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Santos vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 29 · Thu, 8 Oct 2026

Serie A

Santos

22:30

8 Oct

Flamengo

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 Goals1.2595%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Also rated:Away Win @ 1.80Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75Both Teams to Score @ 1.70

Santos: Matches Played 10

WWLWW

W6 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Flamengo: Matches Played 10

WWWDW

W8 Wins

in last 10 games

L1 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

4.50

45%

3.60

45%

1.80

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 5 April 2026 • Serie A

    LFlamengo3  1Santos
  • 9 November 2025 • Serie A

    LFlamengo3  2Santos
  • 16 July 2025 • Serie A

    WSantos1  0Flamengo
  • 1 November 2023 • Serie A

    WFlamengo1  2Santos
  • 25 June 2023 • Serie A

    LSantos2  3Flamengo
  • 26 October 2022 • Serie A

    LFlamengo3  2Santos
  • 2 July 2022 • Serie A

    LSantos1  2Flamengo
  • 6 December 2021 • Serie A

    WFlamengo0  1Santos
Last Matches (Santos)
  • 2 October 2026 • Serie A

    WSao Paulo1  2Santos
  • 19 September 2026 • Serie A

    WRemo1  2Santos
  • 16 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    LAtletico-MG4  2Santos
  • 13 September 2026 • Serie A

    WSantos2  1Cruzeiro
  • 9 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    WSantos2  0Atletico-MG
  • 6 September 2026 • Serie A

    WInternacional2  3Santos
  • 3 September 2026 • Copa Do Brasil

    DSantos0  0Palmeiras
  • 30 August 2026 • Serie A

    WCorinthians0  1Santos
  • 27 August 2026 • Copa Do Brasil

    LPalmeiras3  0Santos
  • 23 August 2026 • Serie A

    DSantos1  1Mirassol
Last Matches (Flamengo)
  • 20 September 2026 • Serie A

    WFlamengo2  1RB Bragantino
  • 18 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores

    DFlamengo1  1Independiente del Valle
  • 13 September 2026 • Serie A

    WFlamengo2  1Corinthians
  • 11 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores

    WIndependiente del Valle0  2Flamengo
  • 6 September 2026 • Serie A

    WRemo0  1Flamengo
  • 2 September 2026 • Serie A

    WFlamengo2  0Mirassol
  • 30 August 2026 • Serie A

    WFlamengo3  0Botafogo
  • 22 August 2026 • Serie A

    LCruzeiro2  1Flamengo
  • 20 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores

    WFlamengo2  1Cruzeiro
  • 16 August 2026 • Serie A

    WMirassol1  5Flamengo

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Flamengo28186455-233260WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347-212657DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743-321149WDLDW
4Cruzeiro29146944-40448WWLWL
5Fluminense28139644-36848WLWDW
6Bahia281210643-35846LWWWW
7Atletico-MG28127937-32543WDWLW
8Santos28118943-41241WWWWW
9Coritiba281081037-43-638LDLWW
10RB Bragantino291071234-33137DLLDL
11Sao Paulo291061333-34-136LLWLW
12Vitoria291061332-42-1036WLDWL
13Botafogo29981242-47-535LLWDD
14Vasco DA Gama28971236-42-634WWWLW
15Mirassol29891234-43-933DWDWL
16Corinthians29881330-34-432LLLLL
17Internacional297101232-37-531WLWLL
18Gremio29791331-39-830DDLLL
19Remo29591533-48-1524DLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc28391629-57-2818LDLWL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense2618
PedroFlamengo2816
Gabriel BarbosaSantos2013
Carlos ViníciusGremio2710
Samuel LinoFlamengo279
Matheus PereiraCruzeiro259
Danilo SantosBotafogo219
ReneVitoria219
John KennedyFluminense189
LucianoSao Paulo239

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals94.5%5.5%
1.5 goals78.5%21.5%
2.5 goals55.4%44.6%
3.5 goals33%67%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

56.5%

No

43.5%

1X

48.6%

12

76.4%

X2

75%

1-1

11.1%

1-2

9.7%

0-1

9.6%

0-2

8.4%

2-1

6.4%

1-0

6.3%

1-3

5.7%

2-2

5.6%

1 / 1

14.1%

1 / X

5%

1 / 2

2.9%

X / 1

9.2%

X / X

13.6%

X / 2

16.6%

2 / 1

1.7%

2 / X

5%

2 / 2

31.9%

Home +0.5

47%

odds 2.02

Away -0.5

53%

odds 1.78

Home +0.75

53%

odds 1.82

Away -0.75

47%

odds 2.02

Home +1

60%

odds 1.58

Away -1

40%

odds 2.35

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 9

53%

odds 1.78

Under 9

47%

odds 2.02

Over 9.5

46%

odds 2.00

Under 9.5

54%

odds 1.73

Total corners over/under.

Over 5.5

49%

odds 1.91

Under 5.5

51%

odds 1.80

Total cards over/under.

  • Pedro Guilherme1.9152%
  • Neymar3.0033%
  • Bruno Henrique3.0033%
  • Luiz Araujo3.0033%
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta3.5029%

Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

Expected goals: 2.9

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form50% / 50%
Attack50% / 50%
Defence29% / 71%
Goals model29% / 71%
Head-to-head40% / 60%
Overall40% / 60%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Santos6/6
Flamengo5/6

Over 2.5

Santos5/6
Flamengo2/6

Over 3.5

Santos2/6
Flamengo0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Santos5/6
Flamengo3/6

Goals By Time Period

Santos

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Flamengo

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Santos

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Flamengo

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Santos

First goal scored: 42′First goal conceded: 40′First card: 32′

Flamengo

First goal scored: 47′First goal conceded: 55′First card: 46′

Season Statistics

SantosFlamengo
FormDWWWWWLWWWWW
Played2828
Wins1118
Draws86
Losses94
Goals for (avg)1.52
Goals against (avg)1.50.8
Clean sheets612
Failed to score32
Biggest win streak14

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Santos

Total shots14.7
Blocked4.2
51% off target49% on target
53% inside box47% outside box
Total passes506.5
Accurate passes430.3 (85%)
Possession49%

Flamengo

Total shots15.3
Blocked4.5
54% off target46% on target
70% inside box30% outside box
Total passes567
Accurate passes498.5 (88%)
Possession57%

Trends

11 match streak · Serie A

Flamengo have scored in each of their last 11 matches in Serie A.

7 match streak · Serie A

Santos have scored in each of their last 7 matches in Serie A.

7 match streak · Serie A

Santos are unbeaten in their last 7 matches in Serie A.

5 match streak · Serie A

Santos have won each of their last 5 matches in Serie A.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Santos

H · 8 Oct

Flamengo

5/5

A · 11 Oct

Atletico-MG

4/5

A · 18 Oct

Fluminense

4/5

H · 25 Oct

Bahia

4/5

H · 28 Oct

Palmeiras

5/5

A · 2 Nov

RB Bragantino

3/5

A · 18 Nov

Coritiba

3/5

H · 22 Nov

Gremio

1/5

Flamengo

A · 8 Oct

Santos

4/5

H · 11 Oct

Fluminense

4/5

A · 13 Oct

Estudiantes L.P.

Unrated

A · 18 Oct

Bahia

4/5

H · 20 Oct

Estudiantes L.P.

Unrated

H · 26 Oct

Atletico-MG

4/5

A · 29 Oct

Vasco DA Gama

2/5

H · 4 Nov

Gremio

1/5

Team News

Injuries and suspensions

  • Gabriel Brazao (Santos): Shoulder Injury
  • Neymar (Santos): Thigh Injury
  • Vinicius Lira (Santos): Knee Injury
  • Arthur Melo (Santos): Injury
  • Evertton Araujo (Flamengo): Thigh Injury
  • Ayrton Lucas (Flamengo): Thigh Injury
  • G. de Arrascaeta (Flamengo): Wrist Injury
  • Gabriel Brazao (Santos): Shoulder Injury
  • Neymar (Santos): Thigh Injury
  • Vinicius Lira (Santos): Knee Injury
  • Arthur Melo (Santos): Injury
  • Evertton Araujo (Flamengo): Thigh Injury

Santos vs Flamengo Prediction & Tips

Santos host Flamengo in Brazil Serie A at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. In the table, Santos sit 8th on 41 points and Flamengo are 1st on 60.

Form: Santos have taken 4W 0D 1L from their last 5, Flamengo 4W 1D 0L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Santos average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded; Flamengo average 2.1 and 0.7.

In their last 8 meetings Santos have won 3, Flamengo 5 and 0 were drawn, averaging 3.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 75%.

The feed's model puts Santos at 10%, the draw at 45% and Flamengo at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Flamengo.

Our call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25. The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

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Santos vs Flamengo FAQs

When is the match between Santos and Flamengo?

Santos v Flamengo is scheduled on Thu, 8 October 2026 at 22:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Brazil Serie A, Regular Season - 29.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Santos are 8th in the table, while Flamengo are 1st.

What is the prediction for Santos vs Flamengo?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Santos vs Flamengo?

The draw and Flamengo are level at the top: Santos 10%, draw 45%, Flamengo 45%.

Will both teams score in Santos vs Flamengo?

Both teams scored in 60% of Santos's last 10 matches and 60% of Flamengo's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Santos vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Brazil : Serie A
Date:
Thu, 8 Oct 2026
Venue:
Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

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