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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La Liga · Regular Season - 2 · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

La Liga

Atletico Madrid

2 - 2

Full time · 23 Aug

Villarreal

PredictionOddsConfidence
Over 1.5 GoalsWON1.25-

Atletico Madrid: Matches Played 9

WLLWW

W5 Wins

in last 9 games

L4 Losses

in last 9 games

D0 Draws

in last 9 games

Villarreal: Matches Played 9

DLWWD

W5 Wins

in last 9 games

L2 Losses

in last 9 games

D2 Draws

in last 9 games

HomeDrawAway

45%

45%

10%

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
  • 24 May 2026 • La Liga

    LVillarreal5  1Atletico Madrid
  • 13 September 2025 • La Liga

    WAtletico Madrid2  0Villarreal
  • 25 January 2025 • La Liga

    DAtletico Madrid1  1Villarreal
  • 19 August 2024 • La Liga

    DVillarreal2  2Atletico Madrid
  • 1 April 2024 • La Liga

    WVillarreal1  2Atletico Madrid
  • 12 November 2023 • La Liga

    WAtletico Madrid3  1Villarreal
  • 4 June 2023 • La Liga

    DVillarreal2  2Atletico Madrid
Last Matches (Atletico Madrid)
  • 19 August 2026 • La Liga

    WAtletico Madrid2  0Malaga
  • 14 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WMarseille1  2Atletico Madrid
  • 9 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LManchester City3  1Atletico Madrid
  • 1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LManchester United2  1Atletico Madrid
  • 29 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WAtletico Madrid4  1Getafe
  • 24 May 2026 • La Liga

    LVillarreal5  1Atletico Madrid
  • 17 May 2026 • La Liga

    WAtletico Madrid1  0Girona
  • 12 May 2026 • La Liga

    WOsasuna1  2Atletico Madrid
  • 9 May 2026 • La Liga

    LAtletico Madrid0  1Celta Vigo
Last Matches (Villarreal)
  • 16 August 2026 • La Liga

    DRacing Santander2  2Villarreal
  • 8 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WGalatasaray1  2Villarreal
  • 5 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WVillarreal1  0Levante
  • 1 August 2026 • Como Cup

    LLens3  1Villarreal
  • 29 July 2026 • Como Cup

    DVillarreal1  1Como
  • 29 July 2026 • Como Cup

    WAl Ula0  3Villarreal
  • 25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    WPSV Eindhoven1  3Villarreal
  • 17 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

    LBenfica2  0Villarreal
  • 24 May 2026 • La Liga

    WVillarreal5  1Atletico Madrid

League Table

#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Barcelona770031-72421WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid751116-7916WWWLW
3Real Betis75119-7216DWWWL
4Real Madrid750218-81015LWWLW
5Sevilla741210-9113LWWDL
6Alaves732211-6511DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna724110-8210DLDWW
8Real Sociedad73139-13-410WLWDW
9Villarreal722313-1218WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227-618DDWWL
11Getafe72234-7-38WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano722311-16-58DWLWL
13Osasuna72236-13-78DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428-627WDDDL
15Espanyol721410-1007LLWDL
16Racing Santander721411-21-107LLWLW
17Levante61238-12-45LLDWD
18Elche712411-17-65WLDLL
19Valencia71154-13-94LWLLL
20Malaga70343-12-93LLDDL

Top Scorers Table

Player NamesMatchesGoals
RaphinhaBarcelona712
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano77
Lamine YamalBarcelona77
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid77
M. ZabiriRacing Santander76
Roberto FernándezEspanyol76
P. AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna75
Fer NiñoElche75
A. BudimirOsasuna75
FermínBarcelona64

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals96.8%3.2%
1.5 goals85.9%14.1%
2.5 goals67%33%
3.5 goals45.3%54.7%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Yes

66.2%

No

33.8%

1X

72.1%

12

78.4%

X2

49.6%

1-1

9.2%

2-1

9.2%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

6.7%

1-0

6.3%

2-0

6.3%

3-1

6.1%

0-1

4.6%

1 / 1

31.8%

1 / X

5.3%

1 / 2

2.3%

X / 1

15.1%

X / X

11.1%

X / 2

9.3%

2 / 1

3.5%

2 / X

5.3%

2 / 2

16.3%

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Atletico Madrid

Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

Expected goals: 3.5

Source: Our published prediction

Recent form75% / 25%
Attack50% / 50%
Defence100% / 0%
Goals model100% / 0%
Head-to-head62% / 38%
Overall59% / 42%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Atletico Madrid6/6
Villarreal5/6

Over 2.5

Atletico Madrid5/6
Villarreal4/6

Over 3.5

Atletico Madrid3/6
Villarreal2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Atletico Madrid5/6
Villarreal4/6

Goals By Time Period

Atletico Madrid

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Villarreal

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Atletico Madrid

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Villarreal

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average Event Minute

Atletico Madrid

First goal scored: 34′First goal conceded: 40′First card: 26′

Villarreal

First goal scored: 25′First goal conceded: 15′First card: 51′

Season Statistics

Atletico MadridVillarreal
FormDWLWWWDLLLWW
Played77
Wins52
Draws12
Losses13
Goals for (avg)2.31.9
Goals against (avg)11.7
Clean sheets30
Failed to score11
Biggest win streak10

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Atletico Madrid

Total shots15
Blocked4
45% off target55% on target
53% inside box47% outside box
Total passes520
Accurate passes455 (88%)
Possession53%

Villarreal

Total shots12
Blocked2
30% off target70% on target
58% inside box42% outside box
Total passes536
Accurate passes483 (90%)
Possession59%

Trends

4 match streak · La Liga

Atletico Madrid have scored in each of their last 4 matches in La Liga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Atletico Madrid

A · 10 Oct

Alaves

4/5

H · 13 Oct

Manchester United

Unrated

A · 17 Oct

Espanyol

2/5

A · 20 Oct

VfB Stuttgart

Unrated

H · 25 Oct

Deportivo La Coruna

4/5

A · 1 Nov

Levante

1/5

H · 3 Nov

Bayern München

Unrated

H · 8 Nov

Barcelona

5/5

Villarreal

A · 10 Oct

Real Madrid

5/5

H · 13 Oct

Napoli

Unrated

H · 17 Oct

Elche

1/5

A · 20 Oct

Liverpool

Unrated

A · 25 Oct

Valencia

1/5

H · 1 Nov

Espanyol

2/5

H · 3 Nov

Paris Saint Germain

Unrated

H · 8 Nov

Getafe

3/5

Team News

Atletico Madrid 4-4-2

Coach: Diego Simeone

  1. J. Oblak
  2. M. Pubill
  3. R. Le Normand
  4. D. Hancko
  5. A. Grimaldo
  6. G. Simeone
  7. Koke
  8. M. Hjulmand
  9. R. Mendoza
  10. A. Lookman
  11. Lee Kang-In

Villarreal 4-4-2

Coach: Inigo Perez

  1. Luiz Junior
  2. S. Mourino
  3. J. Foyth
  4. R. Veiga
  5. C. Romero
  6. N. Pepe
  7. S. Comesana
  8. P. Gueye
  9. A. Moleiro
  10. A. Perez
  11. G. Mikautadze

Injuries and suspensions

  • T. Lemar (Atletico Madrid): Coach's decision
  • C. Romero (Atletico Madrid): Lacking Match Fitness
  • A. Sorloth (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • O. Vargas (Atletico Madrid): Coach's decision
  • A. Diatta (Villarreal): Red Card
  • W. Kambwala (Villarreal): Transfer negotiations

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Tips

Atletico Madrid host Villarreal in Spain La Liga at Metropolitano Stadium. In the current table, Atletico Madrid sit 2nd on 16 points and Villarreal are 9th on 8.

Form: Atletico Madrid have taken 3W 0D 2L from their last 5, Villarreal 2W 2D 1L from theirs. Over their last 9 matches Atletico Madrid average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded; Villarreal average 2.0 and 1.2.

In their last 7 meetings Atletico Madrid have won 3, Villarreal 1 and 3 were drawn, averaging 3.6 goals a game with both teams scoring in 86%.

The feed's model puts Atletico Madrid at 45%, the draw at 45% and Villarreal at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, which landed.

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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal FAQs

When is the match between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal?

Atletico Madrid v Villarreal was played on Sun, 23 August 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Spain La Liga, Regular Season - 2.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Atletico Madrid are 2nd in the table, while Villarreal are 9th.

What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Atletico Madrid and The draw are level at the top: Atletico Madrid 45%, draw 45%, Villarreal 10%.

Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Both teams scored in 67% of Atletico Madrid's last 9 matches and 67% of Villarreal's last 9.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.

Match Preview

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Preview

League:
Spain : La Liga
Date:
Sun, 23 Aug 2026
Venue:
Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid

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