France vs Belgium Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
World · UEFA Nations League · League A - 4 · Mon, 5 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League
France
18:45
5 Oct
Belgium
France are the market favourites at 1.53.
Also rated:Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.67Home or Away (12) @ 1.18Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48Both Teams to Score @ 1.57
France: Matches Played 10
W7 Wins
in last 10 games
L2 Losses
in last 10 games
D1 Draws
in last 10 games
Belgium: Matches Played 10
W6 Wins
in last 10 games
L2 Losses
in last 10 games
D2 Draws
in last 10 games
35%
1.45
35%
4.75
30%
6.25
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
WBelgium0 1France14 October 2024 • UEFA Nations League
WBelgium1 2France9 September 2024 • UEFA Nations League
WFrance2 0Belgium1 July 2024 • Euro Championship
WFrance1 0Belgium7 October 2021 • UEFA Nations League
WBelgium2 3France10 July 2018 • World Cup
WFrance1 0Belgium
Last Matches (France)2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
DFrance1 1Italy
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
WBelgium0 1France25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Türkiye0 1France18 July 2026 • World Cup
LFrance4 6England
14 July 2026 • World Cup
LFrance0 2Spain
9 July 2026 • World Cup
WFrance2 0Morocco
4 July 2026 • World Cup
W
Paraguay0 1France30 June 2026 • World Cup
WFrance3 0Sweden
26 June 2026 • World Cup
W
Norway1 4France22 June 2026 • World Cup
WFrance3 0Iraq
Last Matches (Belgium)2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
WBelgium3 0Türkiye28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
LBelgium0 1France25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
WItaly0 2Belgium10 July 2026 • World Cup
LSpain2 1Belgium7 July 2026 • World Cup
W
USA1 4Belgium1 July 2026 • World Cup
WBelgium3 2Senegal
27 June 2026 • World Cup
W
New Zealand1 5Belgium21 June 2026 • World Cup
DBelgium0 0Iran
15 June 2026 • World Cup
DBelgium1 1Egypt
6 June 2026 • Friendlies
WBelgium5 0Tunisia
League Table
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-4 | 1 | 4 | DWL |
| 4 | Türkiye | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-8 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 1.7
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
30.2%
No
69.8%
1X
57.1%
12
66.1%
X2
76.8%
0-0
19.2%
0-1
19.2%
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
1 / 1
12.2%
1 / X
3.8%
1 / 2
1.2%
X / 1
10.3%
X / X
26.3%
X / 2
17.5%
2 / 1
0.7%
2 / X
3.8%
2 / 2
24.2%
Home -1.5
42%
odds 2.25
Away +1.5
58%
odds 1.62
Home -1.25
48%
odds 2.00
Away +1.25
52%
odds 1.85
Home -1
54%
odds 1.75
Away +1
46%
odds 2.05
Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.
Over 9
53%
odds 1.80
Under 9
47%
odds 2.00
Over 9.5
46%
odds 2.00
Under 9.5
54%
odds 1.73
Total corners over/under.
Over 3.5
56%
odds 1.67
Under 3.5
44%
odds 2.10
Total cards over/under.
- Ousmane Dembele1.9551%
- Esteban Lepaul2.1048%
- Michael Olise2.7536%
- Bradley Barcola2.8835%
- Desire Doue2.8835%
Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: France
Our pick: Home Win at 1.53
Expected goals: 1.7
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
France
Belgium
France
Belgium
Average Event Minute
France
First goal scored: 61′First goal conceded: 31′First card: 51′
Belgium
First goal scored: 33′First goal conceded: 43′First card: 48′
Season Statistics
| France | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWD | WLW |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 1.7 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
France
Belgium
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
France
H · 5 Oct
Belgium
4/5A · 12 Nov
Italy
3/5H · 15 Nov
Türkiye
2/5Belgium
A · 5 Oct
France
5/5A · 12 Nov
Türkiye
2/5H · 15 Nov
Italy
3/5France vs Belgium Prediction & Tips
France host Belgium in World UEFA Nations League at Stade de France. In the table, France sit 1st on 7 points and Belgium are 2nd on 6.
Form: France have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Belgium 3W 0D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches France average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded; Belgium average 2.4 and 0.8.
In their last 6 meetings France have won 6, Belgium 0 and 0 were drawn, averaging 2.2 goals a game with both teams scoring in 33%.
The feed's model puts France at 35%, the draw at 35% and Belgium at 30%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : France or draw and -3.5 goals.
Our call for this match is Home Win at 1.53. France are the market favourites at 1.53.
France vs Belgium FAQs
When is the match between France and Belgium?
France v Belgium is scheduled on Mon, 5 October 2026 at 18:45 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
World UEFA Nations League, League A - 4.
What is their ranking in the league table this season?
France are 1st in the table, while Belgium are 2nd.
What is the prediction for France vs Belgium?
Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.53.
Who is most likely to win France vs Belgium?
France and The draw are level at the top: France 35%, draw 35%, Belgium 30%.
Will both teams score in France vs Belgium?
Both teams scored in 30% of France's last 10 matches and 50% of Belgium's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
France vs Belgium Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- World : UEFA Nations League
- Date:
- Mon, 5 Oct 2026
- Venue:
- Stade de France, Paris
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