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China vs Tajikistan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies · Friendly International · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

Friendlies

China

0 - 1

Full time · 6 Oct

Tajikistan

PredictionOddsConfidence
Under 3.5 GoalsWON1.2595%

The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.25.

Also rated:Home Win @ 1.53

China: Matches Played 10

WDWLL

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Tajikistan: Matches Played 10

DWDLL

W5 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 13 January 2024 • Asian Cup

    DChina0  0Tajikistan
  • 11 June 2019 • Friendlies

    WChina1  0Tajikistan
Last Matches (China)
  • 2 October 2026 • Friendlies

    LChina0  5Palestine
  • 27 September 2026 • Friendlies

    LChina0  3New Zealand
  • 24 September 2026 • Friendlies

    WChina3  0Maldives
  • 9 June 2026 • Friendlies

    DChina0  0Thailand
  • 5 June 2026 • Friendlies

    WSingapore1  2China
  • 31 March 2026 • FIFA Series

    LChina0  2Cameroon
  • 27 March 2026 • FIFA Series

    WChina2  0Curaçao
  • 26 January 2026 • Friendlies

    DUzbekistan2  2China
  • 15 July 2025 • EAFF E-1 Football Championship

    WChina1  0Hong Kong
  • 12 July 2025 • EAFF E-1 Football Championship

    LJapan2  0China
Last Matches (Tajikistan)
  • 28 September 2026 • Friendlies

    LTajikistan2  4Palestine
  • 23 September 2026 • Friendlies

    LAzerbaijan1  0Tajikistan
  • 9 June 2026 • Friendlies

    DTajikistan1  1India
  • 5 June 2026 • Friendlies

    WTajikistan3  1India
  • 31 March 2026 • Asian Cup - Qualification

    DTajikistan1  1Philippines
  • 18 November 2025 • Asian Cup - Qualification

    WTimor-Leste0  5Tajikistan
  • 14 October 2025 • Asian Cup - Qualification

    WMaldives0  3Tajikistan
  • 9 October 2025 • Asian Cup - Qualification

    WTajikistan2  0Maldives
  • 4 September 2025 • CAFA Nations Cup

    DTajikistan2  2Iran
  • 1 September 2025 • CAFA Nations Cup

    WAfghanistan0  2Tajikistan

League Table

A league table is not available for this competition.

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
M. OsmajićMontenegro45
Son Heung-MinSouth Korea85
L. SadulaevRussia74
J. VélezPeru84
D. LukebakioBelgium34
F. WirtzGermany43
N. PazArgentina63
M. AraújoUruguay53
J. HallUSA43
M. OliseFrance43

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.8

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals93.6%6.4%
1.5 goals76%24%
2.5 goals51.9%48.1%
3.5 goals29.7%70.3%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

55%

No

45%

1X

54.6%

12

74.9%

X2

70.5%

1-1

11.9%

0-1

9.9%

1-2

9.2%

0-2

7.7%

1-0

7.7%

2-1

7.1%

0-0

6.4%

2-2

5.5%

1 / 1

16.9%

1 / X

5.1%

1 / 2

2.6%

X / 1

10.8%

X / X

14.9%

X / 2

15.4%

2 / 1

1.9%

2 / X

5.1%

2 / 2

27.5%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: China

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25

Expected goals: 2.8

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form64% / 36%
Attack45% / 55%
Defence44% / 56%
Goals model100% / 0%
Head-to-head80% / 20%
Overall58% / 42%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

China5/6
Tajikistan5/6

Over 2.5

China4/6
Tajikistan3/6

Over 3.5

China1/6
Tajikistan3/6

BTTS (Yes)

China1/6
Tajikistan4/6

Goals By Time Period

China

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tajikistan

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

China

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tajikistan

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

China

First goal scored: 33′First goal conceded: 25′First card: 55′

Tajikistan

First goal scored: 37′First goal conceded: 39′First card: 56′

Season Statistics

ChinaTajikistan
FormWDWLLLWDLLW
Played75
Wins22
Draws21
Losses32
Goals for (avg)11.4
Goals against (avg)1.71.4
Clean sheets21
Failed to score41
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

China

Total shots15.2
Blocked3.8
61% off target39% on target
70% inside box30% outside box
Total passes428.4
Accurate passes354 (83%)
Possession52%

Tajikistan

Total shots0
Blocked2
68% off target32% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession57%

Trends

5 match streak · Friendlies

Tajikistan have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Friendlies.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

China

A · 9 Jan

Iran

Unrated

H · 14 Jan

Syria

Unrated

A · 18 Jan

Kyrgyzstan

Unrated

Tajikistan

H · 10 Jan

Iraq

Unrated

A · 14 Jan

Singapore

Unrated

A · 19 Jan

Australia

Unrated

Team News

China 3-4-2-1

  1. Liu Dianzuo
  2. Yang Li
  3. Guangtai Jiang
  4. Zhunyi Gao
  5. Wenneng Xie
  6. Shenghao Huang
  7. Shangyuan Wang
  8. Yang Liu
  9. Bunyamin Abdusalam
  10. Wei Shihao
  11. Wang Ziming

Tajikistan 4-1-4-1

  1. Rustam Yatimov
  2. Alidzhon Karomatullozoda
  3. Vakhdat Khanonov
  4. Mekhrubon Karimov
  5. Tabrez Islomov
  6. Amirbek Dzhuraboev
  7. Shervoni Mabatshoev
  8. Alisher Dzhalilov
  9. Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
  10. Ehsoni Panshanbe
  11. Sheriddin Boboev

China vs Tajikistan Prediction & Tips

China host Tajikistan in World Friendlies at Longxing Football Stadium.

Form: China have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Tajikistan 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches China average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Tajikistan average 2.1 and 1.0.

In their last 2 meetings China have won 1, Tajikistan 0 and 1 were drawn, averaging 0.5 goals a game with both teams scoring in 0%.

The feed's model puts China at 45%, the draw at 45% and Tajikistan at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : China or draw.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, which landed.

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China vs Tajikistan FAQs

When is the match between China and Tajikistan?

China v Tajikistan was played on Tue, 6 October 2026 at 11:35 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

World Friendlies, Friendly International.

What is the prediction for China vs Tajikistan?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win China vs Tajikistan?

China and The draw are level at the top: China 45%, draw 45%, Tajikistan 10%.

Will both teams score in China vs Tajikistan?

Both teams scored in 20% of China's last 10 matches and 50% of Tajikistan's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

China vs Tajikistan Prediction & Match Preview

League:
World : Friendlies
Date:
Tue, 6 Oct 2026
Venue:
Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing

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