Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
France · Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026
Ligue 1
Monaco
18:45
10 Oct
Toulouse
Monaco carry a 32 point edge at home.
Monaco: Matches Played 10
W8 Wins
in last 10 games
L1 Losses
in last 10 games
D1 Draws
in last 10 games
Toulouse: Matches Played 10
W2 Wins
in last 10 games
L4 Losses
in last 10 games
D4 Draws
in last 10 games
45%
1.60
45%
4.10
10%
5.50
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H25 April 2026 • Ligue 1
DToulouse2 2Monaco25 October 2025 • Ligue 1
WMonaco1 0Toulouse7 March 2025 • Ligue 1
DToulouse1 1Monaco7 December 2024 • Ligue 1
WMonaco2 0Toulouse18 February 2024 • Ligue 1
LMonaco1 2Toulouse20 December 2023 • Ligue 1
WToulouse1 2Monaco3 June 2023 • Ligue 1
LMonaco1 2Toulouse6 November 2022 • Ligue 1
WToulouse0 2Monaco
Last Matches (Monaco)3 October 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WMonaco2 0Pisa
18 September 2026 • Ligue 1
WMonaco2 1Lens
12 September 2026 • Ligue 1
D
Strasbourg1 1Monaco4 September 2026 • Ligue 1
W
Paris Saint Germain1 2Monaco30 August 2026 • Ligue 1
WMonaco2 0Marseille
27 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
WMonaco4 1Gornik Zabrze
23 August 2026 • Ligue 1
W
Le Havre0 1Monaco20 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
WGornik Zabrze2 3Monaco14 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
L
Coventry2 0Monaco9 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Liverpool2 3Monaco
Last Matches (Toulouse)3 October 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
LToulouse2 3PAU
19 September 2026 • Ligue 1
WToulouse3 2Le Havre12 September 2026 • Ligue 1
D
Lorient2 2Toulouse3 September 2026 • Ligue 1
LToulouse0 1Lille
29 August 2026 • Ligue 1
D
Stade Brestois 292 2Toulouse22 August 2026 • Ligue 1
LToulouse0 2Lyon
15 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
LToulouse1 2Hamburger SV
31 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WToulouse2 1Real Sociedad
25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
DToulouse1 1Rodez
17 May 2026 • Ligue 1
D
Nantes0 0Toulouse
League Table
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8-3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11-4 | 7 | 11 | LWDWD |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8-3 | 5 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8-4 | 4 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8-9 | -1 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8-7 | 1 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11-10 | 1 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6-5 | 1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10-10 | 0 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9-9 | 0 | 6 | WDDLD |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7-12 | -5 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7-8 | -1 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 13 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5-6 | -1 | 5 | LDWLD |
| 14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7-9 | -2 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | -3 | 5 | WLDLD |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-11 | -7 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7-8 | -1 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4-7 | -3 | 2 | LDLDL |
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.7
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
1X
77.8%
12
76%
X2
46.2%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
1 / 1
33.4%
1 / X
4.7%
1 / 2
1.4%
X / 1
17.7%
X / X
14.6%
X / 2
8.5%
2 / 1
2.7%
2 / X
4.7%
2 / 2
12.3%
Home -1.25
42%
odds 2.25
Away +1.25
58%
odds 1.62
Home -1
48%
odds 2.00
Away +1
52%
odds 1.85
Home -0.75
55%
odds 1.72
Away +0.75
45%
odds 2.08
Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.
Over 9.5
54%
odds 1.73
Under 9.5
46%
odds 2.00
Over 10
48%
odds 1.98
Under 10
52%
odds 1.82
Total corners over/under.
Over 3.5
51%
odds 1.80
Under 3.5
49%
odds 1.91
Total cards over/under.
- Paris Brunner2.0050%
- Folarin Balogun2.2045%
- Matthis Abline2.2045%
- Oumar Konate2.2045%
- Mika Biereth2.3043%
Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Monaco
Our pick: Home Win at 1.60
Expected goals: 2.7
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Monaco
Toulouse
Monaco
Toulouse
Average Event Minute
Monaco
First goal scored: 37′First goal conceded: 57′First card: 68′
Toulouse
First goal scored: 35′First goal conceded: 53′First card: 33′
Season Statistics
| Monaco | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWWDW | LDLDW |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 |
| Biggest win streak | 3 | 0 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Monaco
Toulouse
Trends
10 match streak · Ligue 1
Toulouse have conceded in each of their last 10 matches in Ligue 1.
6 match streak · Ligue 1
Monaco have scored in each of their last 6 matches in Ligue 1.
5 match streak · Ligue 1
Monaco are unbeaten in their last 5 matches in Ligue 1.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Monaco
H · 10 Oct
Toulouse
2/5A · 15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
UnratedA · 18 Oct
Lorient
2/5H · 22 Oct
SC Freiburg
UnratedH · 25 Oct
Lille
5/5A · 1 Nov
Paris FC
5/5H · 5 Nov
FC Nordsjaelland
UnratedA · 8 Nov
Le Mans
3/5Toulouse
A · 10 Oct
Monaco
5/5A · 16 Oct
Le Mans
3/5H · 24 Oct
Estac Troyes
1/5A · 1 Nov
Marseille
1/5H · 6 Nov
Strasbourg
3/5A · 21 Nov
Lens
4/5H · 29 Nov
Rennes
4/5H · 5 Dec
Paris Saint Germain
4/5Team News
Injuries and suspensions
- P. Brunner (Monaco): Suspended
- A. Fati (Monaco): Calf Injury
- M. Coulibaly (Monaco): Muscle Injury
- S. Idumbo (Monaco): Groin Injury
- R. Nicolaisen (Toulouse): Calf Injury
- P. Brunner (Monaco): Suspended
- A. Fati (Monaco): Calf Injury
- M. Coulibaly (Monaco): Muscle Injury
- S. Idumbo (Monaco): Groin Injury
- R. Nicolaisen (Toulouse): Calf Injury
Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips
Monaco host Toulouse in France Ligue 1 at Stade Louis II. In the table, Monaco sit 1st on 13 points and Toulouse are 14th on 5.
Form: Monaco have taken 4W 1D 0L from their last 5, Toulouse 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Monaco average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded; Toulouse average 1.3 and 1.6.
In their last 8 meetings Monaco have won 4, Toulouse 2 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game with both teams scoring in 63%.
The feed's model puts Monaco at 45%, the draw at 45% and Toulouse at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Monaco or draw.
Our call for this match is Home Win at 1.60. Monaco carry a 32 point edge at home.
Monaco vs Toulouse FAQs
When is the match between Monaco and Toulouse?
Monaco v Toulouse is scheduled on Sat, 10 October 2026 at 18:45 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
France Ligue 1, Regular Season - 6.
What is their ranking in the league table this season?
Monaco are 1st in the table, while Toulouse are 14th.
What is the prediction for Monaco vs Toulouse?
Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.60.
Who is most likely to win Monaco vs Toulouse?
Monaco and The draw are level at the top: Monaco 45%, draw 45%, Toulouse 10%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs Toulouse?
Both teams scored in 60% of Monaco's last 10 matches and 70% of Toulouse's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- France : Ligue 1
- Date:
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026
- Venue:
- Stade Louis II, Monaco
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