Monarcas vs Tlaxcala Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 11 · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Liga de Expansión MX

Monarcas

1 - 1

Full time · 4 Oct

Tlaxcala

PredictionOddsConfidence

Home WinLOST1.5080%

Monarcas carry a 34 point edge at home.

Also rated:Home Win Either Half @ 1.25Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57

Monarcas: Matches Played 10

WWWWL

W7 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D0 Draws

in last 10 games

Tlaxcala: Matches Played 10

WDWLW

W3 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

12 April 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
DMonarcas0 0Tlaxcala
2 November 2025 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTlaxcala0 1Monarcas
20 April 2025 • Liga de Expansión MX
DTlaxcala1 1Monarcas
1 November 2024 • Liga de Expansión MX
WMonarcas2 1Tlaxcala
9 February 2024 • Liga de Expansión MX
WMonarcas3 1Tlaxcala
20 September 2023 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTlaxcala2 3Monarcas
6 January 2023 • Liga de Expansión MX
DTlaxcala0 0Monarcas

Last Matches (Monarcas)

26 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LVenados FC2 1Monarcas
20 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WMonarcas2 0Leones Negros UDG
13 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WMineros de Zacatecas0 1Monarcas
6 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WMonarcas4 1Alebrijes de Oaxaca
29 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WDorados0 1Monarcas
21 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LMonarcas1 3Correcaminos Uat
15 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WCruz Azul Hidalgo1 2Monarcas
9 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WMonarcas4 1Cancún
2 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LPiratas1 0Monarcas
26 July 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WMonarcas4 2CA La Paz

Last Matches (Tlaxcala)

26 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTlaxcala4 1Cancún
20 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LTapatío4 0Tlaxcala
12 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTlaxcala3 1CDS Tampico Madero
5 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
DDurango1 1Tlaxcala
29 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTlaxcala3 1Venados FC
21 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LTepatitlán3 2Tlaxcala
16 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
DDorados2 2Tlaxcala
6 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LTlaxcala0 2Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LMineros de Zacatecas3 1Tlaxcala
25 July 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LTlaxcala2 4Leones Negros UDG

League Table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P	Form
1	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	21-12	9	22	DLWWW
2	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	24-13	11	20	LWWDW
3	Leones Negros UDG	10	6	2	2	21-13	8	20	WLDWD
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	26-21	5	19	WWLWL
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	16-10	6	18	WLWDW
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	23-19	4	17	LWWLL
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	19-15	4	17	WLWDD
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	11-11	0	17	WWWLD
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	19-18	1	16	DWLDL
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	17-15	2	14	LWLLD
11	Dorados	10	3	4	3	17-14	3	13	LDDWW
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19-23	-4	12	DWLWD
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	12-19	-7	11	LLDLW
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8-22	-14	10	LLLWL
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	11-18	-7	8	DLLDL
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	8-29	-21	6	WLLLL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.4

Over / UnderBTTSDouble ChanceCorrect ScoreHT / FT

LineOverUnder

0.5 goals96.7%3.3%

1.5 goals85.3%14.7%

2.5 goals66%34%

3.5 goals44.2%55.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

65.1%

34.9%

73.1%

78.3%

48.5%

1-1

9.3%

2-1

9.3%

1-0

6.7%

2-0

6.7%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

6.5%

3-1

6.2%

0-1

4.7%

1 / 1

32.6%

1 / X

5.2%

1 / 2

2.2%

X / 1

15.4%

X / X

11.3%

X / 2

9.1%

2 / 1

3.5%

2 / X

5.2%

2 / 2

15.6%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Monarcas

Our pick: Home Win at 1.50

Expected goals: 3.4

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form55% / 45%

Attack45% / 55%

Defence73% / 27%

Goals model75% / 25%

Head-to-head85% / 15%

Overall67% / 33%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Monarcas4/6

Tlaxcala6/6

Over 2.5

Monarcas3/6

Tlaxcala5/6

Over 3.5

Monarcas2/6

Tlaxcala5/6

BTTS (Yes)

Monarcas3/6

Tlaxcala5/6

Goals By Time Period

ScoredConceded

Monarcas

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tlaxcala

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Monarcas

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tlaxcala

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Monarcas

First goal scored: 42′First goal conceded: 43′First card: 39′

Tlaxcala

First goal scored: 38′First goal conceded: 43′First card: 35′

Season Statistics

	Monarcas	Tlaxcala
Form	WWWWLD	WDWLWD
Played	11	11
Wins	7	3
Draws	1	3
Losses	3	5
Goals for (avg)	1.9	1.7
Goals against (avg)	1.1	2.1
Clean sheets	3	0
Failed to score	1	2
Biggest win streak	4	1

Trends

11 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

Tlaxcala have conceded in each of their last 11 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

8 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

Monarcas have scored in each of their last 8 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Monarcas

A · 10 Oct

Tepatitlán

1/5

H · 18 Oct

CDS Tampico Madero

2/5

A · 24 Oct

Tapatío

3/5

A · 1 Nov

Durango

3/5

Tlaxcala

H · 10 Oct

Piratas

4/5

A · 17 Oct

CA La Paz

5/5

H · 25 Oct

Correcaminos Uat

3/5

A · 31 Oct

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

1/5

Monarcas vs Tlaxcala Prediction & Tips

Monarcas host Tlaxcala in Mexico Liga de Expansión MX at Estadio Morelos. In the current table, Monarcas sit 1st on 22 points and Tlaxcala are 12th on 12.

Form: Monarcas have taken 4W 0D 1L from their last 5, Tlaxcala 3W 1D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Monarcas average 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded; Tlaxcala average 1.8 and 2.2.

In their last 7 meetings Monarcas have won 4, Tlaxcala 0 and 3 were drawn, averaging 2.1 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Monarcas at 45%, the draw at 45% and Tlaxcala at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : Monarcas or draw and +1.5 goals.

Our published call was Home Win at 1.50, which did not land.

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Monarcas vs Tlaxcala FAQs

When is the match between Monarcas and Tlaxcala?

Monarcas v Tlaxcala was played on Sun, 4 October 2026 at 01:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Mexico Liga de Expansión MX, Apertura - 11.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Monarcas are 1st in the table, while Tlaxcala are 12th.

What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Tlaxcala?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.50.

Who is most likely to win Monarcas vs Tlaxcala?

Monarcas and The draw are level at the top: Monarcas 45%, draw 45%, Tlaxcala 10%.

Will both teams score in Monarcas vs Tlaxcala?

Both teams scored in 60% of Monarcas's last 10 matches and 80% of Tlaxcala's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Monarcas vs Tlaxcala Prediction & Match Preview

League:: Mexico : Liga de Expansión MX
Date:: Sun, 4 Oct 2026
Venue:: Estadio Morelos, Morelia

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