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Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera A · Clausura - 13 · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

Primera A

Independiente Medellin

0 - 1

Full time · 6 Oct

Santa Fe

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 GoalsWON1.2895%

The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.28.

Independiente Medellin: Matches Played 10

LDWLD

W5 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Santa Fe: Matches Played 10

LWLDW

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D4 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

  • 23 March 2026 • Primera A

    LSanta Fe2  1Independiente Medellin

  • 21 October 2025 • Primera A

    DIndependiente Medellin1  1Santa Fe

  • 2 October 2025 • Copa Colombia

    WSanta Fe0  3Independiente Medellin

  • 24 September 2025 • Copa Colombia

    LIndependiente Medellin1  2Santa Fe

  • 29 June 2025 • Primera A

    LIndependiente Medellin1  2Santa Fe

  • 25 June 2025 • Primera A

    DSanta Fe0  0Independiente Medellin

  • 15 April 2025 • Primera A

    WSanta Fe1  2Independiente Medellin
Last Matches (Independiente Medellin)

  • 30 September 2026 • Primera A

    DIndependiente Medellin2  2Millonarios

  • 27 September 2026 • Primera A

    LJunior2  0Independiente Medellin

  • 22 September 2026 • Primera A

    WIndependiente Medellin2  1Jaguares

  • 18 September 2026 • Primera A

    DBucaramanga2  2Independiente Medellin

  • 12 September 2026 • Primera A

    LChico2  1Independiente Medellin

  • 10 September 2026 • Copa Colombia

    WDeportivo Pasto1  4Independiente Medellin

  • 4 September 2026 • Primera A

    WDeportivo Pereira0  3Independiente Medellin

  • 30 August 2026 • Primera A

    WIndependiente Medellin2  1Llaneros

  • 23 August 2026 • Primera A

    LIndependiente Medellin0  1Cucuta

  • 4 August 2026 • Primera A

    WDeportes Tolima2  3Independiente Medellin
Last Matches (Santa Fe)

  • 29 September 2026 • Primera A

    WDeportivo Pereira1  2Santa Fe

  • 25 September 2026 • Copa Colombia

    DUnion Magdalena1  1Santa Fe

  • 23 September 2026 • Primera A

    LSanta Fe0  1Deportivo Cali

  • 19 September 2026 • Primera A

    WAlianza Valledupar1  4Santa Fe

  • 15 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    LVasco DA Gama2  0Santa Fe

  • 12 September 2026 • Primera A

    WSanta Fe1  0Deportes Tolima

  • 8 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    DSanta Fe0  0Vasco DA Gama

  • 5 September 2026 • Primera A

    DSanta Fe2  2Fortaleza FC

  • 3 September 2026 • Primera A

    WSanta Fe3  2Millonarios

  • 29 August 2026 • Primera A

    DJunior1  1Santa Fe

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535-152040WDLWW
2Junior19112631-24735LLWWL
3Deportivo Pasto19104529-25434DLWWD
4America de Cali19103625-151033WWDLW
5Once Caldas1989231-22933DLLWL
6Deportes Tolima1987427-171031DDDLL
7Santa Fe1978429-22729WLWWD
8Internacional de Bogota1977526-26028DDLLW
9Deportivo Cali1976620-16427WWWWW
10Millonarios1975731-23826DDWWD
11Independiente Medellin1975726-24226DLWDL
12Águilas Doradas1975720-25-526WLLDL
13Bucaramanga1958626-20623WWWDW
14Llaneros19410517-20-322LLWLL
15Fortaleza FC1957722-27-522DDLDD
16Jaguares19531120-33-1318LLLDD
17Alianza Valledupar1938813-27-1417LWLWW
18Chico19521215-32-1717DWLLW
19Cucuta1937922-35-1316WWLLD
20Deportivo Pereira19171115-32-1710LLDDL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
Y. GuzmánAmerica de Cali3018
A. EstupiñánMillonarios3117
L. MurielJunior3116
D. MorenoOnce Caldas3215
A. MorelosAtletico Nacional3014
H. RodallegaSanta Fe3414
L. PonsBucaramanga2811
E. BatallaBucaramanga2511
J. ZapataOnce Caldas3111
L. CastroMillonarios2811

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.7

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.9%7.1%
1.5 goals74.2%25.8%
2.5 goals49.4%50.6%
3.5 goals27.5%72.5%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

53.8%

No

46.2%

1X

59.5%

12

74%

X2

66.5%

1-1

12.4%

0-1

9.9%

1-0

8.8%

1-2

8.7%

2-1

7.7%

0-0

7.1%

0-2

6.9%

2-0

5.5%

1 / 1

19.4%

1 / X

5.1%

1 / 2

2.3%

X / 1

12.2%

X / X

15.7%

X / 2

14.2%

2 / 1

2%

2 / X

5.1%

2 / 2

24%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28

Expected goals: 2.7

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form33% / 67%
Attack44% / 56%
Defence36% / 64%
Goals model42% / 58%
Head-to-head38% / 62%
Overall41% / 59%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Independiente Medellin6/6
Santa Fe4/6

Over 2.5

Independiente Medellin5/6
Santa Fe2/6

Over 3.5

Independiente Medellin3/6
Santa Fe1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Independiente Medellin5/6
Santa Fe3/6

Goals By Time Period

Independiente Medellin

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Santa Fe

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Independiente Medellin

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Santa Fe

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Independiente Medellin

First goal scored: 37′First goal conceded: 42′First card: 38′

Santa Fe

First goal scored: 37′First goal conceded: 35′First card: 45′

Season Statistics

Independiente MedellinSanta Fe
FormLDWLDLDWWLWW
Played3135
Wins1314
Draws715
Losses116
Goals for (avg)1.51.5
Goals against (avg)1.31
Clean sheets78
Failed to score55
Biggest win streak33

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Independiente Medellin

Total shots14.2
Blocked3.8
48% off target52% on target
61% inside box39% outside box
Total passes389.8
Accurate passes327.6 (84%)
Possession53%

Santa Fe

Total shots11.4
Blocked2.2
46% off target54% on target
56% inside box44% outside box
Total passes397.2
Accurate passes319.2 (80%)
Possession46%

Trends

5 match streak · Primera A

Independiente Medellin have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Primera A.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Independiente Medellin

A · 12 Oct

America de Cali

5/5

H · 18 Oct

Once Caldas

4/5

A · 25 Oct

Atletico Nacional

5/5

A · 29 Oct

Internacional de Bogota

4/5

H · 1 Nov

Alianza Valledupar

1/5

A · 7 Nov

Fortaleza FC

2/5

A · 12 Nov

Águilas Doradas

3/5

Santa Fe

H · 11 Oct

Fortaleza FC

Unrated

H · 15 Oct

Jaguares

2/5

A · 18 Oct

Llaneros

2/5

H · 27 Oct

Bucaramanga

2/5

A · 30 Oct

Atletico Nacional

5/5

A · 2 Nov

Cucuta

1/5

H · 10 Nov

Deportivo Pasto

5/5

A · 12 Nov

Internacional de Bogota

4/5

Team News

Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1

Coach: L. Perea

  1. S. Ichazo
  2. H. Palacios
  3. L. Escorcia
  4. A. Simarra
  5. E. Mena
  6. D. Moreno
  7. B. Perlaza
  8. K. Klinger
  9. A. Martegani
  10. J. Montaño
  11. Y. González

Santa Fe 4-4-1-1

Coach: P. Repetto

  1. A. Mosquera
  2. H. Palacios
  3. E. Olivera
  4. V. Moreno
  5. C. Mafla
  6. J. Obrian
  7. D. Torres
  8. J. Torres
  9. A. Zapata
  10. F. Fagúndez
  11. N. Bustos

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction & Tips

Independiente Medellin host Santa Fe in Colombia Primera A at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagüí. In the current table, Independiente Medellin sit 11th on 26 points and Santa Fe are 7th on 29.

Form: Independiente Medellin have taken 1W 2D 2L from their last 5, Santa Fe 2W 1D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Independiente Medellin average 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded; Santa Fe average 1.4 and 1.1.

In their last 7 meetings Independiente Medellin have won 2, Santa Fe 3 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 71%.

The feed's model puts Independiente Medellin at 10%, the draw at 45% and Santa Fe at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Santa Fe.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, which landed.

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Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe FAQs

When is the match between Independiente Medellin and Santa Fe?

Independiente Medellin v Santa Fe was played on Tue, 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Colombia Primera A, Clausura - 13.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Independiente Medellin are 11th in the table, while Santa Fe are 7th.

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.28.

Who is most likely to win Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?

The draw and Santa Fe are level at the top: Independiente Medellin 10%, draw 45%, Santa Fe 45%.

Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?

Both teams scored in 70% of Independiente Medellin's last 10 matches and 60% of Santa Fe's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Colombia : Primera A
Date:
Tue, 6 Oct 2026
Venue:
Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagüí, Itagui

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