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Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL Championship · Group Stage · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

USL Championship

Orange County SC

1 - 2

Full time · 4 Oct

Monterey Bay

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 GoalsWON1.2295%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.22.

Also rated:Home or Away (12) @ 1.25Both Teams to Score @ 1.62

Orange County SC: Matches Played 10

DDLLW

W3 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Monterey Bay: Matches Played 10

LDDLL

W0 Wins

in last 10 games

L7 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 26 July 2026 • USL Championship

    WMonterey Bay1  2Orange County SC
  • 12 July 2025 • USL Championship

    LMonterey Bay2  1Orange County SC
  • 1 June 2025 • USL League One Cup

    LMonterey Bay3  2Orange County SC
  • 23 March 2025 • USL Championship

    LOrange County SC0  3Monterey Bay
  • 22 September 2024 • USL Championship

    DMonterey Bay0  0Orange County SC
  • 28 April 2024 • USL Championship

    WOrange County SC2  0Monterey Bay
  • 15 October 2023 • USL Championship

    WMonterey Bay0  1Orange County SC
Last Matches (Orange County SC)
  • 27 September 2026 • USL Championship

    WOrange County SC1  0Pittsburgh Riverhounds
  • 19 September 2026 • USL Championship

    LLexington6  0Orange County SC
  • 13 September 2026 • USL Championship

    LOrange County SC0  2Las Vegas Lights
  • 6 September 2026 • USL Championship

    DOrange County SC1  1Sacramento Republic
  • 30 August 2026 • USL Championship

    DOakland Roots1  1Orange County SC
  • 23 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LOrange County SC1  5FC Tulsa
  • 16 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LOrange County SC2  3Louisville City
  • 9 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LOrange County SC0  3Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • 2 August 2026 • USL Championship

    WOrange County SC2  0El Paso Locomotive
  • 26 July 2026 • USL Championship

    WMonterey Bay1  2Orange County SC
Last Matches (Monterey Bay)
  • 27 September 2026 • USL Championship

    LMonterey Bay2  3Lexington
  • 19 September 2026 • USL Championship

    LCharleston Battery1  0Monterey Bay
  • 6 September 2026 • USL Championship

    DMonterey Bay1  1Phoenix Rising
  • 30 August 2026 • USL Championship

    DMonterey Bay1  1Sacramento Republic
  • 22 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LRhode Island3  1Monterey Bay
  • 16 August 2026 • USL Championship

    DOakland Roots1  1Monterey Bay
  • 9 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LMonterey Bay2  5New Mexico United
  • 6 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LEl Paso Locomotive1  0Monterey Bay
  • 1 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LLexington3  2Monterey Bay
  • 26 July 2026 • USL Championship

    LMonterey Bay1  2Orange County SC

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1El Paso Locomotive27145846-351147LDWWW
2Sacramento Republic271111537-251244DWWDW
3New Mexico United26127739-31843LLDDD
4Lexington271341049-331643WWWWL
5FC Tulsa27119732-25742DWDDL
6Colorado Springs27117940-37340DDDWW
7Orange County SC27109836-42-639LWLLD
8San Antonio27911729-29038LDDLD
9Las Vegas Lights271061135-38-336WLDWL
10Oakland Roots27810933-35-234DWWLD
11Phoenix Rising2689935-38-333LLWDW
12Monterey Bay27561629-47-1821WLLDD

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
J. LocadiaMiami FC146
A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive42
Pedro SantosLoudoun United50
J. SoñoraMiami FC20
Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies20

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals94.2%5.8%
1.5 goals77.7%22.3%
2.5 goals54.2%45.8%
3.5 goals31.9%68.1%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

57.5%

No

42.5%

1X

65.8%

12

75.1%

X2

59.1%

1-1

11.7%

2-1

8.8%

1-0

8.7%

1-2

7.9%

0-1

7.8%

2-0

6.5%

2-2

5.9%

0-0

5.8%

1 / 1

24.5%

1 / X

5.3%

1 / 2

2.2%

X / 1

13.9%

X / X

14.4%

X / 2

12%

2 / 1

2.5%

2 / X

5.3%

2 / 2

19.9%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22

Expected goals: 2.9

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form71% / 29%
Attack38% / 63%
Defence47% / 53%
Goals model62% / 38%
Head-to-head29% / 71%
Overall47% / 53%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Orange County SC5/6
Monterey Bay5/6

Over 2.5

Orange County SC2/6
Monterey Bay2/6

Over 3.5

Orange County SC2/6
Monterey Bay2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Orange County SC3/6
Monterey Bay5/6

Goals By Time Period

Orange County SC

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Monterey Bay

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Orange County SC

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Monterey Bay

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Orange County SC

First goal scored: 65′First goal conceded: 26′First card: 52′

Monterey Bay

First goal scored: 46′First goal conceded: 49′First card: 39′

Season Statistics

Orange County SCMonterey Bay
FormDDLLWLLDDLLW
Played2727
Wins105
Draws96
Losses816
Goals for (avg)1.31.1
Goals against (avg)1.61.7
Clean sheets74
Failed to score58
Biggest win streak23

Trends

11 match streak · USL Championship

Monterey Bay have conceded in each of their last 11 matches in USL Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Orange County SC

A · 11 Oct

El Paso Locomotive

5/5

H · 18 Oct

Phoenix Rising

1/5

A · 25 Oct

San Antonio

3/5

Monterey Bay

A · 11 Oct

New Mexico United

5/5

H · 18 Oct

Colorado Springs

3/5

H · 25 Oct

Las Vegas Lights

2/5

Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay Prediction & Tips

Orange County SC host Monterey Bay in USA USL Championship at Championship Soccer Stadium. In the current table, Orange County SC sit 7th on 39 points and Monterey Bay are 12th on 21.

Form: Orange County SC have taken 1W 2D 2L from their last 5, Monterey Bay 0W 2D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Orange County SC average 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded; Monterey Bay average 1.1 and 2.1.

In their last 7 meetings Orange County SC have won 3, Monterey Bay 3 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.

The feed's model puts Orange County SC at 10%, the draw at 45% and Monterey Bay at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Monterey Bay.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, which landed.

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Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay FAQs

When is the match between Orange County SC and Monterey Bay?

Orange County SC v Monterey Bay was played on Sun, 4 October 2026 at 02:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

USA USL Championship, Group Stage.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Orange County SC are 7th in the table, while Monterey Bay are 12th.

What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.22.

Who is most likely to win Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?

The draw and Monterey Bay are level at the top: Orange County SC 10%, draw 45%, Monterey Bay 45%.

Will both teams score in Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay?

Both teams scored in 50% of Orange County SC's last 10 matches and 80% of Monterey Bay's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay Prediction & Match Preview

League:
USA : USL Championship
Date:
Sun, 4 Oct 2026
Venue:
Championship Soccer Stadium

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