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Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera A · Clausura - 4 · Wed, 30 Sept 2026

Primera A

Independiente Medellin

2 - 2

Full time · 30 Sept

Millonarios

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 GoalsWON1.2595%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Also rated:Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33Both Teams to Score @ 1.67Draw @ 3.30

Independiente Medellin: Matches Played 10

WLDWL

W6 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

Millonarios: Matches Played 10

DDWWD

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L1 Losses

in last 10 games

D5 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 2 February 2026 • Primera A

    DMillonarios0  0Independiente Medellin
  • 3 August 2025 • Primera A

    WIndependiente Medellin1  0Millonarios
  • 16 February 2025 • Primera A

    WMillonarios0  1Independiente Medellin
  • 19 July 2024 • Primera A

    DIndependiente Medellin1  1Millonarios
  • 21 January 2024 • Primera A

    LMillonarios5  0Independiente Medellin
  • 1 December 2023 • Primera A

    WIndependiente Medellin2  1Millonarios
  • 26 November 2023 • Primera A

    LMillonarios1  0Independiente Medellin
Last Matches (Independiente Medellin)
  • 27 September 2026 • Primera A

    LJunior2  0Independiente Medellin
  • 22 September 2026 • Primera A

    WIndependiente Medellin2  1Jaguares
  • 18 September 2026 • Primera A

    DBucaramanga2  2Independiente Medellin
  • 12 September 2026 • Primera A

    LChico2  1Independiente Medellin
  • 10 September 2026 • Copa Colombia

    WDeportivo Pasto1  4Independiente Medellin
  • 4 September 2026 • Primera A

    WDeportivo Pereira0  3Independiente Medellin
  • 30 August 2026 • Primera A

    WIndependiente Medellin2  1Llaneros
  • 23 August 2026 • Primera A

    LIndependiente Medellin0  1Cucuta
  • 4 August 2026 • Primera A

    WDeportes Tolima2  3Independiente Medellin
  • 1 August 2026 • Primera A

    WIndependiente Medellin1  0Deportivo Cali
Last Matches (Millonarios)
  • 25 September 2026 • Primera A

    DAtletico Nacional1  1Millonarios
  • 19 September 2026 • Primera A

    WMillonarios3  0Chico
  • 14 September 2026 • Primera A

    WCucuta1  2Millonarios
  • 11 September 2026 • Primera A

    DMillonarios1  1Deportivo Cali
  • 6 September 2026 • Primera A

    DDeportivo Pereira1  1Millonarios
  • 3 September 2026 • Primera A

    LSanta Fe3  2Millonarios
  • 30 August 2026 • Primera A

    DMillonarios0  0Internacional de Bogota
  • 27 August 2026 • Primera A

    WLlaneros0  2Millonarios
  • 22 August 2026 • Primera A

    DÁguilas Doradas1  1Millonarios
  • 5 August 2026 • Primera A

    WMillonarios2  0Deportivo Pasto

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535-152040DLWWW
2Junior19112631-24735WWLDD
3Deportivo Pasto19104529-25434LWWDL
4America de Cali19103625-151033WDLWD
5Once Caldas1989231-22933LLWLL
6Deportes Tolima1987427-171031DDLLW
7Santa Fe1978429-22729WLWWD
8Internacional de Bogota1977526-26028DLLWD
9Deportivo Cali1976620-16427WWWWD
10Millonarios1975731-23826DDWWD
11Independiente Medellin1975726-24226DLWDL
12Águilas Doradas1975720-25-526LLDLD
13Bucaramanga1958626-20623WWDWD
14Llaneros19410517-20-322LWLLL
15Fortaleza FC1957722-27-522DLDDL
16Jaguares19531120-33-1318LLDDD
17Alianza Valledupar1938813-27-1417WLWWL
18Chico19521215-32-1717WLLWW
19Cucuta1937922-35-1316WLLDL
20Deportivo Pereira19171115-32-1710LDDLD

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
Y. GuzmánAmerica de Cali2918
A. EstupiñánMillonarios3117
D. MorenoOnce Caldas3115
A. MorelosAtletico Nacional3014
H. RodallegaSanta Fe3314
L. MurielJunior2914
L. PonsBucaramanga2711
L. CastroMillonarios2811
N. BustosSanta Fe3411
Jorge Luis Rivaldo PintoÁguilas Doradas1911

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.7

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals93.3%6.7%
1.5 goals75.1%24.9%
2.5 goals50.6%49.4%
3.5 goals28.6%71.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

54.8%

No

45.2%

1X

60.6%

12

74.2%

X2

65.2%

1-1

12.2%

0-1

9.4%

1-0

8.7%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

8%

0-0

6.7%

0-2

6.6%

2-0

5.7%

1 / 1

20.2%

1 / X

5.2%

1 / 2

2.3%

X / 1

12.5%

X / X

15.4%

X / 2

13.8%

2 / 1

2.1%

2 / X

5.2%

2 / 2

23.3%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

Expected goals: 2.7

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form44% / 56%
Attack50% / 50%
Defence36% / 64%
Goals model48% / 52%
Head-to-head62% / 38%
Overall46% / 55%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Independiente Medellin6/6
Millonarios6/6

Over 2.5

Independiente Medellin5/6
Millonarios3/6

Over 3.5

Independiente Medellin2/6
Millonarios1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Independiente Medellin4/6
Millonarios5/6

Goals By Time Period

Independiente Medellin

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Millonarios

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Independiente Medellin

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Millonarios

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Independiente Medellin

First goal scored: 41′First goal conceded: 42′First card: 35′

Millonarios

First goal scored: 44′First goal conceded: 56′First card: 51′

Season Statistics

Independiente MedellinMillonarios
FormWLDWLDDDWWDD
Played3032
Wins1312
Draws711
Losses109
Goals for (avg)1.51.5
Goals against (avg)1.31.1
Clean sheets711
Failed to score45
Biggest win streak32

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Independiente Medellin

Total shots16.6
Blocked3.4
50% off target50% on target
60% inside box40% outside box
Total passes411.8
Accurate passes356.4 (87%)
Possession54%

Millonarios

Total shots15.8
Blocked3.7
40% off target60% on target
60% inside box40% outside box
Total passes387.7
Accurate passes309.7 (80%)
Possession52%

Trends

6 match streak · Primera A

Millonarios have scored in each of their last 6 matches in Primera A.

5 match streak · Primera A

Millonarios are unbeaten in their last 5 matches in Primera A.

4 match streak · Primera A

Independiente Medellin have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Primera A.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Independiente Medellin

H · 4 Oct

Santa Fe

4/5

A · 12 Oct

America de Cali

5/5

H · 18 Oct

Once Caldas

4/5

A · 25 Oct

Atletico Nacional

5/5

A · 29 Oct

Internacional de Bogota

4/5

H · 1 Nov

Alianza Valledupar

1/5

A · 7 Nov

Fortaleza FC

2/5

A · 12 Nov

Águilas Doradas

3/5

Millonarios

A · 3 Oct

Barranquilla

Unrated

A · 11 Oct

Fortaleza FC

2/5

H · 17 Oct

Jaguares

2/5

H · 20 Oct

Once Caldas

4/5

H · 4 Nov

America de Cali

5/5

A · 7 Nov

Deportes Tolima

4/5

H · 12 Nov

Alianza Valledupar

1/5

Team News

Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1

Coach: L. Perea

  1. E. Chaux
  2. H. Palacios
  3. L. Escorcia
  4. A. Simarra
  5. E. Mena
  6. B. Perlaza
  7. D. Moreno
  8. Y. González
  9. A. Martegani
  10. J. Montaño
  11. C. Lucumi

Millonarios 4-1-3-2

Coach: A. Gamero

  1. J. Burrai
  2. S. del Castillo
  3. S. Barreiro
  4. J. Arias
  5. D. Banguero
  6. Leonai
  7. F. Chaverra
  8. S. Vega
  9. J. Cuadrado
  10. L. Castro
  11. D. Ruiz

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios Prediction & Tips

Independiente Medellin host Millonarios in Colombia Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. In the current table, Independiente Medellin sit 11th on 26 points and Millonarios are 10th on 26.

Form: Independiente Medellin have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Millonarios 2W 3D 0L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Independiente Medellin average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded; Millonarios average 1.5 and 0.8.

In their last 7 meetings Independiente Medellin have won 3, Millonarios 2 and 2 were drawn, averaging 1.9 goals a game with both teams scoring in 29%.

The feed's model puts Independiente Medellin at 10%, the draw at 45% and Millonarios at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Millonarios.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, which landed.

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Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios FAQs

When is the match between Independiente Medellin and Millonarios?

Independiente Medellin v Millonarios was played on Wed, 30 September 2026 at 01:05 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Colombia Primera A, Clausura - 4.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Independiente Medellin are 11th in the table, while Millonarios are 10th.

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios?

The draw and Millonarios are level at the top: Independiente Medellin 10%, draw 45%, Millonarios 45%.

Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios?

Both teams scored in 60% of Independiente Medellin's last 10 matches and 60% of Millonarios's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Colombia : Primera A
Date:
Wed, 30 Sept 2026
Venue:
Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

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