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Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 6 · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Liga Premier Serie A

Dragones de Oaxaca

3 - 2

Full time · 4 Oct

Real Refineros

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 2.5 GoalsWON1.6740%

The market prices three or more goals at 1.67.

Dragones de Oaxaca: Matches Played 10

WWDWD

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D4 Draws

in last 10 games

Real Refineros: Matches Played 5

LWDDD

W1 Wins

in last 5 games

L1 Losses

in last 5 games

D3 Draws

in last 5 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • No previous meetings found.
Last Matches (Dragones de Oaxaca)
  • 27 September 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    DDelfines Coatzacoalcos3  3Dragones de Oaxaca
  • 20 September 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    WDragones de Oaxaca3  0Cañoneros Marina
  • 13 September 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    DAcambaro1  1Dragones de Oaxaca
  • 6 September 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    WDragones de Oaxaca2  1Halcones Negros
  • 29 August 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    WCiervos0  2Dragones de Oaxaca
  • 28 March 2026 • Liga Premier Serie B

    LPoza Rica2  1Dragones de Oaxaca
  • 26 March 2026 • Liga Premier Serie B

    DDragones de Oaxaca1  1Poza Rica
  • 14 March 2026 • Liga Premier Serie B

    DAguacateros CDU0  0Dragones de Oaxaca
  • 7 March 2026 • Liga Premier Serie B

    WDragones de Oaxaca5  1Poza Rica
  • 22 February 2026 • Liga Premier Serie B

    LDragones de Oaxaca1  2Acambaro
Last Matches (Real Refineros)
  • 25 September 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    DReal Refineros3  3Ciervos
  • 20 September 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    DDelfines Coatzacoalcos2  2Real Refineros
  • 12 September 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    DReal Refineros0  0Calor de San Pedro
  • 6 September 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    WCañoneros Marina0  1Real Refineros
  • 29 August 2026 • Liga Premier Serie A

    LReal Refineros1  2Artesanos Metepec

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1La Tribu de Cd. Juarez640215-8713LWWLW
2Acatlan641110-6413WWDWL
3Mineros de Fresnillo63218-2611WLWWD
4Vaqueros Reynosa53119-7210WLDWW
5Correcaminos UAT II62227-708WWLDL
6Atlético Saltillo63039-15-68WOLWW
7FC Santiago52037-526LWLWL
8Guerreros52038-10-26WLWLL
9Real Apodaca51136-10-44LWLLD
10Héroes de Zaci60153-12-92LLOLD
1Artesanos Metepec660016-41219WWWWW
2Dragones de Oaxaca641114-7715LOWDW
3Halcones Negros631217-41310WWLWL
4Acambaro631216-8810LLWDW
5Delfines Coatzacoalcos62228-808OLOWL
6Guerreros del Pacifico52124-408DWLLW
7Calor de San Pedro52127-12-58WLWDL
8Real Refineros62139-10-17OWODW
9Ciervos61053-19-162WOLLL
10Cañoneros Marina60061-19-180LLLLL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals97.1%2.9%
1.5 goals86.9%13.1%
2.5 goals68.8%31.2%
3.5 goals47.4%52.6%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

67.7%

No

32.3%

1X

71.8%

12

78.7%

X2

49.6%

2-1

9.1%

1-1

8.8%

2-2

6.8%

1-2

6.6%

3-1

6.2%

2-0

6%

1-0

5.9%

3-2

4.6%

1 / 1

31.9%

1 / X

5.3%

1 / 2

2.4%

X / 1

14.9%

X / X

10.8%

X / 2

9.3%

2 / 1

3.6%

2 / X

5.3%

2 / 2

16.6%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Dragones de Oaxaca

Our pick: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67

Expected goals: 3.6

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form59% / 41%
Attack58% / 42%
Defence57% / 43%
Goals model56% / 44%
Head-to-head0% / 0%
Overall58% / 43%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Dragones de Oaxaca6/6
Real Refineros3/5

Over 2.5

Dragones de Oaxaca4/6
Real Refineros3/5

Over 3.5

Dragones de Oaxaca1/6
Real Refineros2/5

BTTS (Yes)

Dragones de Oaxaca4/6
Real Refineros3/5

Goals By Time Period

Dragones de Oaxaca

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Real Refineros

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Dragones de Oaxaca

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Real Refineros

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Dragones de Oaxaca

First goal scored: 15′First goal conceded: 31′First card: 87′

Real Refineros

First goal scored: 41′First goal conceded: 45′First card: n/a

Season Statistics

Dragones de OaxacaReal Refineros
FormWWDWLWLWDWLL
Played66
Wins42
Draws11
Losses13
Goals for (avg)2.31.7
Goals against (avg)1.31.8
Clean sheets22
Failed to score01
Biggest win streak21

Trends

5 match streak · Liga Premier Serie A

Dragones de Oaxaca have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Liga Premier Serie A.

5 match streak · Liga Premier Serie A

Dragones de Oaxaca are unbeaten in their last 5 matches in Liga Premier Serie A.

4 match streak · Liga Premier Serie A

Real Refineros are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Liga Premier Serie A.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Dragones de Oaxaca

H · 13 Oct

Guerreros del Pacifico

4/5

A · 17 Oct

Artesanos Metepec

5/5

A · 24 Oct

Héroes de Zaci

3/5

H · 1 Nov

Mineros de Fresnillo

5/5

A · 8 Nov

Real Apodaca

3/5

H · 15 Nov

Guerreros

4/5

A · 21 Nov

FC Santiago

4/5

H · 29 Nov

Calor de San Pedro

4/5

Real Refineros

H · 10 Oct

Halcones Negros

5/5

H · 17 Oct

Guerreros del Pacifico

4/5

A · 27 Oct

FC Santiago

4/5

H · 31 Oct

Guerreros

4/5

A · 7 Nov

Acatlan

5/5

H · 14 Nov

Atlético Saltillo

4/5

A · 22 Nov

La Tribu de Cd. Juarez

5/5

A · 28 Nov

Acambaro

5/5

Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros Prediction & Tips

Dragones de Oaxaca host Real Refineros in Mexico Liga Premier Serie A. In the current table, Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd on 15 points and Real Refineros are 8th on 7.

Form: Dragones de Oaxaca have taken 3W 2D 0L from their last 5, Real Refineros 1W 3D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Dragones de Oaxaca average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded; Real Refineros average 1.4 and 1.4.

The feed's model puts Dragones de Oaxaca at 45%, the draw at 45% and Real Refineros at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Dragones de Oaxaca or draw.

Our published call was Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67, which landed.

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Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros FAQs

When is the match between Dragones de Oaxaca and Real Refineros?

Dragones de Oaxaca v Real Refineros was played on Sun, 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Mexico Liga Premier Serie A, Apertura - 6.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Dragones de Oaxaca are 2nd in the table, while Real Refineros are 8th.

What is the prediction for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros?

Our prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at odds of 1.67.

Who is most likely to win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros?

Dragones de Oaxaca and The draw are level at the top: Dragones de Oaxaca 45%, draw 45%, Real Refineros 10%.

Will both teams score in Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros?

Both teams scored in 70% of Dragones de Oaxaca's last 10 matches and 60% of Real Refineros's last 5.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Mexico : Liga Premier Serie A
Date:
Sun, 4 Oct 2026

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