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Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La Liga · Regular Season - 5 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

La Liga

Real Sociedad

0 - 3

Full time · 13 Sept

Atletico Madrid

PredictionOddsConfidence
Both Teams to ScoreLOST1.5380%

The market prices both teams to score at 1.53.

Also rated:Home or Away (12) @ 1.28Away Win Either Half @ 1.68

Real Sociedad: Matches Played 10

LLWDW

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

Atletico Madrid: Matches Played 10

WDWLL

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 18 April 2026 • Copa del Rey

    DAtletico Madrid2  2Real Sociedad
  • 7 March 2026 • La Liga

    LAtletico Madrid3  2Real Sociedad
  • 4 January 2026 • La Liga

    DReal Sociedad1  1Atletico Madrid
  • 10 May 2025 • La Liga

    LAtletico Madrid4  0Real Sociedad
  • 6 October 2024 • La Liga

    DReal Sociedad1  1Atletico Madrid
  • 25 May 2024 • La Liga

    LReal Sociedad0  2Atletico Madrid
  • 8 October 2023 • La Liga

    LAtletico Madrid2  1Real Sociedad
Last Matches (Real Sociedad)
  • 7 September 2026 • La Liga

    WElche2  3Real Sociedad
  • 3 September 2026 • La Liga

    DReal Sociedad0  0Celta Vigo
  • 29 August 2026 • La Liga

    WReal Sociedad2  1Espanyol
  • 26 August 2026 • La Liga

    LReal Madrid4  1Real Sociedad
  • 21 August 2026 • La Liga

    LReal Betis1  0Real Sociedad
  • 15 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LChelsea3  1Real Sociedad
  • 8 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    L1. FC Köln2  1Real Sociedad
  • 31 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LToulouse2  1Real Sociedad
  • 28 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WAston Villa2  4Real Sociedad
  • 25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WWolves1  2Real Sociedad
Last Matches (Atletico Madrid)
  • 9 September 2026 • UEFA Champions League

    LLiverpool2  1Atletico Madrid
  • 5 September 2026 • La Liga

    LAthletic Club3  0Atletico Madrid
  • 29 August 2026 • La Liga

    WSevilla1  3Atletico Madrid
  • 23 August 2026 • La Liga

    DAtletico Madrid2  2Villarreal
  • 19 August 2026 • La Liga

    WAtletico Madrid2  0Malaga
  • 14 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WMarseille1  2Atletico Madrid
  • 9 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LManchester City3  1Atletico Madrid
  • 1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LManchester United2  1Atletico Madrid
  • 29 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WAtletico Madrid4  1Getafe
  • 24 May 2026 • La Liga

    LVillarreal5  1Atletico Madrid

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Barcelona770031-72421WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid751116-7916WWWLW
3Real Betis75119-7216DWWWL
4Real Madrid750218-81015LWWLW
5Sevilla741210-9113LWWDL
6Alaves732211-6511DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna724110-8210DLDWW
8Real Sociedad73139-13-410WLWDW
9Villarreal722313-1218WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227-618DDWWL
11Getafe72234-7-38WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano722311-16-58DWLWL
13Osasuna72236-13-78DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428-627WDDDL
15Espanyol721410-1007LLWDL
16Racing Santander721411-21-107LLWLW
17Levante61238-12-45LLDWD
18Elche712411-17-65WLDLL
19Valencia71154-13-94LWLLL
20Malaga70343-12-93LLDDL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
RaphinhaBarcelona712
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano77
Lamine YamalBarcelona77
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid77
M. ZabiriRacing Santander76
Roberto FernándezEspanyol76
P. AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna75
Fer NiñoElche75
A. BudimirOsasuna75
FermínBarcelona64

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals96.1%3.9%
1.5 goals83.5%16.5%
2.5 goals63%37%
3.5 goals40.9%59.1%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

60%

No

40%

1X

40.8%

12

79.3%

X2

79.8%

1-2

9.8%

1-1

9.4%

0-2

8.5%

0-1

8.1%

1-3

6.9%

0-3

6%

2-2

5.7%

2-1

5.4%

1 / 1

11.3%

1 / X

4.7%

1 / 2

3.5%

X / 1

7.3%

X / X

11.3%

X / 2

17.4%

2 / 1

1.6%

2 / X

4.7%

2 / 2

38.3%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Both Teams to Score at 1.53

Expected goals: 3.2

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form50% / 50%
Attack46% / 54%
Defence43% / 57%
Goals model67% / 33%
Head-to-head38% / 62%
Overall47% / 53%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Real Sociedad4/6
Atletico Madrid6/6

Over 2.5

Real Sociedad4/6
Atletico Madrid5/6

Over 3.5

Real Sociedad3/6
Atletico Madrid2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Real Sociedad4/6
Atletico Madrid4/6

Goals By Time Period

Real Sociedad

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Atletico Madrid

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Real Sociedad

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Atletico Madrid

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Real Sociedad

First goal scored: 26′First goal conceded: 45′First card: 25′

Atletico Madrid

First goal scored: 38′First goal conceded: 48′First card: 36′

Season Statistics

Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
FormLWDWLWDWLWWW
Played77
Wins35
Draws11
Losses31
Goals for (avg)1.32.3
Goals against (avg)1.91
Clean sheets13
Failed to score31
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Real Sociedad

Total shots13
Blocked4
40% off target60% on target
60% inside box40% outside box
Total passes476
Accurate passes406.8 (85%)
Possession49%

Atletico Madrid

Total shots14
Blocked4
52% off target48% on target
53% inside box47% outside box
Total passes543.6
Accurate passes475.6 (87%)
Possession56%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Real Sociedad

H · 11 Oct

Deportivo La Coruna

4/5

A · 15 Oct

Union St. Gilloise

Unrated

A · 18 Oct

Malaga

1/5

A · 22 Oct

Lillestrom

Unrated

H · 25 Oct

Levante

1/5

A · 1 Nov

Athletic Club

3/5

H · 5 Nov

Lyon

Unrated

H · 8 Nov

Rayo Vallecano

3/5

Atletico Madrid

A · 10 Oct

Alaves

4/5

H · 13 Oct

Manchester United

Unrated

A · 17 Oct

Espanyol

2/5

A · 20 Oct

VfB Stuttgart

Unrated

H · 25 Oct

Deportivo La Coruna

4/5

A · 1 Nov

Levante

1/5

H · 3 Nov

Bayern München

Unrated

H · 8 Nov

Barcelona

5/5

Team News

Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1

Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo

  1. A. Remiro
  2. J. Aramburu
  3. L. Beitia
  4. M. Sarr
  5. S. Gomez
  6. Y. Herrera
  7. C. Soler
  8. A. Barrenetxea
  9. L. Sucic
  10. G. Guedes
  11. M. Oyarzabal

Atletico Madrid 3-4-2-1

Coach: Diego Simeone

  1. J. Oblak
  2. M. Pubill
  3. C. Romero
  4. D. Hancko
  5. G. Simeone
  6. M. Llorente
  7. M. Hjulmand
  8. A. Grimaldo
  9. Lee Kang-In
  10. A. Baena
  11. A. Lookman

Injuries and suspensions

  • J. Martin (Real Sociedad): Red Card
  • A. Odriozola (Real Sociedad): Knee Injury
  • I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad): Injury
  • J. Alvarez (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • P. Barrios (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • A. Sorloth (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • J. Martin (Real Sociedad): Red Card
  • A. Odriozola (Real Sociedad): Knee Injury
  • I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad): Injury
  • J. Alvarez (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • P. Barrios (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • A. Sorloth (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Tips

Real Sociedad host Atletico Madrid in Spain La Liga at Reale Arena. In the current table, Real Sociedad sit 8th on 10 points and Atletico Madrid are 2nd on 16.

Form: Real Sociedad have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Atletico Madrid 2W 1D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Real Sociedad average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded; Atletico Madrid average 1.7 and 2.0.

In their last 7 meetings Real Sociedad have won 0, Atletico Madrid 4 and 3 were drawn, averaging 3.1 goals a game with both teams scoring in 71%.

The feed's model puts Real Sociedad at 10%, the draw at 45% and Atletico Madrid at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid.

Our published call was Both Teams to Score at 1.53, which did not land.

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Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

When is the match between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid?

Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid was played on Sun, 13 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Spain La Liga, Regular Season - 5.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Real Sociedad are 8th in the table, while Atletico Madrid are 2nd.

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Our prediction is Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.53.

Who is most likely to win Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

The draw and Atletico Madrid are level at the top: Real Sociedad 10%, draw 45%, Atletico Madrid 45%.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Both teams scored in 80% of Real Sociedad's last 10 matches and 80% of Atletico Madrid's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Spain : La Liga
Date:
Sun, 13 Sept 2026
Venue:
Reale Arena, San Sebastian

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