Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2 · Tue, 29 Sept 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Ethiopia
0 - 1
Full time · 29 Sept
Senegal
A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.
Ethiopia: Matches Played 10
W5 Wins
in last 10 games
L4 Losses
in last 10 games
D1 Draws
in last 10 games
Senegal: Matches Played 10
W3 Wins
in last 10 games
L5 Losses
in last 10 games
D2 Draws
in last 10 games
45%
45%
10%
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H- No previous meetings found.
Last Matches (Ethiopia)25 September 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
L
Sudan1 0Ethiopia9 June 2026 • Friendlies
DEthiopia1 1Malawi
6 June 2026 • Friendlies
WEthiopia1 0Malawi31 March 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
WEthiopia1 0Sao Tome and Principe
27 March 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
WSao Tome and Principe0 3Ethiopia12 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa
L
Burkina Faso3 1Ethiopia8 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa
WEthiopia1 0Guinea-Bissau
9 September 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa
L
Sierra Leone2 0Ethiopia5 September 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa
L
Egypt2 0Ethiopia24 March 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa
WEthiopia6 1Djibouti
Last Matches (Senegal)25 September 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
D
Mozambique1 1Senegal1 July 2026 • World Cup
L
Belgium3 2Senegal26 June 2026 • World Cup
WSenegal5 0Iraq
23 June 2026 • World Cup
L
Norway3 2Senegal16 June 2026 • World Cup
L
France3 1Senegal9 June 2026 • Friendlies
D
Saudi Arabia0 0Senegal31 May 2026 • Friendlies
L
USA3 2Senegal31 March 2026 • Friendlies
WSenegal3 1Gambia
28 March 2026 • Friendlies
WSenegal2 0Peru
18 January 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations
LSenegal0 3Morocco
League Table
A league table is not available for this competition.
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 1.8
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
32.7%
No
67.3%
1X
79.2%
12
68.6%
X2
52.2%
1-0
19%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.2%
1-2
4%
1 / 1
27.7%
1 / X
3.8%
1 / 2
0.7%
X / 1
18.6%
X / X
23.7%
X / 2
9.1%
2 / 1
1.4%
2 / X
3.8%
2 / 2
10.9%
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Ethiopia
Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40
Expected goals: 1.8
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Ethiopia
Senegal
Ethiopia
Senegal
Average Event Minute
Ethiopia
First goal scored: 31′First goal conceded: 57′First card: 43′
Senegal
First goal scored: 41′First goal conceded: 61′First card: 41′
Season Statistics
| Ethiopia | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWL | D |
| Played | 3 | 1 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.3 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.3 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 0 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Ethiopia
Senegal
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Ethiopia
A · 11 Nov
Mozambique
UnratedH · 15 Nov
Mozambique
UnratedH · 24 Mar
Sudan
UnratedA · 28 Mar
Senegal
UnratedSenegal
A · 4 Oct
Comoros
UnratedH · 11 Nov
Sudan
UnratedA · 15 Nov
Sudan
UnratedA · 24 Mar
Mozambique
UnratedH · 28 Mar
Ethiopia
UnratedTeam News
Ethiopia 4-2-3-1
Coach: Y. Sahle
- abubakar nuri
- B. Berhane
- Yared Bayeh
- Bereket Samuel
- S Yohanes
- Gathouch Panom
- Habtamu Gezahegn Tekeste
- C. Gugsa
- Canaan Markneh
- B. Fikru
- Abed Yalew
Senegal 3-4-3
Coach: Patrick Vieira
- Y. Diouf
- Sadibou Sané
- M. Niakhaté
- M. Sarr
- I. Mbaye
- P. Gueye
- L. Camara
- E. Diouf
- Assane Diao
- N. Jackson
- A. Sima
Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction & Tips
Ethiopia host Senegal in World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification at Bahir Dar Stadium.
Form: Ethiopia have taken 3W 1D 1L from their last 5, Senegal 1W 1D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Ethiopia average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded; Senegal average 1.8 and 1.7.
The feed's model puts Ethiopia at 45%, the draw at 45% and Senegal at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : Ethiopia or draw and -3.5 goals.
Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40, which landed.
Ethiopia vs Senegal FAQs
When is the match between Ethiopia and Senegal?
Ethiopia v Senegal was played on Tue, 29 September 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, Group Stage - 2.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia vs Senegal?
Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.40.
Who is most likely to win Ethiopia vs Senegal?
Ethiopia and The draw are level at the top: Ethiopia 45%, draw 45%, Senegal 10%.
Will both teams score in Ethiopia vs Senegal?
Both teams scored in 30% of Ethiopia's last 10 matches and 60% of Senegal's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- World : Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
- Date:
- Tue, 29 Sept 2026
- Venue:
- Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
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