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Penarol vs Boston River Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera División · Clausura - 8 · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Primera División

Penarol

2 - 1

Full time · 26 Sept

Boston River

PredictionOddsConfidence
Home WinWON1.3680%

Penarol carry a 29 point edge at home.

Penarol: Matches Played 10

DWWWD

W6 Wins

in last 10 games

L1 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

Boston River: Matches Played 10

LWLLW

W5 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

  • 18 July 2026 • Primera División

    WPenarol3  0Boston River

  • 25 March 2026 • Primera División

    WBoston River0  2Penarol

  • 23 January 2026 • Copa De La Liga Auf

    DPenarol2  2Boston River

  • 15 August 2025 • Primera División - Clausura

    LBoston River2  1Penarol

  • 15 February 2025 • Primera División - Apertura

    DPenarol1  1Boston River

  • 19 October 2024 • Primera División - Clausura

    WPenarol2  0Boston River

  • 20 April 2024 • Primera División - Apertura

    WBoston River1  3Penarol
Last Matches (Penarol)

  • 24 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay

    DDanubio1  1Penarol

  • 19 September 2026 • Primera División

    WCerro1  2Penarol

  • 13 September 2026 • Primera División

    WPenarol3  1Albion FC

  • 5 September 2026 • Primera División

    WDanubio0  4Penarol

  • 2 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay

    DAtenas2  2Penarol

  • 30 August 2026 • Primera División

    LPenarol0  1Club Nacional

  • 26 August 2026 • Copa Uruguay

    WPenarol1  0Atletico Torque

  • 22 August 2026 • Primera División

    DDeportivo Maldonado0  0Penarol

  • 16 August 2026 • Primera División

    WPenarol2  1Central Espanol

  • 5 August 2026 • Primera División

    WPenarol5  1Wanderers
Last Matches (Boston River)

  • 23 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay

    WBoston River3  2Fenix

  • 19 September 2026 • Primera División

    LBoston River1  2Progreso

  • 12 September 2026 • Primera División

    LRacing Montevideo3  2Boston River

  • 9 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay

    WBoston River2  0Colón

  • 6 September 2026 • Primera División

    LLiverpool Montevideo1  0Boston River

  • 2 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay

    WLiverpool Montevideo0  1Boston River

  • 29 August 2026 • Primera División

    DBoston River1  1Cerro

  • 21 August 2026 • Primera División

    WAlbion FC2  3Boston River

  • 14 August 2026 • Primera División

    DBoston River0  0Danubio

  • 9 August 2026 • Primera División

    WClub Nacional1  2Boston River

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Penarol29185648-242458WWWWL
2Deportivo Maldonado30167746-271955WWLWL
3Atletico Torque29165851-341753LWWWW
4Racing Montevideo301411536-241253LDWLW
5Club Nacional301541145-38749WWDDW
6Liverpool Montevideo301210839-281146WDLWD
7Wanderers29128936-35144DDLWL
8Central Espanol301081232-39-738LLDDL
9Juventud30991235-39-436DWDDW
10Albion FC29971337-38-134LLLLL
11Cerro Largo30891328-34-633LLDLD
12Cerro30961523-43-2033DLWWD
13Defensor Sporting297111125-33-832LWDLD
14Boston River30861629-42-1330LLLLD
15Progreso30841825-43-1828WWLWW
16Danubio294141124-38-1426DDLLD

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
J. UrretaviscayaWanderers71
M. GoicoecheaDanubio110
A. MehringProgreso110
E. VelázquezDanubio100
G. VieraCerro Largo90
I. RossiDanubio90
S. CoatesClub Nacional60
Juan PerezRacing Montevideo10

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals91.8%8.2%
1.5 goals71.3%28.7%
2.5 goals45.6%54.4%
3.5 goals24.2%75.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

47.4%

No

52.6%

1X

78.8%

12

75%

X2

46.2%

1-0

13.1%

1-1

11.8%

2-0

10.5%

2-1

9.5%

0-0

8.2%

0-1

7.4%

3-0

5.6%

1-2

5.3%

1 / 1

33.1%

1 / X

4.5%

1 / 2

1.2%

X / 1

18.2%

X / X

16%

X / 2

8.4%

2 / 1

2.4%

2 / X

4.5%

2 / 2

11.6%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Penarol

Our pick: Home Win at 1.36

Expected goals: 2.5

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form71% / 29%
Attack56% / 44%
Defence75% / 25%
Goals model74% / 26%
Head-to-head50% / 50%
Overall64% / 36%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Penarol5/6
Boston River4/6

Over 2.5

Penarol4/6
Boston River3/6

Over 3.5

Penarol3/6
Boston River2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Penarol4/6
Boston River3/6

Goals By Time Period

Penarol

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Boston River

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Penarol

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Boston River

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Penarol

First goal scored: 15′First goal conceded: 41′First card: 62′

Boston River

First goal scored: 41′First goal conceded: 49′First card: 27′

Season Statistics

PenarolBoston River
FormDLWWWWWDLLLL
Played3030
Wins198
Draws56
Losses616
Goals for (avg)1.81
Goals against (avg)0.81.4
Clean sheets105
Failed to score513
Biggest win streak42

Trends

5 match streak · Primera División

Boston River have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Primera División.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Penarol

A · 30 Sept

Atletico Torque

5/5

A · 4 Oct

Racing Montevideo

5/5

Boston River

H · 4 Oct

Juventud

3/5

Team News

Penarol

Coach: Diego Aguirre

  1. Washington Aguerre
  2. Germán Pezzella
  3. Maximiliano Olivera
  4. Lucas Ferreira
  5. Thiago Espinosa
  6. Leandro Umpierrez
  7. Javier Cabrera
  8. Eric Remedi
  9. Nicolás Fernández
  10. Cristian Jaime
  11. Matías Arezo

Boston River

Coach: Ignacio Ithurralde Saez

  1. Bruno Antúnez
  2. Fredy Martínez
  3. Agustín Aguirre
  4. Martín González
  5. Juan Acosta
  6. Rodrigo Saravia
  7. Agustín Amado
  8. Facundo Muñoa
  9. Lautaro Vazquez
  10. Leandro Suhr
  11. Francisco Bonfiglio

Penarol vs Boston River Prediction & Tips

Penarol host Boston River in Uruguay Primera División at Estadio Centenario. In the current table, Penarol sit 1st on 58 points and Boston River are 14th on 30.

Form: Penarol have taken 3W 2D 0L from their last 5, Boston River 2W 0D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Penarol average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded; Boston River average 1.5 and 1.2.

In their last 7 meetings Penarol have won 4, Boston River 1 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.9 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Penarol at 45%, the draw at 45% and Boston River at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw.

Our published call was Home Win at 1.36, which landed.

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Penarol vs Boston River FAQs

When is the match between Penarol and Boston River?

Penarol v Boston River was played on Sat, 26 September 2026 at 21:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Uruguay Primera División, Clausura - 8.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Penarol are 1st in the table, while Boston River are 14th.

What is the prediction for Penarol vs Boston River?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.36.

Who is most likely to win Penarol vs Boston River?

Penarol and The draw are level at the top: Penarol 45%, draw 45%, Boston River 10%.

Will both teams score in Penarol vs Boston River?

Both teams scored in 60% of Penarol's last 10 matches and 60% of Boston River's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Penarol vs Boston River Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Uruguay : Primera División
Date:
Sat, 26 Sept 2026
Venue:
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

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