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Lesotho vs Morocco Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2 · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Lesotho

0 - 2

Full time · 29 Sept

Morocco

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 GoalsWON2.2040%

A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.

Also rated:Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.25

Lesotho: Matches Played 10

DWDLL

W2 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

Morocco: Matches Played 10

WDWLW

W6 Wins

in last 10 games

L1 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 18 November 2024 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    LMorocco7  0Lesotho
  • 9 September 2024 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    LLesotho0  1Morocco
Last Matches (Lesotho)
  • 25 September 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    LNiger2  1Lesotho
  • 7 June 2026 • Friendlies

    LKenya4  0Lesotho
  • 4 June 2026 • Friendlies

    DLesotho1  1Kenya
  • 29 March 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    WLesotho2  1Seychelles
  • 26 March 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    DSeychelles0  0Lesotho
  • 18 November 2025 • Friendlies

    LLesotho0  1Malawi
  • 15 November 2025 • Friendlies

    DLesotho0  0Malawi
  • 13 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    WLesotho1  0Zimbabwe
  • 10 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    LLesotho1  2Nigeria
  • 9 September 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    LBenin4  0Lesotho
Last Matches (Morocco)
  • 25 September 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    WMorocco2  0Gabon
  • 9 July 2026 • World Cup

    LFrance2  0Morocco
  • 4 July 2026 • World Cup

    WCanada0  3Morocco
  • 30 June 2026 • World Cup

    DNetherlands1  1Morocco
  • 24 June 2026 • World Cup

    WMorocco4  2Haiti
  • 19 June 2026 • World Cup

    WScotland0  1Morocco
  • 13 June 2026 • World Cup

    DBrazil1  1Morocco
  • 7 June 2026 • Friendlies

    DMorocco1  1Norway
  • 2 June 2026 • Friendlies

    WMorocco4  0Madagascar
  • 26 May 2026 • Friendlies

    WMorocco5  0Burundi

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Morocco22004-046WW
2Gabon21012-203WL
3Niger21012-3-13LW
4Lesotho20021-4-30LL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
H. MastouriTunisia14
M. MunetsiZimbabwe23
E. ColleyGambia23
Y. WissaCongo DR22
ChamitoMozambique22
Omar MarmoushEgypt22
Mama BaldéGuinea-Bissau22
Franculino DjúGuinea-Bissau22
N. DorgelesMali22
A. TiaMali22

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.1

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals87.1%12.9%
1.5 goals60.7%39.3%
2.5 goals33.7%66.3%
3.5 goals15.2%84.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

26.6%

No

73.4%

1X

31.4%

12

77.1%

X2

91.5%

0-1

21.2%

0-2

17.5%

0-0

12.9%

0-3

9.6%

1-1

8.5%

1-2

7%

1-0

5.1%

0-4

4%

1 / 1

4.2%

1 / X

2.6%

1 / 2

1.5%

X / 1

4%

X / X

17.7%

X / 2

23.6%

2 / 1

0.3%

2 / X

2.6%

2 / 2

43.5%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 2.20

Expected goals: 2.1

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form57% / 43%
Attack60% / 40%
Defence0% / 100%
Goals model0% / 0%
Head-to-head0% / 100%
Overall59% / 42%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Lesotho4/6
Morocco5/6

Over 2.5

Lesotho3/6
Morocco2/6

Over 3.5

Lesotho1/6
Morocco1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Lesotho3/6
Morocco2/6

Goals By Time Period

Lesotho

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Morocco

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Lesotho

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Morocco

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Lesotho

First goal scored: 78′First goal conceded: 21′First card: 35′

Morocco

First goal scored: 38′First goal conceded: 58′First card: 43′

Season Statistics

LesothoMorocco
FormDWLLWW
Played42
Wins12
Draws10
Losses20
Goals for (avg)0.82
Goals against (avg)1.30
Clean sheets12
Failed to score20
Biggest win streak12

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Lesotho

Total shots14
Blocked3
64% off target36% on target
93% inside box7% outside box
Total passes336
Accurate passes261 (78%)
Possession50%

Morocco

Total shots12
Blocked2.7
52% off target48% on target
63% inside box37% outside box
Total passes625.8
Accurate passes554.5 (89%)
Possession62%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Lesotho

A · 11 Nov

Gabon

4/5

H · 15 Nov

Gabon

4/5

H · 24 Mar

Niger

3/5

A · 28 Mar

Morocco

5/5

Morocco

H · 4 Oct

Ghana

Unrated

H · 11 Nov

Niger

3/5

A · 15 Nov

Niger

3/5

A · 24 Mar

Gabon

4/5

H · 28 Mar

Lesotho

2/5

Team News

Lesotho 5-4-1

Coach: Atang Bob Mafoso

  1. Sekhoane Moerane
  2. Thabang Malane
  3. T. Makhele
  4. M. Mkwanazi
  5. R. Mokokoana
  6. Katleho Koeane
  7. Neo Mokhachane
  8. T. Mafatle
  9. T. Lesaoana
  10. T. Letsema
  11. Sera Motebang

Morocco 4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Ouahbi

  1. Y. Bounou
  2. Z. El Ouahdi
  3. I. Diop
  4. A. Ait Boudlal
  5. N. Mazraoui
  6. O. Targhalline
  7. N. El Aynaoui
  8. Brahim Díaz
  9. A. Ounahi
  10. B. El Khannouss
  11. I. Saibari

Lesotho vs Morocco Prediction & Tips

Lesotho host Morocco in World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification. In the current table, Lesotho sit 4th on 0 points and Morocco are 1st on 6.

Form: Lesotho have taken 1W 2D 2L from their last 5, Morocco 3W 1D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Lesotho average 0.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Morocco average 2.2 and 0.7.

In their last 2 meetings Lesotho have won 0, Morocco 2 and 0 were drawn, averaging 4.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 0%.

The feed's model puts Lesotho at 10%, the draw at 45% and Morocco at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Morocco and -3.5 goals.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 2.20, which landed.

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Lesotho vs Morocco FAQs

When is the match between Lesotho and Morocco?

Lesotho v Morocco was played on Tue, 29 September 2026 at 13:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, Group Stage - 2.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Lesotho are 4th in the table, while Morocco are 1st.

What is the prediction for Lesotho vs Morocco?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 2.20.

Who is most likely to win Lesotho vs Morocco?

The draw and Morocco are level at the top: Lesotho 10%, draw 45%, Morocco 45%.

Will both teams score in Lesotho vs Morocco?

Both teams scored in 40% of Lesotho's last 10 matches and 40% of Morocco's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Lesotho vs Morocco Prediction & Match Preview

League:
World : Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Date:
Tue, 29 Sept 2026

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