10.5

50%

odds 1.83

Under 10.5

50%

odds 1.83

Total corners over/under.

Over 6.5

44%

odds 2.10

Under 6.5

56%

odds 1.67

Total cards over/under.

  • Jonathan Calleri2.5040%
  • Domingos Gustavo Santana2.5040%
  • Luciano Neves2.5040%
  • Andre Silva2.6238%
  • Tete dos Santos3.1032%

Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.33

Expected goals: 2.7

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form41% / 59%
Attack36% / 64%
Defence56% / 44%
Goals model62% / 38%
Head-to-head50% / 50%
Overall49% / 51%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Sao Paulo4/6
Santos5/6

Over 2.5

Sao Paulo1/6
Santos4/6

Over 3.5

Sao Paulo0/6
Santos2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Sao Paulo2/6
Santos4/6

Goals By Time Period

Sao Paulo

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Santos

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Sao Paulo

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Santos

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Sao Paulo

First goal scored: 46′First goal conceded: 62′First card: 39′

Santos

First goal scored: 43′First goal conceded: 56′First card: 26′

Season Statistics

Sao PauloSantos
FormDLWWLWWDWWWW
Played2727
Wins1010
Draws68
Losses119
Goals for (avg)1.21.5
Goals against (avg)1.11.5
Clean sheets66
Failed to score63
Biggest win streak41

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Sao Paulo

Total shots13
Blocked4.5
53% off target47% on target
64% inside box36% outside box
Total passes443.3
Accurate passes359 (81%)
Possession48%

Santos

Total shots16.2
Blocked4.7
55% off target45% on target
49% inside box51% outside box
Total passes541.3
Accurate passes463.8 (86%)
Possession53%

Trends

6 match streak · Serie A

Santos have scored in each of their last 6 matches in Serie A.

6 match streak · Serie A

Santos are unbeaten in their last 6 matches in Serie A.

4 match streak · Serie A

Santos have won each of their last 4 matches in Serie A.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Sao Paulo

H · 2 Oct

Santos

4/5

A · 8 Oct

Cruzeiro

4/5

H · 11 Oct

Vitoria

2/5

H · 18 Oct

Vasco DA Gama

2/5

A · 25 Oct

Mirassol

2/5

A · 28 Oct

Bahia

4/5

H · 4 Nov

Corinthians

2/5

H · 18 Nov

Fluminense

5/5

Santos

A · 2 Oct

Sao Paulo

3/5

H · 8 Oct

Flamengo

5/5

A · 11 Oct

Atletico-MG

4/5

A · 18 Oct

Fluminense

5/5

H · 25 Oct

Bahia

4/5

H · 28 Oct

Palmeiras

5/5

A · 4 Nov

RB Bragantino

3/5

A · 18 Nov

Coritiba

3/5

Team News

Injuries and suspensions

  • D. Bobadilla (Sao Paulo): Inactive
  • Jonathan Calleri (Sao Paulo): Yellow Cards
  • Lucas Moura (Sao Paulo): Achilles Tendon Injury
  • Lucca Marques (Sao Paulo): Jaw injury
  • D. Duarte (Sao Paulo): Injury
  • A. Barreal (Santos): Thigh Injury
  • Coutinho (Santos): Inactive
  • Gabriel Bontempo (Santos): Yellow Cards
  • Gabriel Brazao (Santos): Inactive
  • Luan Peres (Santos): Yellow Cards
  • Neymar (Santos): Thigh Injury
  • Vinicius Lira (Santos): Knee Injury

Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction & Tips

Sao Paulo host Santos in Brazil Serie A at Morumbi. In the table, Sao Paulo sit 11th on 36 points and Santos are 8th on 38.

Form: Sao Paulo have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Santos 4W 0D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Sao Paulo average 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded; Santos average 1.3 and 1.2.

In their last 8 meetings Sao Paulo have won 3, Santos 3 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 50%.

The feed's model puts Sao Paulo at 10%, the draw at 45% and Santos at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Santos.

Our call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.33. The market prices at least two goals at 1.33.

Published by

ThisWeekPoolResult

Football predictions and pool results · about us

Sao Paulo vs Santos FAQs

When is the match between Sao Paulo and Santos?

Sao Paulo v Santos is scheduled on Fri, 2 October 2026 at 23:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Brazil Serie A, Regular Season - 21.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Sao Paulo are 11th in the table, while Santos are 8th.

What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Santos?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.33.

Who is most likely to win Sao Paulo vs Santos?

The draw and Santos are level at the top: Sao Paulo 10%, draw 45%, Santos 45%.

Will both teams score in Sao Paulo vs Santos?

Both teams scored in 50% of Sao Paulo's last 10 matches and 50% of Santos's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Brazil : Serie A
Date:
Fri, 2 Oct 2026
Venue:
Morumbi, Sao Paulo

More picks: today's football predictions · tomorrow · this week's pool results