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Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier League · Regular Season - 4 · Mon, 14 Sept 2026

Premier League

Leeds

4 - 1

Full time · 14 Sept

Newcastle

PredictionOddsConfidence
Home or Away (12)WON1.2860%

Newcastle lead a fixture that should separate — 12 covers either side winning.

Also rated:Both Teams to Score @ 1.62

Leeds: Matches Played 10

WWDDL

W6 Wins

in last 10 games

L1 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

Newcastle: Matches Played 10

DWWDW

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 7 January 2026 • Premier League

    LNewcastle4  3Leeds
  • 30 August 2025 • Premier League

    DLeeds0  0Newcastle
  • 13 May 2023 • Premier League

    DLeeds2  2Newcastle
  • 31 December 2022 • Premier League

    DNewcastle0  0Leeds
  • 22 January 2022 • Premier League

    LLeeds0  1Newcastle
  • 17 September 2021 • Premier League

    DNewcastle1  1Leeds
  • 26 January 2021 • Premier League

    WNewcastle1  2Leeds
Last Matches (Leeds)
  • 9 September 2026 • League Cup

    LChelsea6  3Leeds
  • 5 September 2026 • Premier League

    DBrighton1  1Leeds
  • 30 August 2026 • Premier League

    DLeeds1  1Brentford
  • 25 August 2026 • League Cup

    WNottingham Forest0  2Leeds
  • 22 August 2026 • Premier League

    WNottingham Forest0  1Leeds
  • 15 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WLeeds4  0FC Augsburg
  • 12 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DManchester United1  1Leeds
  • 8 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WLeeds2  0RB Leipzig
  • 2 August 2026 • Premier League - Summer Series

    WLiverpool2  4Leeds
  • 30 July 2026 • Premier League - Summer Series

    WSunderland0  1Leeds
Last Matches (Newcastle)
  • 8 September 2026 • League Cup

    WMillwall0  1Newcastle
  • 5 September 2026 • Premier League

    DNewcastle2  2Bournemouth
  • 29 August 2026 • Premier League

    WTottenham0  2Newcastle
  • 26 August 2026 • League Cup

    WNewcastle3  2West Brom
  • 23 August 2026 • Premier League

    DNewcastle2  2Liverpool
  • 16 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DNewcastle1  1Strasbourg
  • 15 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LNewcastle1  2Bayer Leverkusen
  • 12 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LNewcastle1  3Everton
  • 8 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WValencia1  2Newcastle
  • 29 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LBristol City4  1Newcastle

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Manchester City550013-5815WWWWW
2Arsenal54018-4412LWWWW
3Brighton531116-51110WWDLW
4Brentford523010-469WDDDW
5Leeds52307-349DWDDW
6Liverpool52307-439WDWDD
7Everton52306-339WDDDW
8Hull City52216-428LDDWW
9Newcastle52219-908WLDWD
10Chelsea521210-12-27LDLWW
11Ipswich52037-11-46LWLLW
12Manchester United51228-805DLDWL
13Nottingham Forest51224-5-15LWDDL
14Sunderland51136-10-44LLDWL
15Crystal Palace51136-11-54DLWLL
16Aston Villa51134-9-54WLDLL
17Bournemouth50326-8-23LDDDL
18Coventry51041-10-93WLLLL
19Fulham50235-8-32DDLLL
20Tottenham50232-8-62LDDLL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
E. HaalandManchester City55
A. IsakLiverpool54
João PedroChelsea43
R. CherkiManchester City53
M. RogersChelsea53
B. BrobbeySunderland53
D. Calvert-LewinLeeds53
M. TavernierBournemouth53
K. SchadeBrentford53
P. GroßBrighton53

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.8

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals93.9%6.1%
1.5 goals76.9%23.1%
2.5 goals53.1%46.9%
3.5 goals30.8%69.2%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

55.8%

No

44.2%

1X

71.4%

12

75.3%

X2

53.3%

1-1

11.7%

1-0

9.7%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

7.8%

0-1

7.3%

1-2

7%

0-0

6.1%

2-2

5.6%

1 / 1

28.4%

1 / X

5.1%

1 / 2

1.9%

X / 1

15.6%

X / X

14.5%

X / 2

10.4%

2 / 1

2.7%

2 / X

5.1%

2 / 2

16.4%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Newcastle

Our pick: Home or Away (12) at 1.28

Expected goals: 2.8

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form50% / 50%
Attack33% / 67%
Defence67% / 33%
Goals model0% / 100%
Head-to-head25% / 75%
Overall43% / 57%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Leeds5/6
Newcastle5/6

Over 2.5

Leeds2/6
Newcastle3/6

Over 3.5

Leeds2/6
Newcastle3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Leeds3/6
Newcastle4/6

Goals By Time Period

Leeds

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Newcastle

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Leeds

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Newcastle

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Leeds

First goal scored: 43′First goal conceded: 55′First card: 21′

Newcastle

First goal scored: 43′First goal conceded: 38′First card: 31′

Season Statistics

LeedsNewcastle
FormWDDWDDWDLW
Played55
Wins22
Draws32
Losses01
Goals for (avg)1.41.8
Goals against (avg)0.61.8
Clean sheets21
Failed to score10
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Leeds

Total shots12.8
Blocked4.6
49% off target51% on target
72% inside box28% outside box
Total passes377.2
Accurate passes290.4 (77%)
Possession45%

Newcastle

Total shots14.5
Blocked4
48% off target52% on target
59% inside box41% outside box
Total passes407
Accurate passes342 (84%)
Possession48%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Leeds

A · 10 Oct

Arsenal

5/5

H · 18 Oct

Manchester United

3/5

A · 25 Oct

Sunderland

2/5

A · 31 Oct

Bournemouth

1/5

H · 7 Nov

Tottenham

1/5

A · 21 Nov

Chelsea

3/5

H · 28 Nov

Coventry

1/5

A · 2 Dec

Manchester City

5/5

Newcastle

A · 12 Oct

Coventry

1/5

H · 17 Oct

Aston Villa

2/5

A · 25 Oct

Crystal Palace

2/5

A · 28 Oct

Everton

Unrated

H · 2 Nov

Everton

4/5

A · 7 Nov

Fulham

1/5

H · 21 Nov

Arsenal

5/5

A · 29 Nov

Brighton

5/5

Team News

Leeds 3-5-2

Coach: Daniel Farke

  1. J. Trafford
  2. J. Justin
  3. N. Elvedi
  4. T. Muharemovic
  5. J. Bogle
  6. A. Stach
  7. E. Ampadu
  8. A. Tanaka
  9. G. Gudmundsson
  10. D. Calvert-Lewin
  11. N. Okafor

Newcastle 4-2-3-1

Coach: Matthias Jaissle

  1. L. Hornicek
  2. A. Dedic
  3. M. Thiaw
  4. S. Botman
  5. L. Hall
  6. L. Miley
  7. Nico
  8. J. Murphy
  9. M. Fernandez-Pardo
  10. H. Barnes
  11. Y. Wissa

Injuries and suspensions

  • M. Joseph (Leeds): Knee Injury
  • J. Rodon (Leeds): Muscle Injury
  • D. Burn (Newcastle): Ankle Injury
  • A. Elanga (Newcastle): Knee Injury
  • E. Jaouen (Newcastle): Ankle Injury
  • Joelinton (Newcastle): Thigh Injury
  • W. Osula (Newcastle): Injury
  • M. Joseph (Leeds): Knee Injury
  • J. Rodon (Leeds): Muscle Injury
  • D. Burn (Newcastle): Ankle Injury
  • A. Elanga (Newcastle): Knee Injury
  • E. Jaouen (Newcastle): Ankle Injury

Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Tips

Leeds host Newcastle in England Premier League at Elland Road. In the current table, Leeds sit 5th on 9 points and Newcastle are 9th on 8.

Form: Leeds have taken 2W 2D 1L from their last 5, Newcastle 3W 2D 0L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Leeds average 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded; Newcastle average 1.6 and 1.7.

In their last 7 meetings Leeds have won 1, Newcastle 2 and 4 were drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Leeds at 10%, the draw at 45% and Newcastle at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Newcastle.

Our published call was Home or Away (12) at 1.28, which landed.

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Leeds vs Newcastle FAQs

When is the match between Leeds and Newcastle?

Leeds v Newcastle was played on Mon, 14 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

England Premier League, Regular Season - 4.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Leeds are 5th in the table, while Newcastle are 9th.

What is the prediction for Leeds vs Newcastle?

Our prediction is Home or Away (12) at odds of 1.28.

Who is most likely to win Leeds vs Newcastle?

The draw and Newcastle are level at the top: Leeds 10%, draw 45%, Newcastle 45%.

Will both teams score in Leeds vs Newcastle?

Both teams scored in 50% of Leeds's last 10 matches and 80% of Newcastle's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Preview

League:
England : Premier League
Date:
Mon, 14 Sept 2026
Venue:
Elland Road, Leeds

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