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Montpellier vs PAU Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 6 · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Ligue 2

Montpellier

1 - 0

Full time · 11 Sept

PAU

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 GoalsWON1.3060%

A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.

Also rated:Home or Away (12) @ 1.33

Montpellier: Matches Played 10

DWWDL

W6 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

PAU: Matches Played 10

LWLDD

W3 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 20 March 2026 • Ligue 2

    DPAU0  0Montpellier
  • 6 December 2025 • Ligue 2

    LMontpellier0  1PAU
  • 6 January 2023 • Coupe de France

    LPAU2  1Montpellier
Last Matches (Montpellier)
  • 5 September 2026 • Ligue 2

    LSaint Etienne3  1Montpellier
  • 28 August 2026 • Ligue 2

    DMontpellier0  0Boulogne
  • 21 August 2026 • Ligue 2

    WDunkerque0  1Montpellier
  • 14 August 2026 • Ligue 2

    WNancy0  1Montpellier
  • 8 August 2026 • Ligue 2

    DMontpellier1  1Dijon
  • 1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WMontpellier4  2Rodez
  • 25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WClermont Foot0  1Montpellier
  • 22 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LMontpellier3  4Cannes
  • 17 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WMontpellier5  2Le Puy Foot
  • 11 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WMontpellier3  2Aubagne
Last Matches (PAU)
  • 4 September 2026 • Ligue 2

    DPAU1  1Sochaux
  • 28 August 2026 • Ligue 2

    DRodez2  2PAU
  • 21 August 2026 • Ligue 2

    LPAU0  1Nancy
  • 14 August 2026 • Ligue 2

    WDijon0  1PAU
  • 8 August 2026 • Ligue 2

    LPAU0  1Annecy
  • 1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LPAU1  2Real Unión
  • 25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LReal Sociedad II4  0PAU
  • 21 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LEspanyol4  0PAU
  • 17 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WPAU3  0Tarbes
  • 11 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WReal Sociedad0  1PAU

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Saint Etienne751119-81116DLWWW
2RED Star FC 9374219-7214WWWLD
3Reims734015-9613DWDWW
4Montpellier73316-5112DWLDW
5Metz724110-7310DLWDD
6Nancy73138-7110WLLWW
7Annecy73139-9010LLWDL
8Sochaux72414-5-110DWDDW
9Dijon723210-1009WWDLD
10PAU72236-608WLDDL
11Guingamp722310-12-28LWDDL
12Dunkerque722310-12-28LWDLL
13Grenoble72238-11-38DWLWL
14Rodez721414-16-27LLLDW
15Nantes72149-13-47WLWDL
16Clermont Foot70614-6-26DDDDD
17Boulogne70523-5-25LDDDD
18Laval71248-14-65DLLLD

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
Y. FofanaReims76
P. FallMetz75
I. BaldéRodez45
I. CardonaSaint Etienne74
A. BoakyeSaint Etienne74
T. BalloSaint Etienne74
B. BokanguGuingamp74
D. DurandRED Star FC 9374
B. LeyePAU73
Samy Olivier ChouchaneDijon73

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 1.7

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals81.7%18.3%
1.5 goals50.7%49.3%
2.5 goals24.3%75.7%
3.5 goals9.3%90.7%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

32.7%

No

67.3%

1X

69.8%

12

66%

X2

64.2%

0-0

18.3%

1-0

16.4%

0-1

14.6%

1-1

13.2%

2-0

7.4%

2-1

5.9%

0-2

5.8%

1-2

5.3%

1 / 1

19.8%

1 / X

4.1%

1 / 2

1%

X / 1

14.9%

X / X

25.9%

X / 2

12.8%

2 / 1

1.1%

2 / X

4.1%

2 / 2

16.4%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30

Expected goals: 1.7

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form62% / 38%
Attack50% / 50%
Defence56% / 44%
Goals model38% / 62%
Head-to-head13% / 88%
Overall41% / 60%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Montpellier3/6
PAU3/6

Over 2.5

Montpellier2/6
PAU2/6

Over 3.5

Montpellier2/6
PAU1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Montpellier3/6
PAU3/6

Goals By Time Period

Montpellier

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

PAU

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Montpellier

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

PAU

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Montpellier

First goal scored: 67′First goal conceded: 66′First card: 29′

PAU

First goal scored: 42′First goal conceded: 47′First card: 52′

Season Statistics

MontpellierPAU
FormWWDLWDWLDDLW
Played77
Wins32
Draws32
Losses13
Goals for (avg)0.90.9
Goals against (avg)0.70.9
Clean sheets42
Failed to score13
Biggest win streak21

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Montpellier

Total shots12.8
Blocked4.2
47% off target53% on target
61% inside box39% outside box
Total passes439
Accurate passes363.2 (83%)
Possession53%

PAU

Total shots14
Blocked4
68% off target32% on target
64% inside box36% outside box
Total passes418.2
Accurate passes335.8 (80%)
Possession50%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Montpellier

H · 9 Oct

Grenoble

2/5

A · 19 Oct

Rodez

2/5

H · 24 Oct

RED Star FC 93

5/5

A · 31 Oct

Annecy

4/5

H · 6 Nov

Metz

4/5

A · 20 Nov

Laval

1/5

H · 4 Dec

Nantes

2/5

A · 11 Dec

Sochaux

4/5

PAU

H · 9 Oct

Laval

1/5

A · 16 Oct

Guingamp

3/5

H · 23 Oct

Grenoble

2/5

A · 30 Oct

Metz

4/5

H · 6 Nov

Nantes

2/5

A · 20 Nov

RED Star FC 93

5/5

A · 4 Dec

Boulogne

1/5

H · 11 Dec

Saint Etienne

5/5

Team News

Montpellier 4-2-3-1

Coach: Z. Camara

  1. S. Ngapandouetnbu
  2. Naoufel El Hannach
  3. J. Laporte
  4. Y. Mouanga
  5. T. Sainte-Luce
  6. F. Tardieu
  7. D. Meddah
  8. N. Pays
  9. Gregory Ayem
  10. N. Mukiele
  11. M. Camara

PAU 5-3-2

Coach: Thierry Debes

  1. B. Maubleu
  2. T. Pouilly
  3. G. Paquiez
  4. A. Briançon
  5. S. Basse
  6. A. Abdallah
  7. C. Fall
  8. J. Benet
  9. L. Rajot
  10. H. Benali
  11. B. Leye

Montpellier vs PAU Prediction & Tips

Montpellier host PAU in France Ligue 2 at Stade de la Mosson. In the current table, Montpellier sit 4th on 12 points and PAU are 10th on 8.

Form: Montpellier have taken 2W 2D 1L from their last 5, PAU 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Montpellier average 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded; PAU average 0.9 and 1.5.

In their last 3 meetings Montpellier have won 0, PAU 2 and 1 were drawn, averaging 1.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 33%.

The feed's model puts Montpellier at 10%, the draw at 45% and PAU at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or PAU and -3.5 goals.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, which landed.

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Montpellier vs PAU FAQs

When is the match between Montpellier and PAU?

Montpellier v PAU was played on Fri, 11 September 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

France Ligue 2, Regular Season - 6.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Montpellier are 4th in the table, while PAU are 10th.

What is the prediction for Montpellier vs PAU?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.30.

Who is most likely to win Montpellier vs PAU?

The draw and PAU are level at the top: Montpellier 10%, draw 45%, PAU 45%.

Will both teams score in Montpellier vs PAU?

Both teams scored in 60% of Montpellier's last 10 matches and 30% of PAU's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Montpellier vs PAU Prediction & Match Preview

League:
France : Ligue 2
Date:
Fri, 11 Sept 2026
Venue:
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier

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