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FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL Championship · Group Stage · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

USL Championship

FC Tulsa

1 - 1

Full time · 4 Oct

Sacramento Republic

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 GoalsWON1.2060%

A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.

FC Tulsa: Matches Played 10

DLDDW

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L3 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

Sacramento Republic: Matches Played 10

DWDWW

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L1 Losses

in last 10 games

D5 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

  • 6 August 2026 • USL Championship

    WFC Tulsa1  0Sacramento Republic

  • 8 March 2026 • USL Championship

    LSacramento Republic2  0FC Tulsa

  • 8 June 2025 • USL Championship

    WSacramento Republic0  1FC Tulsa

  • 29 March 2025 • USL Championship

    WFC Tulsa1  0Sacramento Republic

  • 23 June 2024 • USL Championship

    DFC Tulsa0  0Sacramento Republic

  • 14 April 2024 • USL Championship

    DSacramento Republic1  1FC Tulsa

  • 29 April 2023 • USL Championship

    DFC Tulsa1  1Sacramento Republic
Last Matches (FC Tulsa)

  • 1 October 2026 • USL Championship

    WFC Tulsa1  0New Mexico United

  • 26 September 2026 • USL Championship

    DEl Paso Locomotive1  1FC Tulsa

  • 19 September 2026 • USL Championship

    DBrooklyn2  2FC Tulsa

  • 13 September 2026 • USL Championship

    LPhoenix Rising2  1FC Tulsa

  • 6 September 2026 • USL Championship

    DSan Antonio0  0FC Tulsa

  • 30 August 2026 • USL Championship

    WFC Tulsa1  0Rhode Island

  • 23 August 2026 • USL Championship

    WOrange County SC1  5FC Tulsa

  • 16 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LNew Mexico United1  0FC Tulsa

  • 9 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LFC Tulsa0  1Detroit City

  • 6 August 2026 • USL Championship

    WFC Tulsa1  0Sacramento Republic
Last Matches (Sacramento Republic)

  • 1 October 2026 • USL Championship

    WSacramento Republic3  2Las Vegas Lights

  • 27 September 2026 • USL Championship

    WNew Mexico United2  3Sacramento Republic

  • 20 September 2026 • USL Championship

    DSacramento Republic0  0San Antonio

  • 13 September 2026 • USL Championship

    WSacramento Republic1  0Detroit City

  • 6 September 2026 • USL Championship

    DOrange County SC1  1Sacramento Republic

  • 30 August 2026 • USL Championship

    DMonterey Bay1  1Sacramento Republic

  • 23 August 2026 • USL Championship

    DSacramento Republic2  2Phoenix Rising

  • 16 August 2026 • USL Championship

    WSacramento Republic1  0Lexington

  • 8 August 2026 • USL Championship

    DPittsburgh Riverhounds0  0Sacramento Republic

  • 6 August 2026 • USL Championship

    LFC Tulsa1  0Sacramento Republic

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1El Paso Locomotive27145846-351147LDWWW
2Sacramento Republic271111537-251244DWWDW
3New Mexico United26127739-31843LLDDD
4Lexington271341049-331643WWWWL
5FC Tulsa27119732-25742DWDDL
6Colorado Springs27117940-37340DDDWW
7Orange County SC27109836-42-639LWLLD
8San Antonio27911729-29038LDDLD
9Las Vegas Lights271061135-38-336WLDWL
10Oakland Roots27810933-35-234DWWLD
11Phoenix Rising2689935-38-333LLWDW
12Monterey Bay27561629-47-1821WLLDD

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
J. LocadiaMiami FC146
A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive42
Pedro SantosLoudoun United50
J. SoñoraMiami FC20
Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies20

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals88.9%11.1%
1.5 goals64.5%35.5%
2.5 goals37.7%62.3%
3.5 goals18.1%81.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

44.4%

No

55.6%

1X

62%

12

70.9%

X2

67.1%

1-1

13.4%

0-1

12.7%

1-0

11.6%

0-0

11.1%

1-2

7.7%

0-2

7.3%

2-1

7%

2-0

6.1%

1 / 1

18.6%

1 / X

4.8%

1 / 2

1.7%

X / 1

12.8%

X / X

19.5%

X / 2

14.5%

2 / 1

1.5%

2 / X

4.8%

2 / 2

21.8%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: FC Tulsa

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20

Expected goals: 2.2

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form35% / 65%
Attack38% / 62%
Defence50% / 50%
Goals model59% / 41%
Head-to-head71% / 29%
Overall52% / 48%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

FC Tulsa3/6
Sacramento Republic4/6

Over 2.5

FC Tulsa2/6
Sacramento Republic2/6

Over 3.5

FC Tulsa1/6
Sacramento Republic2/6

BTTS (Yes)

FC Tulsa3/6
Sacramento Republic4/6

Goals By Time Period

FC Tulsa

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Sacramento Republic

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

FC Tulsa

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Sacramento Republic

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

FC Tulsa

First goal scored: 31′First goal conceded: 29′First card: 44′

Sacramento Republic

First goal scored: 46′First goal conceded: 48′First card: 51′

Season Statistics

FC TulsaSacramento Republic
FormDLDDWDDWDWWD
Played2727
Wins1111
Draws911
Losses75
Goals for (avg)1.21.4
Goals against (avg)0.90.9
Clean sheets119
Failed to score86
Biggest win streak32

Trends

9 match streak · USL Championship

Sacramento Republic are unbeaten in their last 9 matches in USL Championship.

4 match streak · USL Championship

FC Tulsa have scored in each of their last 4 matches in USL Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

FC Tulsa

A · 9 Oct

Lexington

4/5

H · 18 Oct

Oakland Roots

2/5

A · 25 Oct

Colorado Springs

3/5

Sacramento Republic

H · 11 Oct

Colorado Springs

3/5

A · 18 Oct

El Paso Locomotive

5/5

H · 25 Oct

Oakland Roots

2/5

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Prediction & Tips

FC Tulsa host Sacramento Republic in USA USL Championship at ONEOK Field. In the current table, FC Tulsa sit 5th on 42 points and Sacramento Republic are 2nd on 44.

Form: FC Tulsa have taken 1W 3D 1L from their last 5, Sacramento Republic 3W 2D 0L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches FC Tulsa average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded; Sacramento Republic average 1.2 and 0.9.

In their last 7 meetings FC Tulsa have won 3, Sacramento Republic 1 and 3 were drawn, averaging 1.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 29%.

The feed's model puts FC Tulsa at 45%, the draw at 45% and Sacramento Republic at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : FC Tulsa or draw and -3.5 goals.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, which landed.

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FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic FAQs

When is the match between FC Tulsa and Sacramento Republic?

FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic was played on Sun, 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

USA USL Championship, Group Stage.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

FC Tulsa are 5th in the table, while Sacramento Republic are 2nd.

What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.20.

Who is most likely to win FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

FC Tulsa and The draw are level at the top: FC Tulsa 45%, draw 45%, Sacramento Republic 10%.

Will both teams score in FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

Both teams scored in 40% of FC Tulsa's last 10 matches and 50% of Sacramento Republic's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Prediction & Match Preview

League:
USA : USL Championship
Date:
Sun, 4 Oct 2026
Venue:
ONEOK Field

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