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Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2 · Mon, 28 Sept 2026

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Equatorial Guinea

16:00

28 Sept

Sierra Leone

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 Goals1.1795%

The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.17.

Equatorial Guinea: Matches Played 10

LWDLL

W2 Wins

in last 10 games

L6 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Sierra Leone: Matches Played 10

WDWLL

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

47%

1.95

29%

3.10

24%

3.80

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 20 January 2022 • Africa Cup of Nations

    WSierra Leone0  1Equatorial Guinea
Last Matches (Equatorial Guinea)
  • 24 September 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    LCongo DR2  0Equatorial Guinea
  • 9 June 2026 • Friendlies

    LEquatorial Guinea0  1Comoros
  • 31 March 2026 • Friendlies

    DEquatorial Guinea1  1Madagascar
  • 25 March 2026 • Friendlies

    WKyrgyzstan0  1Equatorial Guinea
  • 31 December 2025 • Africa Cup of Nations

    LEquatorial Guinea1  3Algeria
  • 28 December 2025 • Africa Cup of Nations

    LEquatorial Guinea0  1Sudan
  • 24 December 2025 • Africa Cup of Nations

    LBurkina Faso2  1Equatorial Guinea
  • 17 November 2025 • Friendlies

    LMadagascar2  0Equatorial Guinea
  • 14 November 2025 • Friendlies

    WKenya0  1Equatorial Guinea
  • 13 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    DEquatorial Guinea1  1Liberia
Last Matches (Sierra Leone)
  • 24 September 2026 • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    LSierra Leone2  3Zimbabwe
  • 9 June 2026 • Friendlies

    LLiberia3  1Sierra Leone
  • 6 June 2026 • Friendlies

    WSierra Leone1  0Liberia
  • 30 March 2026 • FIFA Series

    DAzerbaijan1  1Sierra Leone
  • 12 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    WDjibouti1  2Sierra Leone
  • 8 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    LSierra Leone0  1Burkina Faso
  • 9 September 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    WSierra Leone2  0Ethiopia
  • 4 September 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    DGuinea-Bissau1  1Sierra Leone
  • 25 March 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    LEgypt1  0Sierra Leone
  • 20 March 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Africa

    WSierra Leone3  1Guinea-Bissau

League Table

A league table is not available for this competition.

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
N. DorgelesMali12
L. MickelsRwanda11
I. MazaAlgeria11
M. DialloMauritania11
A. Hadj-MoussaAlgeria11
S. RahimiMorocco11
M. UsorNigeria11
S. KabiniSouth Africa11
M. BadamosiGambia11
S. NimelyLiberia11

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals97%3%
1.5 goals86.4%13.6%
2.5 goals67.9%32.1%
3.5 goals46.3%53.7%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

67.2%

No

32.8%

1X

50.6%

12

78.4%

X2

71%

1-1

9.1%

1-2

9.1%

2-1

6.8%

2-2

6.8%

1-3

6%

0-1

6%

0-2

6%

1-0

4.5%

1 / 1

17%

1 / X

5.3%

1 / 2

3.5%

X / 1

9.6%

X / X

11%

X / 2

14.7%

2 / 1

2.4%

2 / X

5.3%

2 / 2

31.1%

Home -0.75

40%

odds 2.35

Away +0.75

60%

odds 1.58

Home -0.5

47%

odds 2.00

Away +0.5

53%

odds 1.80

Home -0.25

55%

odds 1.70

Away +0.25

45%

odds 2.10

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 7.5

57%

odds 1.60

Under 7.5

43%

odds 2.11

Over 8.5

44%

odds 2.08

Under 8.5

56%

odds 1.65

Over 9.5

33%

odds 2.79

Under 9.5

67%

odds 1.35

Total corners over/under.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Equatorial Guinea

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17

Expected goals: 3.5

Source: Our published prediction

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Equatorial Guinea3/6
Sierra Leone4/6

Over 2.5

Equatorial Guinea1/6
Sierra Leone3/6

Over 3.5

Equatorial Guinea1/6
Sierra Leone2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Equatorial Guinea2/6
Sierra Leone4/6

Goals By Time Period

Equatorial Guinea

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Sierra Leone

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Equatorial Guinea

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Sierra Leone

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Equatorial Guinea

First goal scored: 52′First goal conceded: 44′First card: 49′

Sierra Leone

First goal scored: 49′First goal conceded: 49′First card: 33′

Season Statistics

Equatorial GuineaSierra Leone
FormLL
Played11
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)23
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Biggest win streak00

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Equatorial Guinea

Total shots9.7
Blocked2
65% off target35% on target
55% inside box45% outside box
Total passes428
Accurate passes366 (86%)
Possession51%

Sierra Leone

Total shots9
Blocked3
50% off target50% on target
67% inside box33% outside box
Total passes349
Accurate passes288 (83%)
Possession44%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Equatorial Guinea

H · 28 Sept

Sierra Leone

Unrated

H · 11 Nov

Zimbabwe

Unrated

A · 15 Nov

Zimbabwe

Unrated

H · 24 Mar

Congo DR

Unrated

A · 28 Mar

Sierra Leone

Unrated

Sierra Leone

A · 28 Sept

Equatorial Guinea

Unrated

A · 11 Nov

Congo DR

Unrated

H · 15 Nov

Congo DR

Unrated

A · 24 Mar

Zimbabwe

Unrated

H · 28 Mar

Equatorial Guinea

Unrated

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Prediction & Tips

Equatorial Guinea host Sierra Leone in World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification at Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo.

Form: Equatorial Guinea have taken 1W 1D 3L from their last 5, Sierra Leone 2W 1D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Equatorial Guinea average 0.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded; Sierra Leone average 1.3 and 1.2.

In their last 1 meetings Equatorial Guinea have won 1, Sierra Leone 0 and 0 were drawn, averaging 1.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 0%.

The feed's model puts Equatorial Guinea at 47%, the draw at 29% and Sierra Leone at 24%.

Our call for this match is Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17. The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.17.

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Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone FAQs

When is the match between Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone?

Equatorial Guinea v Sierra Leone is scheduled on Mon, 28 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, Group Stage - 2.

What is the prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.17.

Who is most likely to win Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Equatorial Guinea is favoured: Equatorial Guinea 47%, draw 29%, Sierra Leone 24%.

Will both teams score in Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Both teams scored in 40% of Equatorial Guinea's last 10 matches and 60% of Sierra Leone's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Prediction & Match Preview

League:
World : Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Date:
Mon, 28 Sept 2026
Venue:
Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo

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