Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Uruguay · Primera División · Clausura - 9 · Sun, 4 Oct 2026
Primera División
Danubio
2 - 1
Full time · 4 Oct
Cerro Largo
A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.
Danubio: Matches Played 10
W1 Wins
in last 10 games
L4 Losses
in last 10 games
D5 Draws
in last 10 games
Cerro Largo: Matches Played 10
W1 Wins
in last 10 games
L4 Losses
in last 10 games
D5 Draws
in last 10 games
10%
45%
45%
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H30 March 2026 • Primera División
LCerro Largo2 0Danubio18 August 2025 • Primera División - Clausura
LCerro Largo1 0Danubio6 March 2025 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
DCerro Largo2 2Danubio15 February 2025 • Primera División - Apertura
DDanubio0 0Cerro Largo20 October 2024 • Primera División - Clausura
DCerro Largo0 0Danubio9 June 2024 • Primera División - Apertura
DCerro Largo2 2Danubio20 April 2024 • Primera División - Apertura
DDanubio1 1Cerro Largo
Last Matches (Danubio)27 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Defensor Sporting1 0Danubio24 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
DDanubio1 1Penarol
20 September 2026 • Primera División
DDanubio1 1Wanderers
13 September 2026 • Primera División
D
Juventud1 1Danubio5 September 2026 • Primera División
LDanubio0 4Penarol1 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
L
Atletico Torque2 0Danubio29 August 2026 • Primera División
L
Progreso1 0Danubio26 August 2026 • Copa Uruguay
WDanubio3 2Atenas
23 August 2026 • Primera División
DDanubio0 0Racing Montevideo
14 August 2026 • Primera División
D
Boston River0 0Danubio
Last Matches (Cerro Largo)30 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
WCerro Largo1 0Rentistas
26 September 2026 • Primera División
LCerro Largo0 2Club Nacional
19 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Deportivo Maldonado2 0Cerro Largo12 September 2026 • Primera División
DCerro Largo0 0Central Espanol
9 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
DCerro Largo1 1Defensor Sporting4 September 2026 • Primera División
LAtletico Torque2 1Cerro Largo30 August 2026 • Primera División
DCerro Largo1 1Liverpool Montevideo
26 August 2026 • Copa Uruguay
L
Plaza Colonia2 1Cerro Largo22 August 2026 • Primera División
DCerro Largo1 1Defensor Sporting15 August 2026 • Primera División
DWanderers1 1Cerro Largo
League Table
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 49-25 | 24 | 59 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 49-27 | 22 | 58 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 52-35 | 17 | 54 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36-24 | 12 | 53 | LDWLW |
| 5 | Wanderers | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 40-36 | 4 | 50 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 42-30 | 12 | 49 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 45-38 | 7 | 49 | WWDDW |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 32-42 | -10 | 38 | LLLDD |
| 9 |  Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41-42 | -1 | 37 | WLLLL |
| 10 | Juventud | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 35-39 | -4 | 37 | DDWDD |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 28-36 | -8 | 35 | LWLWD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 29-36 | -7 | 33 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Cerro | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 23-45 | -22 | 33 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Boston River | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 29-42 | -13 | 31 | DLLLL |
| 15 | Danubio | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 26-40 | -14 | 29 | WLDDL |
| 16 | Progreso | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27-46 | -19 | 28 | LWWLW |
Top Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.1
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
1X
62.4%
12
70.1%
X2
67.5%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
1 / 1
18.2%
1 / X
4.7%
1 / 2
1.6%
X / 1
12.9%
X / X
20.6%
X / 2
14.6%
2 / 1
1.4%
2 / X
4.7%
2 / 2
21.4%
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Draw
Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20
Expected goals: 2.1
Source: Our published prediction
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Average Event Minute
Danubio
First goal scored: 44′First goal conceded: 58′First card: 64′
Cerro Largo
First goal scored: 50′First goal conceded: 43′First card: 50′
Season Statistics
| Danubio | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LLDDLW | DLDLLL |
| Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 14 | 12 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 2 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Trends
5 match streak · Primera División
Danubio have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Primera División.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Danubio
A · 11 Oct
Atletico Torque
5/5A · 15 Oct
Central Espanol
UnratedCerro Largo
H · 11 Oct
Albion FC
3/5A · 21 Oct
Liverpool Montevideo
UnratedTeam News
Danubio 4-2-3-1
Coach: Gustavo Matosas
- M. Goicoechea
- M. Rinaldi
- M. Brasil
- T. Cavanagh
- L. Sosa
- I. Rossi
- J. Trasante
- M. Peralta
- S. Rodriguez
- B. Azambuja
- B. Tomatis
Cerro Largo 4-4-2
Coach: Danielo Nunez
- P. M. Gonzalez Ojeda
- A. Hernandez
- A. Piegas
- N. Ramos
- S. Franca
- B. Lozano
- S. Assis
- S. Marcel
- A. Segovia
- A. Pandiani
- L. Piriz
Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction & Tips
Danubio host Cerro Largo in Uruguay Primera División at Gardens of the Hippodrome. In the current table, Danubio sit 15th on 29 points and Cerro Largo are 12th on 33.
Form: Danubio have taken 0W 3D 2L from their last 5, Cerro Largo 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Danubio average 0.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded; Cerro Largo average 0.7 and 1.2.
In their last 7 meetings Danubio have won 0, Cerro Largo 2 and 5 were drawn, averaging 1.9 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.
The feed's model puts Danubio at 10%, the draw at 45% and Cerro Largo at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cerro Largo and -3.5 goals.
Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, which landed.
Danubio vs Cerro Largo FAQs
When is the match between Danubio and Cerro Largo?
Danubio v Cerro Largo was played on Sun, 4 October 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
Which league is this match in?
Uruguay Primera División, Clausura - 9.
What is their ranking in the league table this season?
Danubio are 15th in the table, while Cerro Largo are 12th.
What is the prediction for Danubio vs Cerro Largo?
Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.20.
Who is most likely to win Danubio vs Cerro Largo?
The draw and Cerro Largo are level at the top: Danubio 10%, draw 45%, Cerro Largo 45%.
Will both teams score in Danubio vs Cerro Largo?
Both teams scored in 40% of Danubio's last 10 matches and 60% of Cerro Largo's last 10.
How accurate is the prediction for this match?
The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.
Match Preview
Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction & Match Preview
- League:
- Uruguay : Primera División
- Date:
- Sun, 4 Oct 2026
- Venue:
- Gardens of the Hippodrome, Montevideo
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