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Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera A · Clausura - 9 · Thu, 8 Oct 2026

Primera A

Atletico Nacional

23:05

8 Oct

Deportes Tolima

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 Goals1.2295%

The market prices at least two goals at 1.22.

Also rated:Home Win @ 1.67Both Teams to Score @ 1.73

Atletico Nacional: Matches Played 10

WLDDW

W7 Wins

in last 10 games

L1 Losses

in last 10 games

D2 Draws

in last 10 games

Deportes Tolima: Matches Played 10

LLDDD

W2 Wins

in last 10 games

L4 Losses

in last 10 games

D4 Draws

in last 10 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

1.67

45%

3.60

10%

5.50

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

  • 23 May 2026 • Primera A

    WAtletico Nacional3  1Deportes Tolima

  • 16 May 2026 • Primera A

    WDeportes Tolima0  1Atletico Nacional

  • 2 March 2026 • Primera A

    LDeportes Tolima1  0Atletico Nacional

  • 2 August 2025 • Primera A

    DDeportes Tolima0  0Atletico Nacional

  • 20 March 2025 • Primera A

    WAtletico Nacional4  3Deportes Tolima

  • 22 December 2024 • Primera A

    WAtletico Nacional2  0Deportes Tolima

  • 19 December 2024 • Primera A

    DDeportes Tolima1  1Atletico Nacional

  • 15 November 2024 • Primera A

    LDeportes Tolima1  0Atletico Nacional
Last Matches (Atletico Nacional)

  • 1 October 2026 • Primera A

    WAtletico Nacional3  1Junior

  • 26 September 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    DAtletico Nacional1  1Chapecoense-sc

  • 25 September 2026 • Primera A

    DAtletico Nacional1  1Millonarios

  • 21 September 2026 • Primera A

    LLlaneros2  0Atletico Nacional

  • 17 September 2026 • Primera A

    WInternacional de Bogota2  3Atletico Nacional

  • 13 September 2026 • Primera A

    WAtletico Nacional2  0Águilas Doradas

  • 8 September 2026 • Copa Colombia

    WAtletico Nacional3  0Deportivo Cali

  • 30 August 2026 • Primera A

    WAlianza Valledupar1  5Atletico Nacional

  • 27 August 2026 • Primera A

    WAtletico Nacional2  1Deportivo Cali

  • 23 August 2026 • Primera A

    WFortaleza FC1  2Atletico Nacional
Last Matches (Deportes Tolima)

  • 3 October 2026 • Primera A

    DDeportes Tolima0  0Chico

  • 27 September 2026 • Primera A

    DFortaleza FC2  2Deportes Tolima

  • 20 September 2026 • Primera A

    DDeportes Tolima1  1America de Cali

  • 16 September 2026 • Primera A

    LOnce Caldas1  0Deportes Tolima

  • 12 September 2026 • Primera A

    LSanta Fe1  0Deportes Tolima

  • 7 September 2026 • Primera A

    WLlaneros1  2Deportes Tolima

  • 1 September 2026 • Primera A

    WDeportes Tolima2  1Cucuta

  • 26 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores

    LIndependiente del Valle3  1Deportes Tolima

  • 22 August 2026 • Primera A

    DDeportes Tolima0  0Bucaramanga

  • 19 August 2026 • CONMEBOL Libertadores

    LDeportes Tolima0  1Independiente del Valle

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535-152040WDLWW
2Junior19112631-24735LLWWL
3Deportivo Pasto19104529-25434DLWWD
4America de Cali19103625-151033WWDLW
5Once Caldas1989231-22933DLLWL
6Deportes Tolima1987427-171031DDDLL
7Santa Fe1978429-22729WWLWW
8Internacional de Bogota1977526-26028DDLLW
9Deportivo Cali1976620-16427WWWWW
10Millonarios1975731-23826DDWWD
11Independiente Medellin1975726-24226LDLWD
12Águilas Doradas1975720-25-526WLLDL
13Bucaramanga1958626-20623WWWDW
14Llaneros19410517-20-322LLWLL
15Fortaleza FC1957722-27-522DDLDD
16Jaguares19531120-33-1318LLLDD
17Alianza Valledupar1938813-27-1417LWLWW
18Chico19521215-32-1717DWLLW
19Cucuta1937922-35-1316WWLLD
20Deportivo Pereira19171115-32-1710LLDDL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
Y. GuzmánAmerica de Cali3018
A. EstupiñánMillonarios3117
L. MurielJunior3116
D. MorenoOnce Caldas3215
A. MorelosAtletico Nacional3014
H. RodallegaSanta Fe3414
L. PonsBucaramanga2811
E. BatallaBucaramanga2511
J. ZapataOnce Caldas3111
L. CastroMillonarios2811

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.6%7.4%
1.5 goals73.3%26.7%
2.5 goals48.2%51.8%
3.5 goals26.4%73.6%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

51.8%

No

48.2%

1X

72.2%

12

74.2%

X2

53.6%

1-1

12.3%

1-0

11.1%

2-1

9.2%

2-0

8.4%

0-1

8.2%

0-0

7.4%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

5.1%

1 / 1

28%

1 / X

5%

1 / 2

1.7%

X / 1

16%

X / X

15.8%

X / 2

10.5%

2 / 1

2.4%

2 / X

5%

2 / 2

15.7%

Home -1

45%

odds 2.10

Away +1

55%

odds 1.70

Home -0.75

52%

odds 1.82

Away +0.75

48%

odds 1.98

Home -0.5

57%

odds 1.65

Away +0.5

43%

odds 2.20

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 9.5

46%

odds 2.00

Under 9.5

54%

odds 1.73

Total corners over/under.

Over 5.5

56%

odds 1.67

Under 5.5

44%

odds 2.12

Total cards over/under.

  • Alfredo Morelos1.9551%
  • Cristian Arango2.1048%
  • James Rodriguez2.8835%
  • Edwin Cardona2.8835%
  • Kevin Parra2.8835%

Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Atletico Nacional

Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22

Expected goals: 2.6

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form77% / 23%
Attack75% / 25%
Defence45% / 55%
Goals model80% / 20%
Head-to-head71% / 29%
Overall68% / 32%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Atletico Nacional6/6
Deportes Tolima3/6

Over 2.5

Atletico Nacional2/6
Deportes Tolima2/6

Over 3.5

Atletico Nacional2/6
Deportes Tolima1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Atletico Nacional4/6
Deportes Tolima3/6

Goals By Time Period

Atletico Nacional

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Deportes Tolima

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Atletico Nacional

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Deportes Tolima

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Atletico Nacional

First goal scored: 36′First goal conceded: 24′First card: 58′

Deportes Tolima

First goal scored: 39′First goal conceded: 29′First card: 36′

Season Statistics

Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima
FormWWWLDWWLLDDD
Played3535
Wins2515
Draws211
Losses89
Goals for (avg)21.3
Goals against (avg)0.91
Clean sheets1111
Failed to score910
Biggest win streak52

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Atletico Nacional

Total shots16.2
Blocked4
57% off target43% on target
51% inside box49% outside box
Total passes473.8
Accurate passes411 (87%)
Possession66%

Deportes Tolima

Total shots15.8
Blocked2.5
65% off target35% on target
52% inside box48% outside box
Total passes491.2
Accurate passes419.8 (85%)
Possession60%

Trends

4 match streak · Primera A

Atletico Nacional have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Primera A.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Atletico Nacional

H · 8 Oct

Deportes Tolima

4/5

H · 11 Oct

Deportivo Pasto

5/5

H · 15 Oct

Independiente Medellin

Unrated

A · 17 Oct

Chico

1/5

A · 21 Oct

Cucuta

1/5

H · 25 Oct

Independiente Medellin

3/5

H · 30 Oct

Santa Fe

4/5

A · 3 Nov

Bucaramanga

2/5

Deportes Tolima

A · 8 Oct

Atletico Nacional

5/5

A · 11 Oct

Jaguares

2/5

A · 18 Oct

Águilas Doradas

3/5

H · 26 Oct

Deportivo Pasto

5/5

A · 3 Nov

Deportivo Pereira

1/5

H · 7 Nov

Millonarios

3/5

A · 12 Nov

Deportivo Cali

3/5

Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Tips

Atletico Nacional host Deportes Tolima in Colombia Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. In the table, Atletico Nacional sit 1st on 40 points and Deportes Tolima are 6th on 31.

Form: Atletico Nacional have taken 2W 2D 1L from their last 5, Deportes Tolima 0W 3D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Atletico Nacional average 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded; Deportes Tolima average 0.8 and 1.1.

In their last 8 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 4, Deportes Tolima 2 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 38%.

The feed's model puts Atletico Nacional at 45%, the draw at 45% and Deportes Tolima at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw.

Our call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22. The market prices at least two goals at 1.22.

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Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima FAQs

When is the match between Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima?

Atletico Nacional v Deportes Tolima is scheduled on Thu, 8 October 2026 at 23:05 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Colombia Primera A, Clausura - 9.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Atletico Nacional are 1st in the table, while Deportes Tolima are 6th.

What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.22.

Who is most likely to win Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?

Atletico Nacional and The draw are level at the top: Atletico Nacional 45%, draw 45%, Deportes Tolima 10%.

Will both teams score in Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?

Both teams scored in 70% of Atletico Nacional's last 10 matches and 50% of Deportes Tolima's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Colombia : Primera A
Date:
Thu, 8 Oct 2026
Venue:
Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

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