Cancún vs Tapatío Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 11 · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Liga de Expansión MX

Cancún

1 - 0

Full time · 4 Oct

Tapatío

PredictionOddsConfidence

Home WinWON1.7360%

Cancún carry a 22 point edge at home.

Also rated:Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65

Cancún: Matches Played 10

WDDWL

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Tapatío: Matches Played 10

WDLLW

W4 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

27 April 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WCancún1 0Tapatío
24 April 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
DTapatío1 1Cancún
6 March 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTapatío1 2Cancún
28 September 2025 • Liga de Expansión MX
WCancún1 0Tapatío
6 April 2025 • Liga de Expansión MX
LCancún1 2Tapatío
20 October 2024 • Liga de Expansión MX
LTapatío2 0Cancún
27 March 2024 • Liga de Expansión MX
DCancún1 1Tapatío

Last Matches (Cancún)

26 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LTlaxcala4 1Cancún
20 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WCancún3 0Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
DDorados1 1Cancún
12 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
DCorrecaminos Uat2 2Cancún
6 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WCancún6 0Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LCancún1 2CA La Paz
23 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WPiratas0 1Cancún
16 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WCancún2 0Durango
9 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LMonarcas4 1Cancún
2 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LCancún0 2Leones Negros UDG

Last Matches (Tapatío)

20 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTapatío4 0Tlaxcala
13 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LDorados3 1Tapatío
6 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LTapatío1 3Leones Negros UDG
28 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
DAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 1Tapatío
24 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTapatío4 2Mineros de Zacatecas
15 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WCorrecaminos Uat2 3Tapatío
8 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
LVenados FC3 2Tapatío
1 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
WTapatío1 0CDS Tampico Madero
26 July 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX
DTapatío0 0Cruz Azul Hidalgo
3 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
LLeon4 2Tapatío

League Table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P	Form
1	Monarcas	11	7	1	3	21-12	9	22	DLWWW
2	CA La Paz	11	6	2	3	24-13	11	20	LWWDW
3	Leones Negros UDG	10	6	2	2	21-13	8	20	WLDWD
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	26-21	5	19	WWLWL
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	16-10	6	18	WLWDW
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	23-19	4	17	LWWLL
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	19-15	4	17	WLWDD
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	11-11	0	17	WWWLD
9	Correcaminos Uat	11	4	4	3	19-18	1	16	DWLDL
10	Tapatío	10	4	2	4	17-15	2	14	LWLLD
11	Dorados	10	3	4	3	17-14	3	13	LDDWW
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19-23	-4	12	DWLWD
13	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	12-19	-7	11	LLDLW
14	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8-22	-14	10	LLLWL
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	11-18	-7	8	DLLDL
16	Tepatitlán	10	2	0	8	8-29	-21	6	WLLLL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.2

Over / UnderBTTSDouble ChanceCorrect ScoreHT / FT

LineOverUnder

0.5 goals95.7%4.3%

1.5 goals82.2%17.8%

2.5 goals61%39%

3.5 goals38.6%61.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

62.9%

37.1%

62.9%

76.4%

60.7%

1-1

10.6%

2-1

8.5%

1-2

8.2%

1-0

6.9%

0-1

6.6%

2-2

6.6%

2-0

5.5%

0-2

5.1%

1 / 1

23.6%

1 / X

5.4%

1 / 2

2.6%

X / 1

12.9%

X / X

12.8%

X / 2

12.3%

2 / 1

2.8%

2 / X

5.4%

2 / 2

22.2%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Cancún

Our pick: Home Win at 1.73

Expected goals: 3.2

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form53% / 47%

Attack54% / 46%

Defence56% / 44%

Goals model71% / 29%

Head-to-head71% / 29%

Overall61% / 39%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Cancún6/6

Tapatío6/6

Over 2.5

Cancún5/6

Tapatío5/6

Over 3.5

Cancún3/6

Tapatío5/6

BTTS (Yes)

Cancún4/6

Tapatío5/6

Goals By Time Period

ScoredConceded

Cancún

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tapatío

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Cancún

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tapatío

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Cancún

First goal scored: 41′First goal conceded: 29′First card: 41′

Tapatío

First goal scored: 36′First goal conceded: 39′First card: 32′

Season Statistics

	Cancún	Tapatío
Form	WDDWLW	WDLLWL
Played	11	10
Wins	5	4
Draws	2	2
Losses	4	4
Goals for (avg)	1.7	1.7
Goals against (avg)	1.4	1.5
Clean sheets	5	3
Failed to score	1	2
Biggest win streak	2	2

Trends

9 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

Cancún have scored in each of their last 9 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

8 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío have scored in each of their last 8 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Cancún

A · 11 Oct

Mineros de Zacatecas

4/5

H · 18 Oct

Venados FC

5/5

A · 24 Oct

Tepatitlán

1/5

H · 1 Nov

CDS Tampico Madero

2/5

Tapatío

H · 9 Oct

CA La Paz

5/5

H · 13 Oct

Tepatitlán

1/5

A · 18 Oct

Durango

3/5

H · 24 Oct

Monarcas

5/5

A · 1 Nov

Piratas

4/5

Cancún vs Tapatío Prediction & Tips

Cancún host Tapatío in Mexico Liga de Expansión MX. In the current table, Cancún sit 7th on 17 points and Tapatío are 10th on 14.

Form: Cancún have taken 2W 2D 1L from their last 5, Tapatío 2W 1D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Cancún average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Tapatío average 1.9 and 1.8.

In their last 7 meetings Cancún have won 3, Tapatío 2 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Cancún at 45%, the draw at 45% and Tapatío at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : Cancún or draw and +1.5 goals.

Our published call was Home Win at 1.73, which landed.

Published by

ThisWeekPoolResult

Football predictions and pool results · about us

Cancún vs Tapatío FAQs

When is the match between Cancún and Tapatío?

Cancún v Tapatío was played on Sun, 4 October 2026 at 01:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Mexico Liga de Expansión MX, Apertura - 11.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Cancún are 7th in the table, while Tapatío are 10th.

What is the prediction for Cancún vs Tapatío?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.73.

Who is most likely to win Cancún vs Tapatío?

Cancún and The draw are level at the top: Cancún 45%, draw 45%, Tapatío 10%.

Will both teams score in Cancún vs Tapatío?

Both teams scored in 50% of Cancún's last 10 matches and 70% of Tapatío's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Cancún vs Tapatío Prediction & Match Preview

League:: Mexico : Liga de Expansión MX
Date:: Sun, 4 Oct 2026

More picks: today's football predictions · tomorrow · this week's pool results