Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Finland · Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 26 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Veikkausliiga

Mariehamn

16:00

10 Oct

Ilves

PredictionOddsConfidence

Both Teams to Score1.5080%

The market prices both teams to score at 1.50.

Mariehamn: Matches Played 10

WWLWL

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

Ilves: Matches Played 10

LWWWW

W5 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

2.80

45%

3.40

45%

2.25

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

9 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LIlves2 0Mariehamn
18 April 2026 • Veikkausliiga
DMariehamn2 2Ilves
31 August 2025 • Veikkausliiga
LIlves2 1Mariehamn
27 April 2025 • Veikkausliiga
WMariehamn3 2Ilves
11 August 2024 • Veikkausliiga
LIlves2 0Mariehamn
28 April 2024 • Veikkausliiga
LMariehamn0 1Ilves
27 September 2023 • Veikkausliiga
LIlves2 1Mariehamn

Last Matches (Mariehamn)

18 September 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LSJK2 1Mariehamn
12 September 2026 • Veikkausliiga
WMariehamn1 0Turku PS
8 September 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LLahti2 1Mariehamn
31 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
WMariehamn2 0FF Jaro
23 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
WKuPS2 4Mariehamn
15 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
WMariehamn2 0SJK
9 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LIlves2 0Mariehamn
1 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LTurku PS3 0Mariehamn
25 July 2026 • Veikkausliiga
DMariehamn1 1AC Oulu
20 July 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LMariehamn0 2Lahti

Last Matches (Ilves)

3 October 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WIlves3 0Haka
19 September 2026 • Veikkausliiga
WTurku PS0 3Ilves
12 September 2026 • Veikkausliiga
WIlves3 1Lahti
8 September 2026 • Veikkausliiga
WIlves2 0FF Jaro
31 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LIlves1 2HJK Helsinki
22 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LIlves0 1VPS
17 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
LGnistan3 2Ilves
13 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
DIlves1 1HNK Rijeka
9 August 2026 • Veikkausliiga
WIlves2 0Mariehamn
6 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
LHNK Rijeka1 0Ilves

League Table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P	Form
1	KuPS	22	12	7	3	38-23	15	43	LWDDL
2	Inter Turku	22	11	9	2	29-16	13	42	DWWLW
3	HJK Helsinki	22	11	4	7	36-27	9	37	WDDWW
4	Gnistan	22	10	6	6	36-29	7	36	DDWDD
5	AC Oulu	22	10	4	8	25-25	0	34	WLLLD
6	VPS	22	9	6	7	29-22	7	33	LLLWL
7	Lahti	22	9	5	8	26-19	7	32	LDLWW
8	Turku PS	22	8	7	7	28-23	5	31	LLDDD
9	Ilves	22	7	4	11	34-37	-3	25	WWWLL
10	SJK	22	4	7	11	25-33	-8	19	WWDDD
11	FF Jaro	22	3	6	13	18-44	-26	15	DDLLL
12	Mariehamn	22	3	5	14	17-43	-26	14	LWLWW

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals

M. BorchersHJK Helsinki247

T. HytönenIlves257

H. SjögrellInter Turku266

J. MorenoKuPS235

L. SmythVPS145

T. PukkiHJK Helsinki254

Martim FerreiraLahti224

J. KangaIlves204

E. TamminenIlves63

J. Luyeye-LutumbaKuPS263

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

Over / UnderBTTSDouble ChanceCorrect ScoreHT / FTAsian HandicapCorners

LineOverUnder

0.5 goals94.8%5.2%

1.5 goals79.3%20.7%

2.5 goals56.6%43.4%

3.5 goals34.2%65.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

57%

43%

47.4%

76.9%

75.7%

1-1

10.8%

1-2

9.8%

0-1

9.4%

0-2

8.5%

2-1

6.2%

1-0

1-3

5.9%

2-2

5.6%

1 / 1

13.7%

1 / X

4.9%

1 / 2

X / 1

8.9%

X / X

13.3%

X / 2

16.7%

2 / 1

1.7%

2 / X

4.9%

2 / 2

32.9%

Home 0

44%

odds 2.15

Away 0

56%

odds 1.68

Home +0.25

52%

odds 1.82

Away -0.25

48%

odds 1.98

Home +0.5

58%

odds 1.62

Away -0.5

42%

odds 2.25

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 10.5

50%

odds 1.83

Under 10.5

50%

odds 1.83

Over 11

47%

odds 2.00

Under 11

53%

odds 1.80

Total corners over/under.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Both Teams to Score at 1.50

Expected goals: 2.9

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form50% / 50%

Attack50% / 50%

Defence40% / 60%

Goals model37% / 63%

Head-to-head38% / 62%

Overall43% / 57%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Mariehamn5/6

Ilves5/6

Over 2.5

Mariehamn3/6

Ilves4/6

Over 3.5

Mariehamn1/6

Ilves1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Mariehamn3/6

Ilves2/6

Goals By Time Period

ScoredConceded

Mariehamn

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Ilves

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Mariehamn

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Ilves

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Mariehamn

First goal scored: 32′First goal conceded: 38′First card: 53′

Ilves

First goal scored: 40′First goal conceded: 46′First card: 66′

Season Statistics

	Mariehamn	Ilves
Form	WWWLWL	LLLWWW
Played	25	25
Wins	4	10
Draws	5	4
Losses	16	11
Goals for (avg)	0.8	1.7
Goals against (avg)	1.9	1.5
Clean sheets	3	8
Failed to score	12	3
Biggest win streak	3	2

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Mariehamn

Total shots10.7

Blocked2.7

62% off target38% on target

47% inside box53% outside box

Total passes345.7

Accurate passes262 (76%)

Possession43%

Ilves

Total shots12.2

Blocked2.8

51% off target49% on target

62% inside box38% outside box

Total passes459.2

Accurate passes383.8 (84%)

Possession43%

Trends

6 match streak · Veikkausliiga

Mariehamn have scored in each of their last 6 matches in Veikkausliiga.

4 match streak · Veikkausliiga

Ilves have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Veikkausliiga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Mariehamn

H · 10 Oct

Ilves

2/5

A · 17 Oct

FF Jaro

1/5

Ilves

A · 10 Oct

Mariehamn

1/5

H · 17 Oct

SJK

2/5

Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction & Tips

Mariehamn host Ilves in Finland Veikkausliiga at Wiklöf Holding Arena. In the table, Mariehamn sit 12th on 14 points and Ilves are 9th on 25.

Form: Mariehamn have taken 3W 0D 2L from their last 5, Ilves 4W 0D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Mariehamn average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded; Ilves average 1.7 and 0.9.

In their last 7 meetings Mariehamn have won 1, Ilves 5 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.9 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Mariehamn at 10%, the draw at 45% and Ilves at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Ilves.

Our call for this match is Both Teams to Score at 1.50. The market prices both teams to score at 1.50.

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Mariehamn vs Ilves FAQs

When is the match between Mariehamn and Ilves?

Mariehamn v Ilves is scheduled on Sat, 10 October 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Finland Veikkausliiga, Relegation Group - 26.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Mariehamn are 12th in the table, while Ilves are 9th.

What is the prediction for Mariehamn vs Ilves?

Our prediction is Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.50.

Who is most likely to win Mariehamn vs Ilves?

The draw and Ilves are level at the top: Mariehamn 10%, draw 45%, Ilves 45%.

Will both teams score in Mariehamn vs Ilves?

Both teams scored in 40% of Mariehamn's last 10 matches and 40% of Ilves's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction & Match Preview

League:: Finland : Veikkausliiga
Date:: Sat, 10 Oct 2026
Venue:: Wiklöf Holding Arena, Marie Harbor

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