Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 21 · Fri, 2 Oct 2026
Serie A
Sao Paulo
23:00
2 Oct
Santos
The market prices at least two goals at 1.33.
Sao Paulo: Matches Played 10
W4 Wins
in last 10 games
L3 Losses
in last 10 games
D3 Draws
in last 10 games
Santos: Matches Played 10
W5 Wins
in last 10 games
L2 Losses
in last 10 games
D3 Draws
in last 10 games
10%
2.05
45%
3.40
45%
3.75
Teams Head to Head Matches
4 February 2026 • Serie A
D
Santos1 1Sao Paulo
31 January 2026 • Paulista - A1
W
Sao Paulo2 0Santos
21 September 2025 • Serie A
L
Santos1 0Sao Paulo
20 April 2025 • Serie A
W
Sao Paulo2 1Santos
1 February 2025 • Paulista - A1
L
Santos3 1Sao Paulo
14 February 2024 • Paulista - A1
L
Sao Paulo0 1Santos
12 November 2023 • Serie A
D
Santos0 0Sao Paulo
16 July 2023 • Serie A
W
Sao Paulo4 1Santos
20 September 2026 • Serie A
W
Sao Paulo1 0Internacional
16 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
D
Sao Paulo1 1Boca Juniors
12 September 2026 • Serie A
L
Palmeiras2 0Sao Paulo
9 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
L
Boca Juniors1 0Sao Paulo
5 September 2026 • Serie A
W
Sao Paulo2 0Atletico-MG
29 August 2026 • Serie A
W
Sao Paulo2 1RB Bragantino
23 August 2026 • Serie A
L
Chapecoense-sc1 0Sao Paulo
19 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
W
Sao Paulo3 1Bolívar
16 August 2026 • Serie A
D
Sao Paulo1 1Coritiba
12 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
D
Bolívar1 1Sao Paulo
19 September 2026 • Serie A
W
Remo1 2Santos
16 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
L
Atletico-MG4 2Santos
13 September 2026 • Serie A
W
Santos2 1Cruzeiro
9 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
W
Santos2 0Atletico-MG
6 September 2026 • Serie A
W
Internacional2 3Santos
3 September 2026 • Copa Do Brasil
D
Santos0 0Palmeiras
30 August 2026 • Serie A
W
Corinthians0 1Santos
27 August 2026 • Copa Do Brasil
L
Palmeiras3 0Santos
23 August 2026 • Serie A
D
Santos1 1Mirassol
20 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
D
Macara0 0Santos
League Table
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55-23 | 32 | 60 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47-21 | 26 | 57 | DWDDW | |
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43-32 | 11 | 49 | WDLDW | |
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44-36 | 8 | 48 | WLWDW | |
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43-35 | 8 | 46 | LWWWW | |
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42-40 | 2 | 45 | WLWLW | |
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36-32 | 4 | 40 | DWLWD | |
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41-40 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD | |
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37-43 | -6 | 38 | LDLWW | |
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33-31 | 2 | 36 | LDLLW | |
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32-30 | 2 | 36 | WLWWL | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41-45 | -4 | 35 | LWDDL | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28-42 | -14 | 33 | LDWLL | |
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29-32 | -3 | 32 | LLLLL | |
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33-42 | -9 | 32 | WDWLD | |
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34-41 | -7 | 31 | WWLWL | |
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30-38 | -8 | 29 | DLLLW | |
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30-36 | -6 | 28 | LWLLD | |
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32-47 | -15 | 23 | LLLLL | |
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29-53 | -24 | 18 | DLWLW |
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.7
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
53.9%
No
46.1%
1X
64.2%
12
73.9%
X2
61.9%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6%
1 / 1
22.4%
1 / X
5.2%
1 / 2
2.1%
X / 1
13.5%
X / X
15.7%
X / 2
12.8%
2 / 1
2.2%
2 / X
5.2%
2 / 2
20.8%
Home -0.75
40%
odds 2.35
Away +0.75
60%
odds 1.58
Home -0.5
47%
odds 2.05
Away +0.5
53%
odds 1.80
Home -0.25
54%
odds 1.75
Away +0.25
46%
odds 2.05
Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.
Over 10.5
50%
odds 1.83
Under 10.5
50%
odds 1.83
Total corners over/under.
Over 6.5
44%
odds 2.10
Under 6.5
56%
odds 1.67
Total cards over/under.
- Jonathan Calleri2.5040%
- Domingos Gustavo Santana2.5040%
- Luciano Neves2.5040%
- Andre Silva2.6238%
- Tete dos Santos3.1032%
Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Draw
Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.33
Expected goals: 2.7
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Sao Paulo
Santos
Sao Paulo
Santos
Average Event Minute
Sao Paulo
First goal scored: 46′First goal conceded: 62′First card: 39′
Santos
First goal scored: 43′First goal conceded: 56′First card: 26′
Season Statistics
| Sao Paulo | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | DLWWLW | WDWWWW |
| Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 3 |
| Biggest win streak | 4 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Sao Paulo
Santos
Trends
6 match streak · Serie A
Santos have scored in each of their last 6 matches in Serie A.
6 match streak · Serie A
Santos are unbeaten in their last 6 matches in Serie A.
4 match streak · Serie A
Santos have won each of their last 4 matches in Serie A.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Sao Paulo
H · 2 Oct
Santos
4/5A · 8 Oct
Cruzeiro
4/5H · 11 Oct
Vitoria
2/5H · 18 Oct
Vasco DA Gama
2/5A · 25 Oct
Mirassol
2/5A · 28 Oct
Bahia
4/5H · 4 Nov
Corinthians
2/5H · 18 Nov
Fluminense
5/5Santos
A · 2 Oct
Sao Paulo
3/5H · 8 Oct
Flamengo
5/5A · 11 Oct
Atletico-MG
4/5A · 18 Oct
Fluminense
5/5H · 25 Oct
Bahia
4/5H · 28 Oct
Palmeiras
5/5A · 4 Nov
RB Bragantino
3/5A · 18 Nov
Coritiba
3/5Team News
Injuries and suspensions
- D. Bobadilla (Sao Paulo): Inactive
- Jonathan Calleri (Sao Paulo): Yellow Cards
- Lucas Moura (Sao Paulo): Achilles Tendon Injury
- Lucca Marques (Sao Paulo): Jaw injury
- D. Duarte (Sao Paulo): Injury
- A. Barreal (Santos): Thigh Injury
- Coutinho (Santos): Inactive
- Gabriel Bontempo (Santos): Yellow Cards
- Gabriel Brazao (Santos): Inactive
- Luan Peres (Santos): Yellow Cards
- Neymar (Santos): Thigh Injury
- Vinicius Lira (Santos): Knee Injury
Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction & Tips
Sao Paulo host Santos in Brazil Serie A at Morumbi. In the table, Sao Paulo sit 11th on 36 points and Santos are 8th on 38.
Form: Sao Paulo have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Santos 4W 0D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Sao Paulo average 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded; Santos average 1.3 and 1.2.
In their last 8 meetings Sao Paulo have won 3, Santos 3 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 50%.
The feed's model puts Sao Paulo at 10%, the draw at 45% and Santos at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Santos.
Our call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.33. The market prices at least two goals at 1.33.
Sao Paulo vs Santos FAQs
When is the match between Sao Paulo and Santos?
Sao Paulo v Santos is scheduled on Fri, 2 October 2026 at 23:00 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
Brazil Serie A, Regular Season - 21.
What is their ranking in the league table this season?
Sao Paulo are 11th in the table, while Santos are 8th.
What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Santos?
Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.33.
Who is most likely to win Sao Paulo vs Santos?
The draw and Santos are level at the top: Sao Paulo 10%, draw 45%, Santos 45%.
Will both teams score in Sao Paulo vs Santos?
Both teams scored in 50% of Sao Paulo's last 10 matches and 50% of Santos's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- Brazil : Serie A
- Date:
- Fri, 2 Oct 2026
- Venue:
- Morumbi, Sao Paulo
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