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Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 29 · Wed, 7 Oct 2026

Serie A

Botafogo

23:30

7 Oct

Vasco DA Gama

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 Goals1.2595%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Also rated:Both Teams to Score @ 1.62Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75

Botafogo: Matches Played 10

LDDWL

W2 Wins

in last 10 games

L5 Losses

in last 10 games

D3 Draws

in last 10 games

Vasco DA Gama: Matches Played 10

LDWWW

W7 Wins

in last 10 games

L2 Losses

in last 10 games

D1 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

10%

3.10

45%

3.60

45%

2.20

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 5 April 2026 • Serie A

    WVasco DA Gama1  2Botafogo
  • 8 February 2026 • Carioca - 1

    LVasco DA Gama2  0Botafogo
  • 5 November 2025 • Serie A

    WBotafogo3  0Vasco DA Gama
  • 12 September 2025 • Copa Do Brasil

    DBotafogo1  1Vasco DA Gama
  • 28 August 2025 • Copa Do Brasil

    DVasco DA Gama1  1Botafogo
  • 12 July 2025 • Serie A

    WVasco DA Gama0  2Botafogo
  • 23 February 2025 • Carioca - 1

    LVasco DA Gama1  0Botafogo
  • 6 November 2024 • Serie A

    WBotafogo3  0Vasco DA Gama
Last Matches (Botafogo)
  • 19 September 2026 • Serie A

    LMirassol2  0Botafogo
  • 16 September 2026 • Serie A

    WBotafogo3  2Gremio
  • 12 September 2026 • Serie A

    DBotafogo1  1RB Bragantino
  • 6 September 2026 • Serie A

    DBotafogo0  0Palmeiras
  • 30 August 2026 • Serie A

    LFlamengo3  0Botafogo
  • 24 August 2026 • Serie A

    LBotafogo2  3Atletico Paranaense
  • 21 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    WBotafogo1  0Cienciano
  • 16 August 2026 • Serie A

    LVitoria1  0Botafogo
  • 14 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    LCienciano6  1Botafogo
  • 9 August 2026 • Serie A

    DBotafogo1  1Fluminense
Last Matches (Vasco DA Gama)
  • 19 September 2026 • Serie A

    WVasco DA Gama5  0Coritiba
  • 15 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    WVasco DA Gama2  0Santa Fe
  • 12 September 2026 • Serie A

    WGremio1  2Vasco DA Gama
  • 8 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    DSanta Fe0  0Vasco DA Gama
  • 6 September 2026 • Serie A

    LFluminense1  0Vasco DA Gama
  • 3 September 2026 • Copa Do Brasil

    WVitoria0  2Vasco DA Gama
  • 30 August 2026 • Serie A

    WVasco DA Gama3  1Cruzeiro
  • 27 August 2026 • Copa Do Brasil

    WVasco DA Gama1  0Vitoria
  • 23 August 2026 • Serie A

    LPalmeiras4  1Vasco DA Gama
  • 20 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    WOlimpia1  4Vasco DA Gama

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Flamengo28186455-233260WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347-212657DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743-321149WDLDW
4Fluminense28139644-36848WLWDW
5Bahia281210643-35846LWWWW
6Cruzeiro28136942-40245WLWLW
7Atletico-MG28127937-32543WDWLW
8Santos28118943-41241WWWWW
9Coritiba281081037-43-638LDLWW
10Sao Paulo281061233-32136LWLWW
11RB Bragantino281061233-32136LLDLL
12Botafogo28981141-45-435LWDDL
13Vitoria28961328-42-1433LDWLL
14Corinthians28881229-32-332LLLLL
15Mirassol28881233-42-932WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama27871234-41-731WWLWL
17Gremio28781330-38-829DLLLW
18Internacional286101230-36-628LWLLD
19Remo28581532-47-1523LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc27391529-53-2418DLWLW

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense2618
PedroFlamengo2816
Gabriel BarbosaSantos2013
Carlos ViníciusGremio2710
Samuel LinoFlamengo279
Matheus PereiraCruzeiro259
Danilo SantosBotafogo219
ReneVitoria219
John KennedyFluminense189
LucianoSao Paulo239

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals94.8%5.2%
1.5 goals79.3%20.7%
2.5 goals56.6%43.4%
3.5 goals34.2%65.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

59.5%

No

40.5%

1X

63.4%

12

75.5%

X2

61.2%

1-1

11.4%

2-1

8.5%

1-2

8.3%

1-0

7.9%

0-1

7.6%

2-2

6.2%

2-0

5.9%

0-2

5.5%

1 / 1

23.2%

1 / X

5.3%

1 / 2

2.4%

X / 1

13.2%

X / X

13.9%

X / 2

12.5%

2 / 1

2.5%

2 / X

5.3%

2 / 2

21.7%

Home 0

45%

odds 2.10

Away 0

55%

odds 1.70

Home +0.25

51%

odds 1.90

Away -0.25

49%

odds 1.95

Home +0.5

59%

odds 1.60

Away -0.5

41%

odds 2.30

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 10.5

50%

odds 1.83

Under 10.5

50%

odds 1.83

Over 11

47%

odds 2.00

Under 11

53%

odds 1.80

Total corners over/under.

Over 5.5

54%

odds 1.73

Under 5.5

46%

odds 2.00

Total cards over/under.

  • Bruno Duarte2.5040%
  • Arthur Cabral3.0033%
  • Matheus Martins3.0033%
  • Brenner3.0033%
  • Claudio Spinelli3.0033%

Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Draw

Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

Expected goals: 3

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form36% / 64%
Attack27% / 73%
Defence47% / 53%
Goals model62% / 38%
Head-to-head50% / 50%
Overall46% / 54%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Botafogo5/6
Vasco DA Gama4/6

Over 2.5

Botafogo3/6
Vasco DA Gama2/6

Over 3.5

Botafogo2/6
Vasco DA Gama1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Botafogo3/6
Vasco DA Gama1/6

Goals By Time Period

Botafogo

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Vasco DA Gama

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Botafogo

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Vasco DA Gama

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Botafogo

First goal scored: 48′First goal conceded: 19′First card: 55′

Vasco DA Gama

First goal scored: 55′First goal conceded: 50′First card: 41′

Season Statistics

BotafogoVasco DA Gama
FormLLDDWLLLWLWW
Played2827
Wins98
Draws87
Losses1112
Goals for (avg)1.51.3
Goals against (avg)1.61.5
Clean sheets43
Failed to score78
Biggest win streak22

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Botafogo

Total shots17.2
Blocked5
53% off target47% on target
56% inside box44% outside box
Total passes418
Accurate passes352.2 (84%)
Possession46%

Vasco DA Gama

Total shots16.8
Blocked4.8
54% off target46% on target
61% inside box39% outside box
Total passes441.3
Accurate passes363.7 (82%)
Possession50%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Botafogo

H · 7 Oct

Vasco DA Gama

2/5

A · 12 Oct

Coritiba

3/5

H · 17 Oct

Chapecoense-sc

1/5

A · 24 Oct

Internacional

1/5

A · 29 Oct

Remo

1/5

H · 5 Nov

Atletico-MG

4/5

A · 18 Nov

Corinthians

2/5

H · 22 Nov

Sao Paulo

3/5

Vasco DA Gama

A · 7 Oct

Botafogo

3/5

H · 10 Oct

Remo

1/5

A · 14 Oct

Boca Juniors

Unrated

A · 18 Oct

Sao Paulo

3/5

H · 21 Oct

Boca Juniors

Unrated

H · 24 Oct

Corinthians

2/5

H · 29 Oct

Flamengo

5/5

H · 1 Nov

Palmeiras

Unrated

Team News

Injuries and suspensions

  • J. Barrera (Botafogo): Ankle Injury
  • K. Barria (Botafogo): Inactive
  • Kaio Pantaleao (Botafogo): Knee Injury
  • Matheus Martins (Botafogo): Lacking Match Fitness
  • Brenner (Vasco DA Gama): Knee Injury
  • A. Gomez (Vasco DA Gama): Yellow Cards
  • Mateus Carvalho (Vasco DA Gama): Knee Injury
  • J. Barrera (Botafogo): Ankle Injury
  • K. Barria (Botafogo): Inactive
  • Kaio Pantaleao (Botafogo): Knee Injury
  • Matheus Martins (Botafogo): Lacking Match Fitness
  • Brenner (Vasco DA Gama): Knee Injury

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Tips

Botafogo host Vasco DA Gama in Brazil Serie A at Estádio Nilton Santos. In the table, Botafogo sit 12th on 35 points and Vasco DA Gama are 16th on 31.

Form: Botafogo have taken 1W 2D 2L from their last 5, Vasco DA Gama 3W 1D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Botafogo average 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded; Vasco DA Gama average 2.0 and 0.8.

In their last 8 meetings Botafogo have won 4, Vasco DA Gama 2 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 38%.

The feed's model puts Botafogo at 10%, the draw at 45% and Vasco DA Gama at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama.

Our call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25. The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

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Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

When is the match between Botafogo and Vasco DA Gama?

Botafogo v Vasco DA Gama is scheduled on Wed, 7 October 2026 at 23:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Brazil Serie A, Regular Season - 29.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Botafogo are 12th in the table, while Vasco DA Gama are 16th.

What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?

The draw and Vasco DA Gama are level at the top: Botafogo 10%, draw 45%, Vasco DA Gama 45%.

Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?

Both teams scored in 50% of Botafogo's last 10 matches and 40% of Vasco DA Gama's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Brazil : Serie A
Date:
Wed, 7 Oct 2026
Venue:
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

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