Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
England · Championship · Regular Season - 4 · Tue, 1 Sept 2026
Championship
Portsmouth
0 - 2
Full time · 1 Sept
Derby
Both sides rate within 5 points — a genuine coin-flip fixture.
Portsmouth: Matches Played 10
W2 Wins
in last 10 games
L5 Losses
in last 10 games
D3 Draws
in last 10 games
Derby: Matches Played 10
W2 Wins
in last 10 games
L6 Losses
in last 10 games
D2 Draws
in last 10 games
10%
45%
45%
Teams Head to Head Matches
16 March 2026 • Championship
L
Portsmouth0 1Derby
20 December 2025 • Championship
D
Derby1 1Portsmouth
12 April 2025 • Championship
D
Portsmouth2 2Derby
13 December 2024 • Championship
L
Derby4 0Portsmouth
2 April 2024 • League One
D
Portsmouth2 2Derby
16 September 2023 • League One
D
Derby1 1Portsmouth
29 April 2023 • League One
D
Derby1 1Portsmouth
29 August 2026 • Championship
L
Bristol City2 1Portsmouth
22 August 2026 • Championship
W
Lincoln1 3Portsmouth
15 August 2026 • Championship
L
Portsmouth1 3QPR
8 August 2026 • League Cup
L
West Ham3 1Portsmouth
1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
D
SV Darmstadt 980 0Portsmouth
29 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Farnborough1 1Portsmouth
25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
L
Wycombe3 1Portsmouth
18 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Bristol Rovers1 1Portsmouth
15 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
L
Aldershot Town2 0Portsmouth
14 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Woking1 2Portsmouth
29 August 2026 • Championship
L
Derby0 3Swansea
22 August 2026 • Championship
D
Derby2 2Cardiff
15 August 2026 • Championship
L
Charlton2 1Derby
8 August 2026 • League Cup
L
Derby1 2Lincoln
4 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Rotherham1 1Derby
1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
L
Burton Albion1 0Derby
31 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Mansfield Town1 3Derby
28 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
L
Derby1 2Valencia
24 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
L
SC Freiburg3 1Derby
17 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Alfreton Town0 2Derby
League Table
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13-6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22-11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16-12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15-10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10-8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10-7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13-12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11-12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7-10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12-11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15-15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7-8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD | |
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19-10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9-12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11-15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12-12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD | |
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16-17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL | |
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9-11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW | |
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9-10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL | |
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7-10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL | |
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10-12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL | |
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7-14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW | |
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8-15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL | |
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9-17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.7
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
1X
71.8%
12
74.8%
X2
53.5%
1-1
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
1 / 1
28.2%
1 / X
5%
1 / 2
1.8%
X / 1
15.8%
X / X
15.2%
X / 2
10.4%
2 / 1
2.6%
2 / X
5%
2 / 2
16%
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Draw
Our pick: Draw at 3.45
Expected goals: 2.7
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Portsmouth
Derby
Portsmouth
Derby
Average Event Minute
Portsmouth
First goal scored: 33′First goal conceded: 41′First card: 72′
Derby
First goal scored: 26′First goal conceded: 27′First card: 53′
Season Statistics
| Portsmouth | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WLLWDD | LWLLLD |
| Played | 7 | 8 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Portsmouth
Derby
Trends
5 match streak · Championship
Portsmouth have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Championship.
5 match streak · Championship
Portsmouth have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Championship.
5 match streak · Championship
Both teams have scored in each of Portsmouth's last 5 matches in Championship.
4 match streak · Championship
Derby have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Championship.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Portsmouth
A · 11 Oct
Southampton
3/5H · 14 Oct
Sheffield Utd
2/5A · 17 Oct
Norwich
2/5A · 20 Oct
Wolves
5/5H · 24 Oct
Millwall
3/5A · 31 Oct
Burnley
1/5H · 3 Nov
Swansea
5/5H · 7 Nov
Stoke City
4/5Derby
H · 10 Oct
Wrexham
3/5A · 14 Oct
QPR
4/5H · 17 Oct
Stoke City
4/5A · 24 Oct
Sheffield Utd
2/5A · 31 Oct
Millwall
3/5H · 3 Nov
Norwich
2/5H · 6 Nov
Bolton
3/5A · 21 Nov
Southampton
3/5Team News
Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
Coach: John Mousinho
- D. Bielica
- T. Devlin
- B. Arthur
- M. Dia
- Z. Swanson
- M. Pack
- E. Adams
- A. Kamara
- A. Segecic
- R. Kavuma McQueen
- Marezi
Derby 4-2-3-1
Coach: John Eustace
- J. Widell Zetterstrom
- S. Langas
- D. Sanderson
- C. Forsyth
- C. Taylor
- O. Fraulo
- A. Mowatt
- R. Hedges
- B. Clark
- R. Brewster
- S. Szmodics
Injuries and suspensions
- K. Anderson (Portsmouth): Muscle Injury
- J. Farrell (Portsmouth): Groin Injury
- M. Kosznovszky (Portsmouth): Knee Injury
- J. Murphy (Portsmouth): Injury
- C. Ogilvie (Portsmouth): Knee Injury
- F. Umeh (Portsmouth): Hamstring Injury
- T. Waddingham (Portsmouth): Ankle Injury
- P. Agyemang (Derby): Achilles Tendon Injury
- M. Clarke (Derby): Calf Injury
- C. Morris (Derby): Inactive
- D. Murkin (Derby): Hamstring Injury
- L. Travis (Derby): Injury
Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Tips
Portsmouth host Derby in England Championship at Fratton Park. In the current table, Portsmouth sit 19th on 8 points and Derby are 22nd on 5.
Form: Portsmouth have taken 1W 1D 3L from their last 5, Derby 0W 2D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Portsmouth average 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded; Derby average 1.2 and 1.7.
In their last 7 meetings Portsmouth have won 0, Derby 2 and 5 were drawn, averaging 2.7 goals a game with both teams scoring in 71%.
The feed's model puts Portsmouth at 10%, the draw at 45% and Derby at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Derby.
Our published call was Draw at 3.45, which did not land.
Portsmouth vs Derby FAQs
When is the match between Portsmouth and Derby?
Portsmouth v Derby was played on Tue, 1 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
England Championship, Regular Season - 4.
What is their ranking in the league table this season?
Portsmouth are 19th in the table, while Derby are 22nd.
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby?
Our prediction is Draw at odds of 3.45.
Who is most likely to win Portsmouth vs Derby?
The draw and Derby are level at the top: Portsmouth 10%, draw 45%, Derby 45%.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Derby?
Both teams scored in 80% of Portsmouth's last 10 matches and 70% of Derby's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- England : Championship
- Date:
- Tue, 1 Sept 2026
- Venue:
- Fratton Park, Portsmouth
More picks: today's football predictions · tomorrow · this week's pool results