Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Uruguay · Primera División · Clausura - 8 · Sat, 26 Sept 2026
Primera División
Progreso
14:00
26 Sept
Racing Montevideo
A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.
Progreso: Matches Played 10
W3 Wins
in last 10 games
L7 Losses
in last 10 games
D0 Draws
in last 10 games
Racing Montevideo: Matches Played 10
W4 Wins
in last 10 games
L3 Losses
in last 10 games
D3 Draws
in last 10 games
10%
3.90
45%
3.10
45%
1.83
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H26 March 2026 • Primera División
DRacing Montevideo1 1Progreso29 September 2025 • Primera División - Clausura
DRacing Montevideo0 0Progreso22 June 2025 • Primera División - Apertura
LRacing Montevideo3 0Progreso30 March 2025 • Primera División - Apertura
LProgreso0 1Racing Montevideo21 September 2024 • Primera División - Clausura
LRacing Montevideo1 0Progreso7 July 2024 • Primera División - Apertura
WProgreso3 2Racing Montevideo10 March 2024 • Primera División - Apertura
WProgreso4 3Racing Montevideo14 August 2022 • Segunda División
LRacing Montevideo2 1Progreso
Last Matches (Progreso)19 September 2026 • Primera División
W
Boston River1 2Progreso16 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
LProgreso0 1Club Nacional
13 September 2026 • Primera División
LProgreso1 3Cerro
7 September 2026 • Primera División
W
Albion FC0 1Progreso3 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
LAlbion FC2 1Progreso29 August 2026 • Primera División
WProgreso1 0Danubio
26 August 2026 • Copa Uruguay
LProgreso0 2CA River Plate
23 August 2026 • Primera División
LClub Nacional1 0Progreso16 August 2026 • Primera División
LProgreso0 2Deportivo Maldonado
8 August 2026 • Primera División
L
Central Espanol1 0Progreso
Last Matches (Racing Montevideo)20 September 2026 • Primera División
D
Liverpool Montevideo0 0Racing Montevideo17 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
L
Juventud3 0Racing Montevideo12 September 2026 • Primera División
WRacing Montevideo3 2Boston River9 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
LRacing Montevideo2 4Central Espanol6 September 2026 • Primera División
LCerro1 0Racing Montevideo3 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
W
Oriental1 2Racing Montevideo31 August 2026 • Primera División
WRacing Montevideo1 0Albion FC23 August 2026 • Primera División
DDanubio0 0Racing Montevideo15 August 2026 • Primera División
WRacing Montevideo2 0Club Nacional10 August 2026 • Primera División
DDeportivo Maldonado2 2Racing Montevideo
League Table
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 46-23 | 23 | 55 | WWWLD |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 51-32 | 19 | 53 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 35-22 | 13 | 53 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44-27 | 17 | 52 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 43-38 | 5 | 46 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 36-35 | 1 | 44 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37-27 | 10 | 43 | DLWDW |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31-37 | -6 | 38 | LDDLL |
| 9 | Juventud | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35-39 | -4 | 35 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37-38 | -1 | 34 | LLLLL |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 28-32 | -4 | 33 | LDLDD |
| 12 |  Defensor Sporting | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25-33 | -8 | 32 | LWDLD |
| 13 | Cerro | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 23-43 | -20 | 32 | LWWDL |
| 14 | Boston River | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28-40 | -12 | 30 | LLLDW |
| 15 | Danubio | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 24-38 | -14 | 26 | DDLLD |
| 16 | Progreso | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23-42 | -19 | 25 | WLWWL |
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.1
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
40.1%
No
59.9%
1X
51.7%
12
71.3%
X2
77%
0-1
15.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.5%
1 / 1
12.4%
1 / X
4.3%
1 / 2
1.8%
X / 1
9.5%
X / X
20.1%
X / 2
17.9%
2 / 1
1%
2 / X
4.3%
2 / 2
28.6%
Home +0.25
42%
odds 2.25
Away -0.25
58%
odds 1.62
Home +0.5
52%
odds 1.82
Away -0.5
48%
odds 1.98
Home +0.75
57%
odds 1.65
Away -0.75
43%
odds 2.20
Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.
Over 8.5
51%
odds 1.80
Under 8.5
49%
odds 1.91
Total corners over/under.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Draw
Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20
Expected goals: 2.1
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Average Event Minute
Progreso
First goal scored: 71′First goal conceded: 14′First card: 38′
Racing Montevideo
First goal scored: 28′First goal conceded: 25′First card: 39′
Season Statistics
| Progreso | Racing Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LLWWLW | WDWLWD |
| Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 4 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 13 | 7 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 5 |
Trends
4 match streak · Primera División
Progreso have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Primera División.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Progreso
H · 26 Sept
Racing Montevideo
5/5A · 3 Oct
Liverpool Montevideo
4/5Racing Montevideo
A · 26 Sept
Progreso
1/5H · 4 Oct
Penarol
5/5Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction & Tips
Progreso host Racing Montevideo in Uruguay Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. In the table, Progreso sit 16th on 25 points and Racing Montevideo are 3rd on 53.
Form: Progreso have taken 2W 0D 3L from their last 5, Racing Montevideo 1W 1D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Progreso average 0.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded; Racing Montevideo average 1.2 and 1.3.
In their last 8 meetings Progreso have won 2, Racing Montevideo 4 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.8 goals a game with both teams scoring in 50%.
The feed's model puts Progreso at 10%, the draw at 45% and Racing Montevideo at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Racing Montevideo and -3.5 goals.
Our call for this match is Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20. A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.
Progreso vs Racing Montevideo FAQs
When is the match between Progreso and Racing Montevideo?
Progreso v Racing Montevideo is scheduled on Sat, 26 September 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
Uruguay Primera División, Clausura - 8.
What is their ranking in the league table this season?
Progreso are 16th in the table, while Racing Montevideo are 3rd.
What is the prediction for Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?
Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.20.
Who is most likely to win Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?
The draw and Racing Montevideo are level at the top: Progreso 10%, draw 45%, Racing Montevideo 45%.
Will both teams score in Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?
Both teams scored in 30% of Progreso's last 10 matches and 40% of Racing Montevideo's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- Uruguay : Primera División
- Date:
- Sat, 26 Sept 2026
- Venue:
- Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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