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Real Madrid vs Malaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La Liga · Regular Season - 3 · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

La Liga

Real Madrid

4 - 0

Full time · 30 Aug

Malaga

PredictionOddsConfidence
Home WinWON1.14-

Real Madrid: Matches Played 10

WWWWW

W9 Wins

in last 10 games

L0 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

Malaga: Matches Played 10

WLDLD

W2 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D6 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

50%

50%

0%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 15 April 2018 • La Liga

    WMalaga1  2Real Madrid
  • 25 November 2017 • La Liga

    WReal Madrid3  2Malaga
  • 21 May 2017 • La Liga

    WMalaga0  2Real Madrid
  • 21 January 2017 • La Liga

    WReal Madrid2  1Malaga
  • 21 February 2016 • La Liga

    DMalaga1  1Real Madrid
  • 26 September 2015 • La Liga

    DReal Madrid0  0Malaga
  • 18 April 2015 • La Liga

    WReal Madrid3  1Malaga
Last Matches (Real Madrid)
  • 26 August 2026 • La Liga

    WReal Madrid4  1Real Sociedad
  • 22 August 2026 • La Liga

    WEspanyol1  2Real Madrid
  • 16 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WFC Schalke 040  3Real Madrid
  • 12 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WDeportivo La Coruna0  1Real Madrid
  • 8 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WFerencvarosi TC1  2Real Madrid
  • 1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DReal Madrid2  2Fiorentina
  • 28 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WReal Madrid4  1Leganes
  • 23 May 2026 • La Liga

    WReal Madrid4  2Athletic Club
  • 17 May 2026 • La Liga

    WSevilla0  1Real Madrid
  • 14 May 2026 • La Liga

    WReal Madrid2  0Oviedo
Last Matches (Malaga)
  • 24 August 2026 • La Liga

    DMalaga1  1Deportivo La Coruna
  • 19 August 2026 • La Liga

    LAtletico Madrid2  0Malaga
  • 12 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DMalaga2  2Fulham
  • 7 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LAD Ceuta FC2  1Malaga
  • 6 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WMalaga4  2Al-Arabi SC
  • 30 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DMalaga2  2Al-Ittihad FC
  • 25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DMalaga3  3Leicester
  • 20 June 2026 • Segunda División

    WAlmeria1  2Malaga
  • 14 June 2026 • Segunda División

    DMalaga0  0Almeria
  • 10 June 2026 • Segunda División

    DMalaga1  1Las Palmas

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Barcelona770031-72421WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid751116-7916WWWLW
3Real Betis75119-7216DWWWL
4Real Madrid750218-81015LWWLW
5Sevilla741210-9113LWWDL
6Alaves732211-6511DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna724110-8210DLDWW
8Real Sociedad73139-13-410WLWDW
9Villarreal722313-1218WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227-618DDWWL
11Getafe72234-7-38WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano722311-16-58DWLWL
13Osasuna72236-13-78DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428-627WDDDL
15Espanyol721410-1007LLWDL
16Racing Santander721411-21-107LLWLW
17Levante61238-12-45LLDWD
18Elche712411-17-65WLDLL
19Valencia71154-13-94LWLLL
20Malaga70343-12-93LLDDL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
RaphinhaBarcelona712
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano77
Lamine YamalBarcelona77
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid77
M. ZabiriRacing Santander76
Roberto FernándezEspanyol76
P. AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna75
Fer NiñoElche75
A. BudimirOsasuna75
FermínBarcelona64

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals94.5%5.5%
1.5 goals78.5%21.5%
2.5 goals55.4%44.6%
3.5 goals33%67%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

46.6%

No

53.4%

1X

88.3%

12

81.3%

X2

30.4%

2-0

12.7%

1-0

11.8%

2-1

9.5%

3-0

9.1%

1-1

8.9%

3-1

6.8%

0-0

5.5%

4-0

4.9%

1 / 1

46.3%

1 / X

3.6%

1 / 2

0.8%

X / 1

20.4%

X / X

11.6%

X / 2

4.7%

2 / 1

2.9%

2 / X

3.6%

2 / 2

6.2%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Real Madrid

Our pick: Home Win at 1.14

Expected goals: 2.9

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form86% / 14%
Attack86% / 14%
Defence60% / 40%
Goals model100% / 0%
Head-to-head93% / 7%
Overall78% / 22%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Real Madrid5/6
Malaga6/6

Over 2.5

Real Madrid5/6
Malaga4/6

Over 3.5

Real Madrid2/6
Malaga3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Real Madrid4/6
Malaga5/6

Goals By Time Period

Real Madrid

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Malaga

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Real Madrid

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Malaga

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Real Madrid

First goal scored: 26′First goal conceded: 43′First card: 40′

Malaga

First goal scored: 34′First goal conceded: 34′First card: 59′

Season Statistics

Real MadridMalaga
FormWWLWWLDLDDLL
Played77
Wins50
Draws03
Losses24
Goals for (avg)2.60.4
Goals against (avg)1.11.7
Clean sheets11
Failed to score14
Biggest win streak30

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Real Madrid

Total shots20.5
Blocked6
34% off target66% on target
68% inside box32% outside box
Total passes566.5
Accurate passes519.5 (92%)
Possession57%

Malaga

Total shots9
Blocked2.5
77% off target23% on target
56% inside box44% outside box
Total passes497.5
Accurate passes434 (87%)
Possession51%

Trends

5 match streak · La Liga

Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 matches in La Liga.

5 match streak · La Liga

Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5 matches in La Liga.

5 match streak · La Liga

Real Madrid have won each of their last 5 matches in La Liga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Real Madrid

H · 10 Oct

Villarreal

3/5

A · 14 Oct

AS Roma

Unrated

H · 18 Oct

Sevilla

4/5

H · 21 Oct

RB Leipzig

Unrated

A · 25 Oct

Barcelona

5/5

A · 1 Nov

Racing Santander

2/5

A · 4 Nov

AEK Athens FC

Unrated

A · 8 Nov

Valencia

1/5

Malaga

H · 9 Oct

Espanyol

2/5

H · 18 Oct

Real Sociedad

4/5

A · 25 Oct

Alaves

4/5

A · 1 Nov

Real Betis

5/5

H · 8 Nov

Racing Santander

2/5

A · 22 Nov

Osasuna

2/5

H · 29 Nov

Athletic Club

3/5

A · 6 Dec

Sevilla

4/5

Team News

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

Coach: Jose Mourinho

  1. T. Courtois
  2. T. Alexander-Arnold
  3. A. Rudiger
  4. D. Huijsen
  5. M. Cucurella
  6. F. Valverde
  7. E. Camavinga
  8. B. Diaz
  9. J. Bellingham
  10. Vinicius Junior
  11. K. Mbappe

Malaga 4-4-2

Coach: Juan Funes

  1. A. Herrero
  2. C. Puga
  3. A. Recio
  4. E. Galilea
  5. Rafita
  6. D. Larrubia
  7. R. Rodriguez
  8. I. Merino
  9. J. Munoz
  10. Chupe
  11. C. Dotor

Injuries and suspensions

  • R. Asencio (Real Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • Eder Militao (Real Madrid): Hamstring Injury
  • Endrick (Real Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • F. Mendy (Real Madrid): Hip Injury
  • T. Pitarch (Real Madrid): Knee Injury
  • Rodrygo (Real Madrid): Knee Injury
  • A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • F. Calero (Malaga): Ribs Injury
  • M. Diarra (Malaga): Calf Injury
  • D. Murillo (Malaga): Injury
  • A. Nino (Malaga): Injury
  • A. Ochoa (Malaga): Knee Injury

Real Madrid vs Malaga Prediction & Tips

Real Madrid host Malaga in Spain La Liga at Bernabéu. In the current table, Real Madrid sit 4th on 15 points and Malaga are 20th on 3.

Form: Real Madrid have taken 5W 0D 0L from their last 5, Malaga 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Real Madrid average 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded; Malaga average 1.6 and 1.6.

In their last 7 meetings Real Madrid have won 5, Malaga 0 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.7 goals a game with both teams scoring in 71%.

The feed's model puts Real Madrid at 50%, the draw at 50% and Malaga at 0%. Its own advice: Winner : Real Madrid.

Our published call was Home Win at 1.14, which landed.

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Real Madrid vs Malaga FAQs

When is the match between Real Madrid and Malaga?

Real Madrid v Malaga was played on Sun, 30 August 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Spain La Liga, Regular Season - 3.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Real Madrid are 4th in the table, while Malaga are 20th.

What is the prediction for Real Madrid vs Malaga?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.14.

Who is most likely to win Real Madrid vs Malaga?

Real Madrid and The draw are level at the top: Real Madrid 50%, draw 50%, Malaga 0%.

Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs Malaga?

Both teams scored in 60% of Real Madrid's last 10 matches and 80% of Malaga's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Real Madrid vs Malaga Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Spain : La Liga
Date:
Sun, 30 Aug 2026
Venue:
Bernabéu, Madrid

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