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Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Championship · Regular Season - 4 · Tue, 1 Sept 2026

Championship

Portsmouth

0 - 2

Full time · 1 Sept

Derby

PredictionOddsConfidence
DrawLOST3.4560%

Both sides rate within 5 points — a genuine coin-flip fixture.

Portsmouth: Matches Played 10

DLLWL

W2 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

Derby: Matches Played 10

DLLDL

W2 Wins

in last 10 games

L6 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 16 March 2026 • Championship

    LPortsmouth0  1Derby
  • 20 December 2025 • Championship

    DDerby1  1Portsmouth
  • 12 April 2025 • Championship

    DPortsmouth2  2Derby
  • 13 December 2024 • Championship

    LDerby4  0Portsmouth
  • 2 April 2024 • League One

    DPortsmouth2  2Derby
  • 16 September 2023 • League One

    DDerby1  1Portsmouth
  • 29 April 2023 • League One

    DDerby1  1Portsmouth
Last Matches (Portsmouth)
  • 29 August 2026 • Championship

    LBristol City2  1Portsmouth
  • 22 August 2026 • Championship

    WLincoln1  3Portsmouth
  • 15 August 2026 • Championship

    LPortsmouth1  3QPR
  • 8 August 2026 • League Cup

    LWest Ham3  1Portsmouth
  • 1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DSV Darmstadt 980  0Portsmouth
  • 29 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DFarnborough1  1Portsmouth
  • 25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LWycombe3  1Portsmouth
  • 18 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DBristol Rovers1  1Portsmouth
  • 15 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LAldershot Town2  0Portsmouth
  • 14 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WWoking1  2Portsmouth
Last Matches (Derby)
  • 29 August 2026 • Championship

    LDerby0  3Swansea
  • 22 August 2026 • Championship

    DDerby2  2Cardiff
  • 15 August 2026 • Championship

    LCharlton2  1Derby
  • 8 August 2026 • League Cup

    LDerby1  2Lincoln
  • 4 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DRotherham1  1Derby
  • 1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LBurton Albion1  0Derby
  • 31 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WMansfield Town1  3Derby
  • 28 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LDerby1  2Valencia
  • 24 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LSC Freiburg3  1Derby
  • 17 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WAlfreton Town0  2Derby

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Swansea852113-6717WWLDW
2West Ham843122-111115DWWWW
3Middlesbrough843116-12415DDWWD
4Wolves742115-10514WWDLW
5West Brom842210-8214LDWWD
6QPR834110-7313DDDLW
7Stoke City841313-12113WWDWW
8Bristol City841311-12-113WLLWW
9Charlton83327-10-312LDDLD
10Birmingham825112-11111DWLDD
11Millwall832315-15011DDLWL
12Lincoln83237-8-111LWWDD
13Southampton842219-10910LWWDD
14Wrexham82429-12-310WLDDW
15Bolton831411-15-410WWLLL
16Blackburn823312-1209DWLLD
17Norwich830516-17-19LLWWL
18Sheffield Utd82339-11-29LLWLW
19Portsmouth72239-10-18DDWLL
20Watford82247-10-38LLWLL
21Cardiff814310-12-27WLDLL
22Derby81257-14-75DLLLW
23Preston81168-15-74DLLWL
24Burnley80449-17-84DLDLD

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
C. LarinSouthampton87
W. LankshearMiddlesbrough86
M. TouréNorwich75
Fer LópezWolves74
K. MavropanosWest Ham74
J. BowenWest Ham84
L. DykesMillwall84
F. AzazSouthampton83
J. MorganWest Brom83
O. AfolayanBlackburn83

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.7

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals93.3%6.7%
1.5 goals75.1%24.9%
2.5 goals50.6%49.4%
3.5 goals28.6%71.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

53.8%

No

46.2%

1X

71.8%

12

74.8%

X2

53.5%

1-1

12%

1-0

10.4%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

8.1%

0-1

7.7%

1-2

6.9%

0-0

6.7%

2-2

5.3%

1 / 1

28.2%

1 / X

5%

1 / 2

1.8%

X / 1

15.8%

X / X

15.2%

X / 2

10.4%

2 / 1

2.6%

2 / X

5%

2 / 2

16%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Draw at 3.45

Expected goals: 2.7

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form75% / 25%
Attack63% / 38%
Defence54% / 46%
Goals model36% / 64%
Head-to-head25% / 75%
Overall48% / 53%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Portsmouth5/6
Derby5/6

Over 2.5

Portsmouth4/6
Derby4/6

Over 3.5

Portsmouth3/6
Derby1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Portsmouth5/6
Derby4/6

Goals By Time Period

Portsmouth

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Derby

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Portsmouth

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Derby

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Portsmouth

First goal scored: 33′First goal conceded: 41′First card: 72′

Derby

First goal scored: 26′First goal conceded: 27′First card: 53′

Season Statistics

PortsmouthDerby
FormWLLWDDLWLLLD
Played78
Wins21
Draws22
Losses35
Goals for (avg)1.30.9
Goals against (avg)1.41.8
Clean sheets21
Failed to score23
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Portsmouth

Total shots14
Blocked3.5
57% off target43% on target
55% inside box45% outside box
Total passes389.3
Accurate passes305.5 (78%)
Possession56%

Derby

Total shots11.5
Blocked4
50% off target50% on target
67% inside box33% outside box
Total passes419.8
Accurate passes335 (80%)
Possession52%

Trends

5 match streak · Championship

Portsmouth have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Championship.

5 match streak · Championship

Portsmouth have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Championship.

5 match streak · Championship

Both teams have scored in each of Portsmouth's last 5 matches in Championship.

4 match streak · Championship

Derby have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Portsmouth

A · 11 Oct

Southampton

3/5

H · 14 Oct

Sheffield Utd

2/5

A · 17 Oct

Norwich

2/5

A · 20 Oct

Wolves

5/5

H · 24 Oct

Millwall

3/5

A · 31 Oct

Burnley

1/5

H · 3 Nov

Swansea

5/5

H · 7 Nov

Stoke City

4/5

Derby

H · 10 Oct

Wrexham

3/5

A · 14 Oct

QPR

4/5

H · 17 Oct

Stoke City

4/5

A · 24 Oct

Sheffield Utd

2/5

A · 31 Oct

Millwall

3/5

H · 3 Nov

Norwich

2/5

H · 6 Nov

Bolton

3/5

A · 21 Nov

Southampton

3/5

Team News

Portsmouth 4-2-3-1

Coach: John Mousinho

  1. D. Bielica
  2. T. Devlin
  3. B. Arthur
  4. M. Dia
  5. Z. Swanson
  6. M. Pack
  7. E. Adams
  8. A. Kamara
  9. A. Segecic
  10. R. Kavuma McQueen
  11. Marezi

Derby 4-2-3-1

Coach: John Eustace

  1. J. Widell Zetterstrom
  2. S. Langas
  3. D. Sanderson
  4. C. Forsyth
  5. C. Taylor
  6. O. Fraulo
  7. A. Mowatt
  8. R. Hedges
  9. B. Clark
  10. R. Brewster
  11. S. Szmodics

Injuries and suspensions

  • K. Anderson (Portsmouth): Muscle Injury
  • J. Farrell (Portsmouth): Groin Injury
  • M. Kosznovszky (Portsmouth): Knee Injury
  • J. Murphy (Portsmouth): Injury
  • C. Ogilvie (Portsmouth): Knee Injury
  • F. Umeh (Portsmouth): Hamstring Injury
  • T. Waddingham (Portsmouth): Ankle Injury
  • P. Agyemang (Derby): Achilles Tendon Injury
  • M. Clarke (Derby): Calf Injury
  • C. Morris (Derby): Inactive
  • D. Murkin (Derby): Hamstring Injury
  • L. Travis (Derby): Injury

Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Tips

Portsmouth host Derby in England Championship at Fratton Park. In the current table, Portsmouth sit 19th on 8 points and Derby are 22nd on 5.

Form: Portsmouth have taken 1W 1D 3L from their last 5, Derby 0W 2D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Portsmouth average 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded; Derby average 1.2 and 1.7.

In their last 7 meetings Portsmouth have won 0, Derby 2 and 5 were drawn, averaging 2.7 goals a game with both teams scoring in 71%.

The feed's model puts Portsmouth at 10%, the draw at 45% and Derby at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Derby.

Our published call was Draw at 3.45, which did not land.

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Portsmouth vs Derby FAQs

When is the match between Portsmouth and Derby?

Portsmouth v Derby was played on Tue, 1 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

England Championship, Regular Season - 4.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Portsmouth are 19th in the table, while Derby are 22nd.

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby?

Our prediction is Draw at odds of 3.45.

Who is most likely to win Portsmouth vs Derby?

The draw and Derby are level at the top: Portsmouth 10%, draw 45%, Derby 45%.

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Derby?

Both teams scored in 80% of Portsmouth's last 10 matches and 70% of Derby's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Match Preview

League:
England : Championship
Date:
Tue, 1 Sept 2026
Venue:
Fratton Park, Portsmouth

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