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Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8 · Fri, 9 Oct 2026

Primeira Liga

Moreirense

17:45

9 Oct

GIL Vicente

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 Goals1.2095%

The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.20.

HomeDrawAway

29%

3.25

29%

3.20

42%

2.25

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DGIL Vicente2  2Moreirense
  • 7 February 2026 • Primeira Liga

    LMoreirense1  2GIL Vicente
  • 29 August 2025 • Primeira Liga

    LGIL Vicente2  0Moreirense
  • 6 April 2025 • Primeira Liga

    WGIL Vicente0  1Moreirense
  • 12 January 2025 • Taça de Portugal

    LGIL Vicente1  0Moreirense
  • 8 November 2024 • Primeira Liga

    WMoreirense3  2GIL Vicente
  • 20 April 2024 • Primeira Liga

    LMoreirense0  1GIL Vicente
  • 11 December 2023 • Primeira Liga

    DGIL Vicente1  1Moreirense
Last Matches (Moreirense)
    Last Matches (GIL Vicente)

      League Table

      #TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
      1FC Porto770018-31521WWWWW
      2Benfica751122-71516LWWWW
      3Sporting CP743017-8915DDWWW
      4Santa Clara743011-4715DWWDW
      5Arouca732210-7311DLDWL
      6SC Braga63217-5211DWLWW
      7Academico Viseu73229-9011WWWLD
      8Estrela724114-14010LDWDW
      9GIL Vicente62225-508DLLDW
      10Alverca72239-11-28WWLDL
      11Maritimo72238-12-48DLLLD
      12Moreirense72238-14-68DWLLW
      13Famalicao71429-727WDDDL
      14Vitória SC71245-8-35DLDLW
      15Nacional71157-15-84LLLLL
      16Rio Ave71155-15-104LDLLW
      17Casa Pia71153-16-134WLDLL
      18Estoril70253-10-72LLDLL

      Top Scorers Table

      Player NamesMatchesGoals
      V. PavlidisBenfica78
      L. SuárezSporting CP76
      G. PrestianniBenfica75
      Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara75
      G. KoutsiasFamalicao75
      A. MarcusEstrela74
      L. AntonettiEstrela74
      BarberoArouca74
      André ClóvisAcademico Viseu74
      Gabri VeigaFC Porto74

      Betting Markets & Predictions

      Model expected goals: 2.4

      LineOverUnder
      0.5 goals90.5%9.5%
      1.5 goals68.1%31.9%
      2.5 goals41.7%58.3%
      3.5 goals21.1%78.9%

      Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

      Yes

      46.2%

      No

      53.8%

      1X

      52.6%

      12

      72.9%

      X2

      74.5%

      0-1

      13.4%

      1-1

      12.7%

      0-0

      9.5%

      0-2

      9.3%

      1-0

      9.1%

      1-2

      8.9%

      2-1

      6%

      0-3

      4.4%

      1 / 1

      14.1%

      1 / X

      4.7%

      1 / 2

      2.2%

      X / 1

      10.1%

      X / X

      17.7%

      X / 2

      16.9%

      2 / 1

      1.3%

      2 / X

      4.7%

      2 / 2

      28.3%

      Home 0

      41%

      odds 2.30

      Away 0

      59%

      odds 1.60

      Home +0.25

      51%

      odds 1.88

      Away -0.25

      49%

      odds 1.98

      Home +0.5

      58%

      odds 1.62

      Away -0.5

      42%

      odds 2.25

      Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

      Over 8.5

      54%

      odds 1.73

      Under 8.5

      46%

      odds 2.00

      Over 9

      47%

      odds 2.00

      Under 9

      53%

      odds 1.80

      Total corners over/under.

      Over 3.5

      68%

      odds 1.38

      Under 3.5

      32%

      odds 2.92

      Over 4.5

      54%

      odds 1.75

      Under 4.5

      46%

      odds 2.02

      Over 5.5

      40%

      odds 2.35

      Under 5.5

      60%

      odds 1.55

      Total cards over/under.

      • Joelson Fernandes3.0033%
      • Tidjany Toure3.0033%
      • Borges Parente Carlos Eduardo3.0033%
      • Hector Hernandez3.2031%
      • Mohamed Kaba3.4029%

      Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

      Model Comparison

      Predicted winner: GIL Vicente

      Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20

      Expected goals: 2.4

      Source: Our published prediction

      Goals By Time Period

      Moreirense

      0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

      GIL Vicente

      0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

      Moreirense

      0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

      GIL Vicente

      0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

      Season Statistics

      MoreirenseGIL Vicente
      FormLWLLWDWWDLLD
      Played76
      Wins22
      Draws22
      Losses32
      Goals for (avg)1.10.8
      Goals against (avg)20.8
      Clean sheets13
      Failed to score22
      Biggest win streak12

      Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

      Moreirense

      H · 9 Oct

      GIL Vicente

      3/5

      A · 18 Oct

      AVS

      Unrated

      A · 25 Oct

      Estoril

      1/5

      H · 31 Oct

      Estrela

      4/5

      A · 7 Nov

      Sporting CP

      5/5

      H · 28 Nov

      Santa Clara

      5/5

      A · 6 Dec

      Alverca

      3/5

      H · 13 Dec

      Famalicao

      2/5

      GIL Vicente

      A · 9 Oct

      Moreirense

      2/5

      A · 14 Oct

      União Santarém

      Unrated

      H · 24 Oct

      FC Porto

      5/5

      A · 27 Oct

      Benfica

      Unrated

      H · 2 Nov

      Vitória SC

      2/5

      A · 8 Nov

      Santa Clara

      5/5

      H · 29 Nov

      Estoril

      1/5

      A · 6 Dec

      Estrela

      4/5

      Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Tips

      Moreirense host GIL Vicente in Portugal Primeira Liga at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas. In the table, Moreirense sit 12th on 8 points and GIL Vicente are 9th on 8.

      In their last 8 meetings Moreirense have won 2, GIL Vicente 4 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 50%.

      The feed's model puts Moreirense at 29%, the draw at 29% and GIL Vicente at 42%.

      Our call for this match is Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20. The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.20.

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      Moreirense vs GIL Vicente FAQs

      When is the match between Moreirense and GIL Vicente?

      Moreirense v GIL Vicente is scheduled on Fri, 9 October 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

      Which league is this match in?

      Portugal Primeira Liga, Regular Season - 8.

      What is their ranking in the league table this season?

      Moreirense are 12th in the table, while GIL Vicente are 9th.

      What is the prediction for Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?

      Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.20.

      Who is most likely to win Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?

      GIL Vicente is favoured: Moreirense 29%, draw 29%, GIL Vicente 42%.

      How accurate is the prediction for this match?

      The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

      How often are predictions updated?

      Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

      Are these predictions guaranteed?

      No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

      Match Preview

      Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Match Preview

      League:
      Portugal : Primeira Liga
      Date:
      Fri, 9 Oct 2026
      Venue:
      Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães

      More picks: today's football predictions · tomorrow · this week's pool results