Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2 · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

0 - 5

Full time · 6 Sept

FSV Mainz 05

PredictionOddsConfidence

Under 3.5 GoalsLOST1.4460%

A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.

Also rated:Both Teams to Score @ 1.57Home or Away (12) @ 1.28

FSV Mainz 05: Matches Played 10

DWWWD

W8 Wins

in last 10 games

L0 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

45%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

No previous meetings found.

Last Matches (Hamburger SV)

Last Matches (FSV Mainz 05)

29 August 2026 • Bundesliga
DFSV Mainz 050 0SC Paderborn 07
23 August 2026 • DFB Pokal
WKrieschow0 9FSV Mainz 05
15 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WFSV Mainz 052 1Bournemouth
8 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WFSV Mainz 054 0Paris FC
1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
DUdinese3 3FSV Mainz 05
31 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WFSV Mainz 051 0Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WFSV Mainz 053 0Holstein Kiel
17 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WFSV Mainz 054 11. FC Kaiserslautern
11 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WEisbachtal0 10FSV Mainz 05
4 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
WPfeddersheim0 11FSV Mainz 05

League Table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P	Form
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9-2	7	12	WWWW
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14-2	12	10	WWDW
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12-3	9	10	DWWW
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11-6	5	7	LDWW
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10-5	5	7	WDWL
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10-6	4	7	WLWD
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8-7	1	7	DLWW
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8-8	0	7	WDWL
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9-5	4	6	LWLW
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9-10	-1	5	DWLD
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3-4	-1	5	DWDL
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3-5	-2	4	WLLD
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6-9	-3	4	LDLW
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7-10	-3	3	LWLL
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6-9	-3	3	LLWL
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2-13	-11	3	WLLL
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4-17	-13	1	LLLD
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6-16	-10	0	LLLL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals

P. SchickBayer Leverkusen44

Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt44

M. OliseBayern München44

Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg44

P. TietzFSV Mainz 0544

J. BurkardtEintracht Frankfurt43

I. MatanovićSC Freiburg43

M. KrattenmacherSV Elversberg43

M. GregoritschFC Augsburg43

N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen43

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.9

Over / UnderBTTSDouble ChanceCorrect ScoreHT / FT

LineOverUnder

0.5 goals98%2%

1.5 goals90.1%9.9%

2.5 goals74.7%25.3%

3.5 goals54.7%45.3%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

59.7%

40.3%

23.8%

86.2%

90%

0-2

8.5%

1-2

8.5%

0-3

8.2%

1-3

8.2%

0-4

1-4

0-1

5.9%

1-1

5.9%

1 / 1

5.5%

1 / X

3.4%

1 / 2

3.9%

X / 1

3.6%

X / X

7.1%

X / 2

18.3%

2 / 1

0.9%

2 / X

3.4%

2 / 2

53.9%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44

Expected goals: 3.9

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form0% / 100%

Attack0% / 0%

Defence0% / 100%

Goals model0% / 0%

Head-to-head50% / 50%

Overall57% / 43%

Goals By Time Period

ScoredConceded

Hamburger SV

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

FSV Mainz 05

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Hamburger SV

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

FSV Mainz 05

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Hamburger SV

First goal scored: n/aFirst goal conceded: n/aFirst card: n/a

FSV Mainz 05

First goal scored: 26′First goal conceded: 28′First card: 49′

Season Statistics

	Hamburger SV	FSV Mainz 05
Form	LLLW	DWLW
Played	4	4
Wins	1	2
Draws	0	1
Losses	3	1
Goals for (avg)	0.5	2.5
Goals against (avg)	3.3	1.5
Clean sheets	0	2
Failed to score	3	1
Biggest win streak	0	1

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots25.5

Blocked7.5

56% off target44% on target

73% inside box27% outside box

Total passes537.5

Accurate passes467.5 (87%)

Possession61%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Hamburger SV

A · 10 Oct

1899 Hoffenheim

2/5

H · 17 Oct

VfB Stuttgart

2/5

A · 24 Oct

SC Paderborn 07

2/5

H · 27 Oct

Eintracht Frankfurt

Unrated

A · 1 Nov

Eintracht Frankfurt

3/5

H · 6 Nov

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1/5

A · 22 Nov

Werder Bremen

4/5

H · 28 Nov

Bayern München

5/5

FSV Mainz 05

H · 10 Oct

Bayer Leverkusen

4/5

A · 17 Oct

FC Schalke 04

3/5

H · 24 Oct

Werder Bremen

4/5

A · 27 Oct

VfL Bochum

Unrated

A · 30 Oct

SV Elversberg

4/5

H · 7 Nov

Bayern München

5/5

A · 22 Nov

FC Augsburg

5/5

H · 28 Nov

Union Berlin

1/5

Team News

Injuries and suspensions

M. Muheim (Hamburger SV): Muscle Injury
W. Omari (Hamburger SV): Personal Reasons
A. Rossing-Lelesiit (Hamburger SV): Ankle Injury
D. Kohr (FSV Mainz 05): Foot Injury
E. Martel (FSV Mainz 05): Knee Injury
P. Nebel (FSV Mainz 05): Muscle Injury
Silas (FSV Mainz 05): Broken shinbone
M. Muheim (Hamburger SV): Muscle Injury
W. Omari (Hamburger SV): Personal Reasons
A. Rossing-Lelesiit (Hamburger SV): Ankle Injury
D. Kohr (FSV Mainz 05): Foot Injury
E. Martel (FSV Mainz 05): Knee Injury

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Tips

Hamburger SV host FSV Mainz 05 in Germany Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion. In the current table, Hamburger SV sit 16th on 3 points and FSV Mainz 05 are 6th on 7.

The feed's model puts Hamburger SV at 10%, the draw at 45% and FSV Mainz 05 at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05 and -3.5 goals.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44, which did not land.

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Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

When is the match between Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05?

Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05 was played on Sun, 6 September 2026 at 13:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Germany Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Hamburger SV are 16th in the table, while FSV Mainz 05 are 6th.

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.44.

Who is most likely to win Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?

The draw and FSV Mainz 05 are level at the top: Hamburger SV 10%, draw 45%, FSV Mainz 05 45%.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Match Preview

League:: Germany : Bundesliga
Date:: Sun, 6 Sept 2026
Venue:: Volksparkstadion, Hamburger

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