Independiente del Valle vs Aucas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Ecuador · Liga Pro · Championship Group - 2 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026
Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle
16:30
10 Oct
Aucas
Independiente del Valle carry a 32 point edge at home.
Also rated:Home Win Either Half @ 1.27
Independiente del Valle: Matches Played 10
W6 Wins
in last 10 games
L2 Losses
in last 10 games
D2 Draws
in last 10 games
Aucas: Matches Played 10
W3 Wins
in last 10 games
L3 Losses
in last 10 games
D4 Draws
in last 10 games
45%
1.53
45%
4.10
10%
5.75
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H16 July 2026 • Liga Pro
WAucas0 3Independiente del Valle14 March 2026 • Liga Pro
DIndependiente del Valle2 2Aucas19 July 2025 • Liga Pro
WIndependiente del Valle2 1Aucas28 March 2025 • Liga Pro
WAucas1 2Independiente del Valle1 September 2024 • Liga Pro
WAucas0 2Independiente del Valle24 March 2024 • Liga Pro
DIndependiente del Valle1 1Aucas11 November 2023 • Liga Pro
LAucas2 0Independiente del Valle2 June 2023 • Liga Pro
WIndependiente del Valle2 0Aucas
Last Matches (Independiente del Valle)25 September 2026 • Copa Ecuador
W
Gualaceo SC0 2Independiente del Valle18 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores
D
Flamengo1 1Independiente del Valle13 September 2026 • Liga Pro
W
Libertad2 3Independiente del Valle11 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores
LIndependiente del Valle0 2Flamengo5 September 2026 • Liga Pro
WIndependiente del Valle3 1Macara
3 September 2026 • Liga Pro
L
Barcelona SC2 1Independiente del Valle29 August 2026 • Liga Pro
DIndependiente del Valle2 2Universidad Catolica
26 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores
WIndependiente del Valle3 1Deportes Tolima
22 August 2026 • Liga Pro
W
Leones del Norte2 3Independiente del Valle19 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores
WDeportes Tolima0 1Independiente del Valle
Last Matches (Aucas)19 September 2026 • Liga Pro
LAucas1 2Macara12 September 2026 • Liga Pro
D
Manta FC0 0Aucas7 September 2026 • Liga Pro
DAucas1 1Barcelona SC3 September 2026 • Liga Pro
DUniversidad Catolica1 1Aucas30 August 2026 • Liga Pro
WAucas1 0Libertad26 August 2026 • Copa Ecuador
L
LDU de Quito1 0Aucas23 August 2026 • Liga Pro
W
Delfin SC0 1Aucas17 August 2026 • Liga Pro
LAucas0 1LDU de Quito12 August 2026 • Copa Ecuador
D
La Unión1 1Aucas8 August 2026 • Liga Pro
WAucas3 0Leones del Norte
League Table
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73-33 | 40 | 74 | WWLDW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51-27 | 24 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41-33 | 8 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33-28 | 5 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31-24 | 7 | 46 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32-25 | 7 | 44 | DDWLW |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33-34 | -1 | 41 | LWDLW |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31-32 | -1 | 39 | LDWLL |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33-36 | -3 | 39 | WLLWW |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25-34 | -9 | 39 | LWDWL |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35-38 | -3 | 38 | LDDWD |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25-37 | -12 | 36 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36-47 | -11 | 33 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28-42 | -14 | 32 | WLLWL |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19-31 | -12 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17-42 | -25 | 21 | DLLWL |
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.8
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
1X
75.4%
12
76%
X2
48.6%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
1 / 1
31.8%
1 / X
4.9%
1 / 2
1.6%
X / 1
16.8%
X / X
14.2%
X / 2
9.2%
2 / 1
2.8%
2 / X
4.9%
2 / 2
13.8%
Home -1.25
44%
odds 2.15
Away +1.25
56%
odds 1.68
Home -1
50%
odds 1.90
Away +1
50%
odds 1.90
Home -0.75
56%
odds 1.68
Away +0.75
44%
odds 2.15
Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.
Over 9.5
50%
odds 1.83
Under 9.5
50%
odds 1.83
Total corners over/under.
- Djorkaeff Reasco2.0549%
- Carlos Gonzalez2.0549%
- Matias Perello2.5040%
- Junior Sornoza2.5040%
- Aron Rodriguez2.6238%
Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Independiente del Valle
Our pick: Home Win at 1.53
Expected goals: 2.8
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Average Event Minute
Independiente del Valle
First goal scored: 33′First goal conceded: 53′First card: 42′
Aucas
First goal scored: 61′First goal conceded: 62′First card: 44′
Season Statistics
| Independiente del Valle | Aucas | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWDLWW | WWDDDL |
| Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 24 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.1 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 |
| Biggest win streak | 11 | 4 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Trends
9 match streak · Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle have scored in each of their last 9 matches in Liga Pro.
6 match streak · Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Liga Pro.
6 match streak · Liga Pro
Both teams have scored in each of Independiente del Valle's last 6 matches in Liga Pro.
6 match streak · Liga Pro
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Independiente del Valle's last 6 matches in Liga Pro.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Independiente del Valle
H · 10 Oct
Aucas
5/5A · 18 Oct
Macara
5/5H · 25 Oct
Universidad Catolica
5/5A · 29 Oct
Delfin SC
UnratedH · 1 Nov
LDU de Quito
4/5H · 6 Nov
Delfin SC
UnratedA · 8 Nov
Aucas
5/5H · 22 Nov
Macara
5/5Aucas
A · 10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
5/5H · 18 Oct
LDU de Quito
4/5H · 25 Oct
Barcelona SC
4/5A · 1 Nov
Universidad Catolica
5/5H · 8 Nov
Independiente del Valle
5/5A · 22 Nov
LDU de Quito
4/5A · 29 Nov
Barcelona SC
4/5H · 6 Dec
Universidad Catolica
5/5Independiente del Valle vs Aucas Prediction & Tips
Independiente del Valle host Aucas in Ecuador Liga Pro at Estadio Banco De Guayaquil. In the table, Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 74 points and Aucas are 4th on 50.
Form: Independiente del Valle have taken 3W 1D 1L from their last 5, Aucas 1W 3D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Independiente del Valle average 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded; Aucas average 0.9 and 0.7.
In their last 8 meetings Independiente del Valle have won 5, Aucas 1 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.6 goals a game with both teams scoring in 50%.
The feed's model puts Independiente del Valle at 45%, the draw at 45% and Aucas at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Independiente del Valle or draw.
Our call for this match is Home Win at 1.53. Independiente del Valle carry a 32 point edge at home.
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas FAQs
When is the match between Independiente del Valle and Aucas?
Independiente del Valle v Aucas is scheduled on Sat, 10 October 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
Ecuador Liga Pro, Championship Group - 2.
What is their ranking in the league table this season?
Independiente del Valle are 1st in the table, while Aucas are 4th.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.53.
Who is most likely to win Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Independiente del Valle and The draw are level at the top: Independiente del Valle 45%, draw 45%, Aucas 10%.
Will both teams score in Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Both teams scored in 70% of Independiente del Valle's last 10 matches and 40% of Aucas's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- Ecuador : Liga Pro
- Date:
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026
- Venue:
- Estadio Banco De Guayaquil, Quito
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