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Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · Premiership · Regular Season - 3 · Tue, 15 Sept 2026

Premiership

Motherwell

0 - 4

Full time · 15 Sept

Aberdeen

PredictionOddsConfidence
Home WinLOST1.8360%

Motherwell carry a 37 point edge at home.

Also rated:Home Win Either Half @ 1.42Both Teams to Score @ 1.67

Motherwell: Matches Played 10

LLDWL

W3 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

Aberdeen: Matches Played 10

WLLDD

W5 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 18 February 2026 • FA Cup

    LAberdeen2  0Motherwell
  • 15 February 2026 • Premiership

    WMotherwell2  0Aberdeen
  • 9 November 2025 • Premiership

    DAberdeen1  1Motherwell
  • 27 September 2025 • Premiership

    WMotherwell2  0Aberdeen
  • 20 September 2025 • League Cup

    WAberdeen0  1Motherwell
  • 29 March 2025 • Premiership

    LAberdeen4  1Motherwell
  • 5 January 2025 • Premiership

    WMotherwell2  0Aberdeen
Last Matches (Motherwell)
  • 5 September 2026 • Premiership

    LRangers1  0Motherwell
  • 2 September 2026 • Premiership

    WMotherwell3  0Dundee Utd
  • 30 August 2026 • Premiership

    DST Mirren3  3Motherwell
  • 27 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    LSC Freiburg4  1Motherwell
  • 20 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    LMotherwell1  3SC Freiburg
  • 16 August 2026 • League Cup

    LStenhousemuir1  0Motherwell
  • 13 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    WMotherwell2  0HJK Helsinki
  • 9 August 2026 • Premiership

    DMotherwell0  0Falkirk
  • 6 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

    DHJK Helsinki1  1Motherwell
  • 2 August 2026 • Premiership

    WHibernian1  2Motherwell
Last Matches (Aberdeen)
  • 12 September 2026 • League Cup

    DKilmarnock1  1Aberdeen
  • 5 September 2026 • Premiership

    DAberdeen0  0Kilmarnock
  • 2 September 2026 • Premiership

    LCeltic3  0Aberdeen
  • 30 August 2026 • Premiership

    LAberdeen0  1Rangers
  • 15 August 2026 • League Cup

    WAberdeen3  0Dundee
  • 8 August 2026 • Premiership

    LDundee2  0Aberdeen
  • 1 August 2026 • Premiership

    WAberdeen2  1Heart Of Midlothian
  • 25 July 2026 • League Cup

    WAberdeen3  0Kelty Hearts
  • 22 July 2026 • League Cup

    WQueen of the South1  4Aberdeen
  • 18 July 2026 • League Cup

    WAberdeen2  1Queen's Park

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Celtic760114-41018LWWWW
2Rangers75118-4416WWWWW
3Heart Of Midlothian741214-8613DLWWW
4Dundee73139-7210WLDLW
5ST Mirren73138-9-110LLLWD
6ST Johnstone72239-10-18DLWDL
7Aberdeen72237-8-18DWDLL
8Dundee Utd72239-11-28WDLWL
9Motherwell72239-11-28LLLWD
10Hibernian72148-11-37DLLLW
11Falkirk71336-9-36DWDLL
12Kilmarnock71246-15-95DWDLL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
J. FowlerST Johnstone74
C. DuránCeltic73
B. NygrenCeltic73
J. WilsonHeart Of Midlothian63
K. HøghCeltic43
K. NisbetAberdeen73
J. WestleyDundee73
L. ShanklandRangers53
K. PhillipsST Mirren33
M. BoyleHibernian63

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals91.8%8.2%
1.5 goals71.3%28.7%
2.5 goals45.6%54.4%
3.5 goals24.2%75.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

50.8%

No

49.2%

1X

61.1%

12

73%

X2

65.9%

1-1

12.8%

0-1

10.7%

1-0

9.9%

1-2

8.3%

0-0

8.2%

2-1

7.7%

0-2

6.9%

2-0

5.9%

1 / 1

19.6%

1 / X

5.1%

1 / 2

2.1%

X / 1

12.6%

X / X

16.9%

X / 2

14.1%

2 / 1

1.9%

2 / X

5.1%

2 / 2

22.7%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Motherwell

Our pick: Home Win at 1.83

Expected goals: 2.5

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form67% / 33%
Attack80% / 20%
Defence58% / 42%
Goals model100% / 0%
Head-to-head71% / 29%
Overall69% / 31%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Motherwell4/6
Aberdeen4/6

Over 2.5

Motherwell4/6
Aberdeen2/6

Over 3.5

Motherwell3/6
Aberdeen0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Motherwell3/6
Aberdeen1/6

Goals By Time Period

Motherwell

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Aberdeen

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Motherwell

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Aberdeen

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Motherwell

First goal scored: 11′First goal conceded: 40′First card: 36′

Aberdeen

First goal scored: 52′First goal conceded: 38′First card: 28′

Season Statistics

MotherwellAberdeen
FormDDWLLLLLLDWD
Played77
Wins22
Draws22
Losses33
Goals for (avg)1.31
Goals against (avg)1.61.1
Clean sheets22
Failed to score34
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Motherwell

Total shots12.2
Blocked3.4
55% off target45% on target
69% inside box31% outside box
Total passes502
Accurate passes436.6 (87%)
Possession51%

Aberdeen

Total shots9.3
Blocked3.3
57% off target43% on target
64% inside box36% outside box
Total passes358.7
Accurate passes273.7 (76%)
Possession47%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Motherwell

H · 11 Oct

Celtic

5/5

A · 17 Oct

Kilmarnock

1/5

H · 25 Oct

Heart Of Midlothian

5/5

A · 28 Oct

ST Johnstone

3/5

H · 31 Oct

ST Mirren

4/5

A · 7 Nov

Dundee Utd

3/5

H · 21 Nov

Rangers

5/5

H · 28 Nov

Hibernian

2/5

Aberdeen

H · 11 Oct

ST Johnstone

3/5

H · 17 Oct

ST Mirren

4/5

A · 24 Oct

Dundee Utd

3/5

H · 28 Oct

Falkirk

1/5

A · 31 Oct

Rangers

5/5

A · 31 Oct

Rangers

Unrated

H · 7 Nov

Hibernian

2/5

A · 21 Nov

Kilmarnock

1/5

Team News

Motherwell 4-2-2-2

Coach: Alfred Johansson

  1. A. Paulsen
  2. T. Sparrow
  3. J. Girdwood-Reich
  4. M. Moormann
  5. E. Longelo
  6. L. Fadinger
  7. J. Hodge
  8. T. Maswanhise
  9. A. Lowry
  10. J. Kanga
  11. R. Charles-Cook

Aberdeen 5-3-2

Coach: Stephen Robinson

  1. M. Muller
  2. C. Cadden
  3. L. Mayo
  4. M. Knoester
  5. G. Molloy
  6. N. Guinness-Walker
  7. C. Ronan
  8. A. Aremu
  9. F. Marshall
  10. T. Olusanya
  11. K. Nisbet

Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction & Tips

Motherwell host Aberdeen in Scotland Premiership at Fir Park. In the current table, Motherwell sit 9th on 8 points and Aberdeen are 7th on 8.

Form: Motherwell have taken 1W 1D 3L from their last 5, Aberdeen 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Motherwell average 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded; Aberdeen average 1.5 and 1.0.

In their last 7 meetings Motherwell have won 4, Aberdeen 2 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 29%.

The feed's model puts Motherwell at 45%, the draw at 45% and Aberdeen at 10%. Its own advice: Winner : Motherwell.

Our published call was Home Win at 1.83, which did not land.

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Motherwell vs Aberdeen FAQs

When is the match between Motherwell and Aberdeen?

Motherwell v Aberdeen was played on Tue, 15 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Scotland Premiership, Regular Season - 3.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Motherwell are 9th in the table, while Aberdeen are 7th.

What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.83.

Who is most likely to win Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Motherwell and The draw are level at the top: Motherwell 45%, draw 45%, Aberdeen 10%.

Will both teams score in Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Both teams scored in 50% of Motherwell's last 10 matches and 40% of Aberdeen's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Scotland : Premiership
Date:
Tue, 15 Sept 2026
Venue:
Fir Park, Motherwell

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